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No kidding, while I was shipping boxes at the UPS Store on my way out for a three day two people stopped me, asked me who I fly for, and told me that they love our Regional Jets - that they were comfortable. One was even a White Plains customer.

The unsolicited opinions I've heard still seem very favorable to the "RJ."
 
A friend of mine at Delta told me that the VP of Planning (Mike Bell) told a group of retruning furloughees that when they schedule an RJ to a route they actually factor in the "turn away factor" for people who dislike RJs. Apparently it is very common. Yet, they keep ordering them! Pure genius.
 
Look at the July/August "Among Friends" if you receive it. In it, GG, says that DCI is stretching the limits of the RJ when it is flown on routes longer than 2 hours. He describes it as an uncomfortable experience for passengers.

He also goes on to say that DCI has a role to play in Delta, but that mainline is where they have to make their living.
 
Heavy Set said:
A friend of mine at Delta told me that the VP of Planning (Mike Bell) told a group of retruning furloughees that when they schedule an RJ to a route they actually factor in the "turn away factor" for people who dislike RJs. Apparently it is very common. Yet, they keep ordering them! Pure genius.
Luckily for all of us a DAL, Mike (I love RJs) Bell is retiring soon. Just another SERP recipient out the door.
 
Heavy Set said:
That can't be good news for the DCI guys.
Short term maybe not. But good news for the big picture for those of us who want to move onto a mainline job someday. Growing the DCI portfolio while leaving mainline stagnant is not what I want to see. If the DCI portfolio is downsized in the future, who's to say that CHQ and Skywest won't lose out on flying before the WO's.
 
Heavy Set said:
A friend of mine at Delta told me that the VP of Planning (Mike Bell) told a group of retruning furloughees that when they schedule an RJ to a route they actually factor in the "turn away factor" for people who dislike RJs. Apparently it is very common. Yet, they keep ordering them! Pure genius.
I am familiar with the term, but that is not what it means. Coming out of many cities we don't have enough available seats and have to turn business away. The Company is crying for more 70's to address this problem, but of course they have the arbitrary limit set by ALPA which keeps Connection from bringing even more passengers to ATL to connect with DL flights.

You mainline guys will believe anything and parrot anything negative regarding an RJ. Yet, you continue to ignore the obvious facts:
(1) Without RJ's mainline airplanes would be parked and be smaller. 15% of the average 757 is filled with passengers who connected from an RJ.
(2) Passengers prefer convenient schedules more than anything else
(3) DL can not get credit to buy anything but an airplane which is supported by the Canadian government.
(4) The jobs are on RJ's and your union is negotiating to put you in them

I'm betting your tune will change after you see the re-org plan.

~~~^~~~
 
Fins,

How did the Delta guys ever survive without you and RJs? They probably never ever turned a profit until you guys flew RJs! You are awesome. Pat yourself on your back. And, didn't Pulumbo, the new CFO, buy new aircraft during his Chap 11 experience with TWA? Like new 757s and 717s? Are they built in Canada?
 
Heavy Set said:
A friend of mine at Delta told me that the VP of Planning (Mike Bell) told a group of retruning furloughees that when they schedule an RJ to a route they actually factor in the "turn away factor" for people who dislike RJs. Apparently it is very common. Yet, they keep ordering them! Pure genius.
"Turn-Away Factor" is synonomous with "Demand Spill." It has to do with more people wanting to fly than seats, not people refusing to fly on small aircraft.

Due mainly to the large gap between 50-seaters and the MD-88's. Not enough seats on a 50-seater, yet way too costly on an MD-88 (737's also). Scope clauses prohibit anything in between. So the 50-seater gets the flight, and they over-book.


I got a good kick out of your friend's definition though, heavy.
 
I am familiar with what you are saying and the term, and I probably didn't phrase it correctly. Mike Bell, VP of planning, loves RJs and now he's retiring according to FDJ2. Probably not a good omen for RJ fliers out there...

You cannot deny that many passengers are spooked by the size of RJs and would easily prefer something larger. I have seen it myself recently on an ERJ - a passenger became very emotional and almost elected to get off the aircraft claiming that it was too small... I have never seen that on a 737 or a 717.

Let's not kid ourselves here - RJs are not the popular cure-all that we might have expected and AirTran is proof that passenger comfort is a big consideration in a LCC market... RJs might work on thinner routes with no competition (e.g., ATL-XNA or ATL-HPN), but not on LCC routes where passengers have a lot of choice. Bvt1151, choice is your enemy...
 
Just a small point here. The ERJ is much narrower than a CRJ. It is a Bakillia with jets. Same basic cabin dimensions except longer.
 
~~~^~~~ said:
The Company is crying for more 70's to address this problem, but of course they have the arbitrary limit set by ALPA which keeps Connection from bringing even more passengers to ATL to connect with DL flights.
Fins, you do know that DAL can fly as many RJs as it wants don't you?
 
~~~^~~~ said:
I am familiar with the term, but that is not what it means. Coming out of many cities we don't have enough available seats and have to turn business away. The Company is crying for more 70's to address this problem, but of course they have the arbitrary limit set by ALPA which keeps Connection from bringing even more passengers to ATL to connect with DL flights.

You mainline guys will believe anything and parrot anything negative regarding an RJ. Yet, you continue to ignore the obvious facts:
(1) Without RJ's mainline airplanes would be parked and be smaller. 15% of the average 757 is filled with passengers who connected from an RJ.
(2) Passengers prefer convenient schedules more than anything else
(3) DL can not get credit to buy anything but an airplane which is supported by the Canadian government.
(4) The jobs are on RJ's and your union is negotiating to put you in them

I'm betting your tune will change after you see the re-org plan.

~~~^~~~
What about Grinstein's comment about RJs not flying more than 2 hours since it "abuses" Delta's most loyal customers? Didn't Grinstein actually refer to the CRJ flight between JFK and ATL?

Also, didn't Grinstein say that he wouldn't "shrink to profitability" in his recent 5-point memo to employees? To pay off the current debt load, won't Delta need to generate sufficient revenues and profit to do so? How can you do that by shrinking? I am guessing that you think Chapter 11 is the answer....
 
bvt1151Scope clauses prohibit anything in between. So the 50-seater gets the flight said:
BVT, there is no scope clause that prevents DAL from flying as many RJs as they want or any other aircraft for that matter. Mainline must be over booked as well, since the mainline load factor is higher then either ASA or CMR.
 
FDJ2 said:
Fins, you do know that DAL can fly as many RJs as it wants don't you?
Yep, I know that.

What you don't know is what you will fly them for.

Get some situational awareness gentlemen. Delta is not buying bigger airplanes. Delta has lost the ability to secure credit outside government loan programs. Delta does not care who flies the airplanes. A dollar is a dollar and US air pilots make 20 to 40% less flying ERJ's than do ASA's ATR pilots. That is what is going on out there.

And as far as the ASA contract goes, there is a reason why management is suddenly very concessionary, hard nosed and wanting to re-negotiate the items agreed to in IBB. They have seen "the plan" and my guess is that it undercuts the current ASA contract.

Now this is a pure guess, but one way to invalidate Delta's scope is to merge. "Mainline" block would soar on paper, allowing even more outsourcing. ALPA would be left having to deal with the tremendous mess of integration. This could be one interpretation of Skip Barnette's "Delta does not care who flies the airplanes, that is ALPA's problem." Again this is a pure guess, but I can not think of a part of the puzzle that does not fit.
 
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please not more rjdc propoganda!

~~~^~~~ said:
I The Company is crying for more 70's to address this problem, but of course they have the arbitrary limit set by ALPA which keeps Connection from bringing even more passengers to ATL to connect with DL flights.
Fins:
The company can buy as many 70 seaters as they want. After #57, they go to mainline, its that simple. There is no limit on the number, just the number that can be outsourced!
737
 
737 Pylt said:
Fins:
The company can buy as many 70 seaters as they want. After #57, they go to mainline, its that simple. There is no limit on the number, just the number that can be outsourced!
737
But #58 immediately becomes unprofitable at your rates. Why get another 70-seater when it would cost as much as an MD-80?
 
737 Pylt said:
The company can buy as many 70 seaters as they want. After #57, they go to mainline, its that simple. There is no limit on the number, just the number that can be outsourced!
737
I may be wrong but with ASA's 31 CR7s and Comair's 27 CR7s, combined they have already passed that number. One extra to be a spare how does that play into the scope limit of 57.
 
bvt1151 said:
But #58 immediately becomes unprofitable at your rates. Why get another 70-seater when it would cost as much as an MD-80?
What are mainline rates? Weren't you arguing before how profitable RJs at DCI are , even if they flew at an Indy CASM of 22cents? Why does the RJ become immediately unprofitable the moment a mainline pilots flies it? Are RJs very profitable or not?
 
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FDJ2 said:
What are mainline rates? Weren't you arguing before how profitable RJs at DCI are , even if they flew at an Indy CASM of 22cents? Why does the RJ become immediately unprofitable the moment a mainline pilots flies it? Are RJs very profitable or not?
You're kidding, right? First of all, I spent about 20 minutes explaining how ACA's CASM was, in fact, not 22 cents. Secondly, crew costs are a very integral part of total CASMS. You can make any aircraft unprofitable by paying the pilots outlandish amounts...kinda like the DAL payscales. To apply Delta's current MD-80 rates to the 70-seater (take current rates divided by 2, which obviously wouldn't be the case, but once again in my attempt to not skew the numbers in my favor, I'll be conservative) would increase the 70-seater's total CASM by over 20%...and thats conservative!
 
bvt1151 said:
To apply Delta's current MD-80 rates to the 70-seater (take current rates divided by 2, which obviously wouldn't be the case, but once again in my attempt to not skew the numbers in my favor, I'll be conservative) would increase the 70-seater's total CASM by over 20%...and thats conservative!
First of all, it is obvious that Delta's current rates are not going to survive. So cut the 88 rate by 30%, then divide by two. Second, even that formula is pure speculation. None of us have any idea what DALPA would fly a 70 for. It could be that we would agree to fly it cheaper than ASA or CMR...ala MAA. It won't happen, but to say a 70 seater would not be profitable at the mainline is nothing more than a guess, until we know what the pilots and F/As would be paid. And given the current situation, if it did happen, that pay would not be much.
 
bvt1151 said:
You're kidding, right? First of all, I spent about 20 minutes explaining how ACA's CASM was, in fact, not 22 cents. Secondly, crew costs are a very integral part of total CASMS. You can make any aircraft unprofitable by paying the pilots outlandish amounts...kinda like the DAL payscales. To apply Delta's current MD-80 rates to the 70-seater (take current rates divided by 2, which obviously wouldn't be the case, but once again in my attempt to not skew the numbers in my favor, I'll be conservative) would increase the 70-seater's total CASM by over 20%...and thats conservative!
I guess you had to explain that ACA's CASM wasn't 22 cents, instead of just posting their actual CASM which is, surprise 22 cents. I just didn't realize that the RJs profit margins were so razor thin, that a Delta pilot flying it at, let's say $100/hr (since there is no 70 seat rate we would have to guess) for who knows what work rules, would suddenly make a 70 seat RJ unprofitable. But you can, with all authority claim that it would raise the CASM 20% even though you have no clue what the payrates or work rules would be. That's amazing.
 
michael707767 said:
First of all, it is obvious that Delta's current rates are not going to survive.

None of us have any idea what DALPA would fly a 70 for. It could be that we would agree to fly it cheaper than ASA or CMR...ala MAA...
My educated guess is that Delta pilots will fly at Connection, using Connection pay scales, but, using second year longevity. This is less than DCI pilots currently earn, since 70 Captains at ASA must have an average longevity somewhere between five and eighteen years.

This is the model used at other jets for jobs carriers, like MAA. There is no reason why we can expect Delta to be different and mainline will have to undercut DCI to give the Company an incentive to use their services in a role currently staffed by DCI pilots.

~~~^~~~
 
FDJ2 said:
I guess you had to explain that ACA's CASM wasn't 22 cents, instead of just posting their actual CASM which is, surprise 22 cents. I just didn't realize that the RJs profit margins were so razor thin, that a Delta pilot flying it at, let's say $100/hr (since there is no 70 seat rate we would have to guess) for who knows what work rules, would suddenly make a 70 seat RJ unprofitable. But you can, with all authority claim that it would raise the CASM 20% even though you have no clue what the payrates or work rules would be. That's amazing.
Perhaps you're not understanding exactly what one-time fees are. If ACA want's to send a 50-seater on a flight, the cost of that flight will not include the cost of retiring other aircraft. This is the difference in operating and non-operating cost. If you want a true indicator of what an airlines operating expenses are, you don't factor in one-time expenses. If you used one-time fees to indicate an airlines long-term profitability, Delta would be losing 1.4 billion every quarter. I guess you don't include one-time fees when it suits your argument.

Delta does not have any pilots flying 70's on their current pay scale. If they did, that is what it would be. The concessionary pay scales aren't even in effect yet. How can you argue a 70-seater would be launched with DAL pilots at a new payrate that hasn't been set yet. If we are talking about why a 50-seater is currently being launched full, then we will be comparing current pay rates. Hence the large difference in crew pay.
 
All this talk about the 50 seat jet being scorned because of it's size is stupid. If it were true then I know of a few thousand corporate jets that would be parked in the desert because the millionairs are scared of them because they are too small.

You people crack me up. As I have said I have two million milers on my block and they both love my airplane for four reasons. Shedule, no middle seats, quick deplaning, and pink tagging their carry on.

If the small jet was hated by pax, I doubt very seriously that the Airlines would still be buying them.
 
AFELLOWAVIATOR said:
All this talk about the 50 seat jet being scorned because of it's size is stupid. If it were true then I know of a few thousand corporate jets that would be parked in the desert because the millionairs are scared of them because they are too small.

You people crack me up. As I have said I have two million milers on my block and they both love my airplane for four reasons. Shedule, no middle seats, quick deplaning, and pink tagging their carry on.

If the small jet was hated by pax, I doubt very seriously that the Airlines would still be buying them.
Denial ain't a river... Difference between a corporate jet and a CRJ/ERJ is that you actually have more room on the corporate jet seats to actually do some work. Most business travelers despise CRJs/ERJs because of their limited room to work, lack of bin space and crowded conditions and clausterphobia after 2+ hours of flying. Sure, the CRJ has more room than a Lear, but you don't have people crammed into a Lear in most cases - you can spread out a bit... Rarely do you find more than 3-4 people sitting in a corporate jet (unless you fly the Wal-Mart Learjet shuttle service)...

Having flown on the E170 as a pax recently, I now fully endorse replacing as many CRJs and ERJs as possible with the E170 - it has the "big airplane feel" that all CRJs (including the CRJ900 that I have flown on too) and ERJs completely lack... CRJs will always be financially viable on the non-competitive thin routes where there is no other option (e.g., Salt Lake to Pasco), but, as AirTran recently decided, the 50-seat RJ just doesn't work very well economically or from a comfort perspective over shorter and more competitive routes. Just ask the folks at Midway Airlines...

You don't see people getting super-emotional (like what I witnessed recently on an RJ) about the size of their aircraft on a 717 or 737. And that's a fact! The size argument is real for a lot of people - RJs seem to have the same impact on some people as the turboprops used to (prop aversion was the rationale used to order a lot of RJs back in the day...). If you sit in an RJ, watch as peoples' eyeballs bulge from the skulls as they board the airplanes - I have seen it myself many times on repositioning flights... Seems like GG has the same opinion about RJs when he talks about RJs adversely impacting DAL's most loyal customers - premium businss travelers (I can't remember his exact words). Sad but true...
 
On Your Six said:
Having flown on the E170 as a pax recently, I now fully endorse replacing as many CRJs and ERJs as possible with the E170 - it has the "big airplane feel" that all CRJs (including the CRJ900 that I have flown on too) and ERJs completely lack...
So where do you propose the majors get the money to replace their almost-new CRJs and ERJs with the 170? And if suddenly every regional in the US flew the 170 exclusively would you still be so anti-regional?
 
bvt1151 said:
Perhaps you're not understanding exactly what one-time fees are.
Oh believe me I understand what one time fees are. It's all part of being an independent carrier. When was the last time ASA/CMR had a one time fee put on their useless DOT numbers? DAL has used them extensively to post losses. Yet despite these one time fees, our CASM is about 10.32, including a onetime fee of $1.65B as opposed to Indy's 22cents and we were opertaionally profitable last quarter. I guess paying these one time fees is the responsibility of the mainline at DAL. We wouldn't want to burden ASA/CMR with the actual costs of doing business. As the former DAL CFO said, CMR only pays for their operational costs, DAL pays everything else.
 
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AFELLOWAVIATOR said:
All this talk about the 50 seat jet being scorned because of it's size is stupid. If it were true then I know of a few thousand corporate jets that would be parked in the desert because the millionairs are scared of them because they are too small.
Of course those corporate jets aren't crammed with 50 seats now are they.
 
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Afellowaviator don't know Diddy

The only millionares that fly with 50 people in a jet are the ones who own those nudie mags, like Playboy. Where is that Playboy DC-9? Oh yeah, Sleepy is flying it.


All for now,

DLslug
 

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