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Katrina updates...

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OIL HAS ALREADY PASSED $70.00/Barrel. Let's all pray for the people in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

http://home.peoplepc.com/psp/newsstory.asp?cat=news&referrer=welcome&id=20050828/431136c0_3ca6_15526200508281741967876
Katrina Targeting U.S. Oil Operations
Sunday, August 28, 2005

NEW YORK - With crude oil prices near record levels, a hurricane targeted the heart of America's oil and refinery operations Sunday, shutting down an estimated 1 million barrels of refining capacity and sharply curbing offshore production throughout the region.

Katrina, a Category 5 storm expected to strike New Orleans early Monday, was churning through the Gulf of Mexico. The area is crucial to the nation's energy infrastructure - offshore oil and gas production, import terminals, pipeline networks and numerous refining operations throughout southern Louisiana and Mississippi.

The impact was immediate Sunday night when electronic trading resumed on the New York Mercantile Exchange, as crude oil futures spiked $4.50 per barrel, putting the cost above $70 for the first time since oil began trading there in 1983.

The hurricane followed a path similar to the one taken last September by Ivan, which caused heavy damage and reduced the region's output for months. Yet Katrina's 165-mph wind was fiercer.

Oil companies have evacuated workers and shut down more than 600,000 barrels of daily production in the Gulf. Refiners closed down more than 1 million barrels of refining output by Sunday, but that amount could be higher because not every producer reports data, said Peter Beutel, an oil analyst with Cameron Hanover.

"We're shutting down all kinds of everything. This is the big one," he said. "This is unmitigated, bad news for consumers."

Gasoline futures soared more than 20 cents per gallon, above $2.12 per gallon, and natural gas was up $2.20 per 1,000 cubic feet in the opening minutes of trade. The "out of control" buying is spurred by the prospect that the region's numerous refineries could be idled for weeks by flooding, power outages, or both, Beutel said.

The U.S. has ample crude oil supplies, even if major hurricane destruction trims Gulf oil output and foreign imports, but refining capacity is extraordinarily tight. As a result, prices for gasoline, heating oil, jet fuel and other products have flirted with records and could go even higher this week.

"If this thing knocks out significant quantities of refining capacity ... we're going to be in deep, dark trouble," said Ed Silliere, vice president of risk management at Energy Merchant LLC in New York.

The market has been on edge for months, with traders and speculators buying on the slightest fear. With Katrina, all those fears could be realized, Beutel said.

"Basically I could spill a can of oil at my local gas station and you'd see the price of crude go up by $1 per barrel," he said.

Crude settled at $66.13 a barrel Friday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down $1.36 after hitting $68 last week.

In many ways, Katrina was expected to be inconsequential to the energy industry, with many traders selling on Friday as the storm moved across Florida and was seen as moving north and striking the Florida Panhandle as a tropical storm with little impact. That all changed Saturday, when the system gained power and charged west, directly into areas of offshore oil production.

ChevronTexaco Corp. completed evacuations of all workers in the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico and nonessential workers in the western Gulf late Saturday, company spokesman Matt Carmichael said.

Chevron has about 2,100 employees and contractors working in the Gulf, Carmichael said. Chevron will continue to produce 90 percent of its normal production by remote as long as weather cooperates, he said.

The Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, which processes loads from tankers too large for mainland ports, evacuated all workers and stopped unloading ships on Saturday morning said Mark Bugg, the terminal's manager of scheduling. The LOOP, 20 miles offshore, is the nation's largest oil import terminal and handles 11 percent of U.S. oil imports.

Royal Dutch-Shell Group evacuated more than 1,000 offshore workers by Saturday. Only those in the far west remained, the company said on its Web site. BP PLC and ExxonMobil Corp. also brought workers ashore Saturday.

Shell estimated 420,000 barrels of oil and 1.35 million cubic feet of gas per day will be shut in at its central and eastern Gulf facilities. Exxon Mobil said it has ceased daily production of 3,000 barrels of oil and 50 million cubic feet of gas.

Valero Energy Corp. evacuated all but a few workers at its 260,000-barrel-a-day St. Charles refinery on Saturday. Murphy Oil Corp. also shut down its 120,000-barrel-a-day Meraux, La., refinery, and Exxon Mobil Corp. planned to shut down its 183,000-barrel-a-day refinery in Chalmette, La.

Motiva Enterprises, a joint venture of Royal Dutch Shell PLC and state-owned Saudi Arabian Oil Co., began implementing hurricane contingency plans at its 225,000-barrel-a-day Norco refinery on Saturday. Motiva also was exploring contingencies for its 235,000-barrel-a-day Convent refinery, about 45 miles west of New Orleans, Dow Jones Newswires reported.
 
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Who cares about oil prices? I hope everyone will walk away from this upcomming disaster.

FD
 
Flyingdutchman said:
Who cares about oil prices? I hope everyone will walk away from this upcomming disaster.

FD

That is exactly what I was thinking, I dont give a dam about oil prices, lets wish our fellow citizens our best.
 
Re: the Superdome

A guy on the news said the floor of the superdome is 12-15 feet above "city level", which is 9 feet below sea level. And even if the floor floods, there's capacity in the stands for 50,000.

The Superdome is rated for 200MPH winds, but as with tornados, once you add windborne debris all bets are off. At least it's concrete, and not light steel sheeting over a steel frame like other stadiums. If they can keep the wind from getting inside, the structure will be able to withstand the pressure.
 
Well, I had a whole shindig typed out, took me 5 minutes to do, then I lost it, so I'll try again...

It just feels wierd...I sit here tonight and play my Xbox, watch tv, prepare for work tomorrow...All the while, hundreds of thousand of folks down south prepare for the worst. I wonder what I will have for dinner tomorrow night, they wonder if they will be alive in 12-24 hours. I worked in the yard today, enjoying the sunshine. They worked to try and save their possessions and get themselves out. I will sleep in my bed tonight, they will not get a wink of sleep, listening only to the growing sounds of the storm outside, wondering if they will live through the hurricane, or if they will live through the flooding, or the tornadoes.
I feel wrong for living my normal live while these folks are about to experience a natural disaster of a grand scale. I don't care about what my gas prices do, get yourselves to somewhere safe, and if you can't do that, hold your loved ones close and tell them how much they mean to you. I will be saying a prayer for everyone involved.
I remember going down to Gulfport after Ivan ( i think) and saying, this is so much worse than what I saw on TV. TV is the ultimate "desensitizer." I can't image what you all are going to go through in the next day but I pray for you. TV will never do it justice.

Godspeed to you all.
 
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I was out of town/out of touch this weekend.. needless to say, I almost feel out of my chair this evening when I saw the news about Katrina... last I heard it was a Cat 1 hurricane with the possibility of increasing in strength as it passed over the gulf... anyway, holy $h!t when I saw it was a Cat 5 with 160mph winds!! My thoughts and prayers are with everyone in the path of this beast. I could be mistaken, but isn't this the strongest hurricane to hit in decades??
 
NWS warning.... "Death is coming"...

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...

.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.

MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.

THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED.
ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED.
CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.

HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.


AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH
IF STRUCK.

POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.


THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED.
 
Fly_Chick said:
Island Hopper, what was the link to that excerpt? I was looking for it yet could not find it.

There is a lot of traffic on the internet that this "NWS" warning is a fake.

It doesn't sound like a NWS warning, and no one has provided a working link.

Nu
 

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