BLUE BAYOU
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 15, 2002
- Posts
- 836
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Good news now let's get those 190 rates up.
Jetblue will sell 5 more 320s in 2007 according to CFO John Harvey. Since they expect delivery of 12 new 320s, this will be a net increase of only 7 for 2007.
No profit for the 1st Q is disconcerting, since analysts had projected a profit of 7 cents a share. Some posters on other boards say the $3M cost to remove/rearrange seats is the reason. I don't buy that, as I think B6 is basing their estimate on poor bookings so far. I see they have just plugged in a $29-49 sale on 50 underperforming routes.
Average stage length will increase from a 1st Q projection of 1070 to a year end projection of 1100. This is probably due to to the opening of SFO and the possible opening of LAX(depending on what happens with DL).
New cities will grow between 8-10, and includes the recent announcements of ORD, SFO, and White Plains. So you will have at least 5 additional announcements and possibly 7. Jetblue still has no midwest hub, and I believe they could innitiate preliminary talks with F9 if things don't unfold with consolidation in the next 12 months. Private equity will also be considered if the 2nd and 3rd Q projections shrink.
imp:
Jetblue wants to be the LCC 800lb gorilla in the NYC area, and they aren't going to let FL get a foothold.....just as FL wasn't going to let B6 get a foothold in ATL.Let me ask a question. Is it possible that a lot of that profit is from the sell off of the A320's? I think they lost their shirt, unless it's accounting mumbo jumbo. The 4th Q Income shows a loss of $1M, with a full year loss of $6M. On the Expense side it shows a $4M charge for this Q, and $12M for the year.
Also did Jetblue steal the Airtran playbook? First they followed them into Stewart Newburgh (announced a week later), then into White Plains (announced a month later)? Should we expect them to announce St. Louis and San Diego soon? Is it coincidence? Just wondering. The numbers look great (82% load factor) but if the tickets are at $29-49 that is no surprise.
They are basing their projections on bookings, and right now they aren't too good. Things could firm up by mid February, we'll have to see.Did he actually say we we're gonna sell 5 more aircraft? http://www.newyorkbusiness.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070130/FREE/70130005/1066/breaking See the 4th paragraph.
My take on the 1st Q: another low ball number. Lower the expectations now and hope to outperform later.
They are basing their projections on bookings, and right now they aren't too good. Things could firm up by mid February, we'll have to see.
11,000 employees and 119 a/c. What ever happened to the 80 employees per a/c they are supposed get to by the end of 2007 to cut expenses? Sounds like they are way behind schedule and will need to fire some employees.
imp:
You will have between 134 and 139 a/c by year end. To get down to 80 employees you have to basically freeze hiring and let attrition take it's coarse.Did you listen to the conference call? I didn't but I was told he didn't put a number on the sales, if any. That's probably the best source. You may be right as the SEC filing says: *"The total fleet included in the table above may decrease as we consider possible combinations of aircraft sales, assignments, and/or leases." If that's the case, then Crains Business took liberties with the article by posting the future sale of 5 a/c. I think much depends on what happens at LAX.
Firings? Nah, just no hiring other than to replace the recently departed.
You will have between 134 and 139 a/c by year end. To get down to 80 employees you have to basically freeze hiring and let attrition take it's coarse.
imp:
You will have between 134 and 139 a/c by year end. To get down to 80 employees you have to basically freeze hiring and let attrition take it's coarse.
imp:
11,000 employees and 119 a/c. What ever happened to the 80 employees per a/c they are supposed get to by the end of 2007 to cut expenses? Sounds like they are way behind schedule and will need to fire some employees.
imp:
Yes, the coarse (rough and crude) course of not hiring or letting some go will stink!
AAflyer![]()
I bow to you dude, but I'd like to hear it from mgt. Have Dave Neelebarger call me.Your math is a bit off. There are 11000 total employees, full and part time. The idea is to get below 80 full time equivalent employees per aircraft, not 80 employees per aircraft. The last I heard, they were already about there and were expecting somewhere in the mid 70's be the end of the year.