FDX slashes 2009 profit outlook


Honey Ryder
Feb 26, 2004
Total Time
Not good....The news wasn't baked into this stock price. FDX was not down nearly as much as other companies of similar size and growth. FDX has been overpriced all year long. It should trade between 47 and 64 from a fundamental standpoint. S&P average P/E is 13.50. Multiply 13.5 times projected EPS (3.50-4.75) to get that range. The previous high EPS of 5.25 was still trading well above the market average.


FedEx slashes fiscal 2009 profit outlook
Monday December 8, 6:15 pm ET FedEx cuts outlook for fiscal 2009 below Wall Street view amid slowing demand
MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) -- FedEx Corp. cut its forecast for fiscal 2009 earnings and capital spending on Monday as the slumping economy cut into package deliveries.
FedEx said it expects to earn $3.50 to $4.75 per share for the fiscal year ending in May, down from its previous estimate of $4.75 to $5.25 per share. Wall Street analysts expected the company to earn $5.15 per share, according to Thomson Reuters.
Shares of FedEx rose 72 cents to $74.43 in trading before the revised profit forecast was issued. In extended trading the shares fell $8.49, or 11.4 percent, to $65.94.
In cutting its profit forecast, the delivery company acknowledged that the slumping economy had trumped lower fuel prices and even the elimination of a competitor -- rival DHL is ending domestic shipments in the U.S., a move some analysts believe could boost FedEx package volumes 3 to 6 percent and give it more power to raise prices.
FedEx gave a better outlook for its fiscal second quarter, which ended Nov. 30. The company said it expected to report earnings of $1.58 per share, compared with its prior outlook of $1.40 to $1.60 per share.
The results in the last quarter were helped by rapidly falling fuel prices and cost controls, said Chief Financial Officer Alan B. Graf Jr.
But demand for the company's services weakened throughout the quarter and global economic trends are worsening, leading to the gloomier outlook for the full fiscal year, Graf said.
The company said it was aligning costs with the weaker business conditions, and would aim for capital spending of $2.5 billion for the fiscal year, down from $3 billion planned last spring.
The Memphis-based company is scheduled to release its latest quarterly financial results on Dec. 18.
A month ago, FedEx reaffirmed its long-term goals of boosting earnings per share 10 to 15 percent per year and increasing revenue 10 percent per year. In fiscal 2008, the company earned $3.60 per share on sales of $37.95 billion.
FedEx's air and ground operations in the United States compete with United Parcel Service Inc. and the U.S. Postal Service. FedEx also operates less-than-truckload freight companies, which have announced plans to raise rates by 5.7 percent on Jan. 5.
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