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P38JLightning said:All those "do anything for the upgrade" and "bend over for growth" guys at management's trendy, beloved brand management, pilot supply house, virtual airlines should always remember the fragility of their situation.
You may be the growth darlings and the apple of Fred Butrel's eye now, but remember that it is the mainline and WO pilots who will ALWAYS own your flying. (Take that RJDC!)
You see, "your flying" can always be "reclaimed" by the mainline, as well as sucessfuly underbid for by the WO's. Delta can snatch your jobs away and give them to Comair, ASA or "Mid-Atlanta" as they see fit, with the only obligation to you being 6 months notice. The only thing Delta has to do then is take over your leases. They have this option 100 planes at a time or 1 a month, however they want to do it.
So if you suceed in your masterful plan of underbidding and undermining the WO's, don't forget we can ALWAYS underbid you, well after you've gotten the growth. In fact we probably wouldn't have to completely underbid you, because we have that nice fee for departure profit margin to work with that puts you at a disadvantage compared to the WO's.
Now, will we do that? Right now, proably not. But if the contractors keep getting the lions share of the growth because of their gleeful lowballing and predatory bargaining and we're stuck with 9 year upgrades, stagnation or negative growth and the transfer of our flying to those who will do it for less, while they have 1.5 year upgrades and tons of movement, well, we just might chose to use the other edge of that whipsaw that you're currently pulling on and cut your little treehouse out from under you.
If we do chose to do this, now or in the future, the ONLY hurdle will be Delta having to take over the leases of the airframes. But with the economy improving, Delta moving back in the black, the Delta pilots helping out with a generous mid contract pay adjustment and Song flying out of ALL THREE NYC airports big D shouldn't have any problem getting that squared away.
Of course for now this option isn't really even on our radar screens. We're confident other carriers will stop the negative trend and once again start pushing the bar up for all of us.
We have great faith in COEX. They are a rabid group that's well unified and totally in charge of Bethune and company who can NOT afford a strike.
ASA is also in the driver's seat. If the Comair strike cost 3/4 billion in 3 months shutting down their secondary, mainly MD-80 hub, immagine if ATL loses 80-90% of its feed. The losses would be staggering. The Comair "integration" of ATL has mostly been new RJ service and little bit mainline replacement/supplements. Delta can't afford a Candler strike and they know it. ASA is in a position to easily get Comair +5% or more.
The ACA pilots are flipping off the entire virtual airline industry, removing all those "regional" airframes and using them against their former "code share partner team member alliance friends" and although they gave around 2% paycuts, they got a nice profit sharing plan (a pretty good compromise...I'd take that deal, as long as the profits were based on Delta and not a non existant, on paper ony, shell corporation) and have sent the message that when confronted with "concessions for growth" from the mainlines there's one more way in which to "just say no!"
And last but not least Mesaba. They have been screwed with by NWA so bad now, for so long, and their version of the portfolio concept that they may easily be as unified or more so than the Comair pilots were during our 89 day refusal to bend over any longer. I don't think they will be caving any time soon. NWA is just now starting to get a glimpse of profitability. Try telling your shareholders its worth it to piss away half a billion (or more) just to keep one of your 3 pilot groups from getting 1% more than your competitors. Mesaba pilots are also in the driver's seat, even if it takes a fight to get management to accept that.
So there's some positive news out there that should give hope to the pilots of the entire "small jet industry". Even the bottom feeders should celebrate, because every time someone fights to raise the bar, that's that much higher they can go next time around, but yet still be a comfortable margin below those they are backstabbing.
Just don't forget that if the bottom feeders are too sucessful in getting too much growth, the mainlines or WO's (or exclusive jet operators like COEX, who for all intents and purposes are WO'ed) can always, at any time, for any reason, reclaim some or all of that cool code share flying of ours that you do. If and when and how much of it we take back is up to us.
NoName said:Heres the break down
Comair- 15 CRJs
ASA-20 CRJs
Mesa-10 CRJs (possibly Midway CRJs?)
Happy Flying!
General Lee said:Those Mesa RJs could have come from the Frontier RJs that were just replaced by Horizon CR7s. Regardless, the addition of Mesa into the DCI mix will really make things interesting.
Bye Bye---General Lee![]()
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General Lee said:CF34,
Good question. Does Mesa have different operational certificates? I think ACA does, and that is how ACA was able to keep the Dojos and still operate A320's for Independance. I bet we will give in on that for a concession......I hope not, though.
Bye Bye--General Lee![]()