You seem unable to grasp the impact CAL of being frozen out of SkyTeam. Ask your senior management how it will impact future growth. CAL may have 6 options, but only 2 are workable. Join One World or join Star Alliance.
The cost of entry to both alliances will be for CAL to merge.
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Obviously the point of sharing flights between airlines is to spread their reach. A merger is not required. If there is enough money to be made, CAL will be allowed into the venture.
As far as hubs are concerned, GUA is not a hub or base for CAL or United.
NWA and Delta have not merged. It is a proposed merger and nothing more at this point.