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Assoc. Press study finds older pilots=accidents

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matt1.1

Well-known member
Joined
Dec 10, 2005
Posts
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I know parts of this article are buried in other age related threads but most will not see it unless they read through six or more pages of trash talk that does not present an unbiased view. So here it is for those that want to get to the facts and decide for yourself.

Age a factor for pilots

Study shows older pilots crash more
By Ryan Pearson
Associated Press
Posted Sunday, March 26, 2006
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LOS ANGELES — At 50, Philip Semisch learned to fly. He took aerobatic lessons on his 60th birthday. When he turned 70, he flew gliders.
Another aviation milestone followed just a few years later: He crashed.
The retired Army officer and manufacturing executive from Skippack, Pa., was alone, piloting a small Decathlon plane in September 2002. It bounced as he tried to land, twice. As he took the plane back up for another landing attempt, he failed to clear a wall of trees.
Semisch walked away with bruises and a few stitches.
“I feel very comfortable flying, and did immediately after my accident,” he said. “I take it very seriously. I don’t fly in bad weather. I’m careful.”
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Associated Press
Philip Semisch, in his early 70s, crashed his Cessna 152 near Collegeville, Pa., last November, but has no intentions of giving up flying. The Federal Aviation Administration has made it easier for old pilots to keep flying even though data shows they are more likely to be involved in crashes.
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Despite such confidence, Semisch’s Pennsylvania accident was one of hundreds in recent years that illustrate a trend within the general aviation industry: A disproportionate number of crashes among older private pilots.
Following a rash of plane crashes involving older pilots in Southern California, The Associated Press analyzed five years of federal pilot licensing documents and aviation crash data. The analysis showed that pilots in older age groups were in a significantly higher percentage of crashes than they represented among all pilots.
Fatal crashes also are proportionally higher for older pilots, according to AP’s examination of Federal Aviation Administration and National Transportation Safety Board data.
Restrictions eased
The findings come after an FAA rule change in September 2004 made it easier for graying pilots to keep licenses to fly certain smaller planes.
From the 1920s, every pilot, private and commercial, was required to pass a physical exam administered by an FAA-certified doctor at least once every two years for those age 40 and older.
The rule change allows pilots of smaller planes to fly using only a driver’s license as proof of good health. The FAA and pilots said the change would be of particular benefit to older pilots, though they must pass regular flight tests
Under the new rules, pilots whose licenses were revoked for health reasons — such as a history of heart problems — may be recertified after a medical exam and are not required to undergo future checkups.
This comes as the general aviation industry is graying; the average age of private pilots rose from 43 in 1995 to 47 at the beginning of last year.
Experts widely acknowledge that about three-quarters of all aviation accidents are caused by some kind of pilot error, including slower reactions that can come with age.
“We don’t see too many aviation accidents that are related to a medical cause. The increase in accidents (with age) may be due really to cognitive factors,” said Federal Air Surgeon Jon Jordan, the FAA’s top doctor.
What’s in the records
The AP reviewed 2000 through 2004 NTSB records related to general aviation, a category that encompasses private, recreational and corporate pilots. Also checked were FAA files covering all pilots.
Among the findings:
•Pilots age 60 and over accounted for 23.6 percent of all general aviation accidents even though they represented just 14.7 percent of all licensed pilots. Those in the 50-59 age group were responsible for 26.4 percent of accidents; they were 22.1 percent of all licensed pilots.
•Pilots 50 and older were involved in 55.8 percent of all general aviation accidents that led to fatalities, although this group comprised just 36.8 percent of all licensed pilots.
Many pilots interviewed defended aging aviators, saying wisdom and experience more than make up for age-related forgetfulness or decline in motor skills.
“The statistics don’t support planes falling out of the sky,” said Phil Boyer, president of the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association, which claims more than 400,000 members.
There has been only one major jetliner accident in the U.S. in the last three years — at Chicago’s Midway Airport — but crashes of small airplanes have become nearly routine. On an average day in 2005, there were four general aviation accidents, with at least one accident-related death.
More than 500 people have died in general aviation crashes during each of the past three years. (By contrast, more than 30,000 people die each year in car and truck accidents).
In Southern California, small planes plummeted into apartments or homes four times in 2003 and 2004. Nine people were killed in those crashes, including the four pilots, all of whom were age 50 or older.
A look at one crash
Ross Anderson was one of those pilots. To his friends and fellow pilots, he was the epitome of safety.
The former Naval aviator held commercial and airline transport licenses and was meticulous about maintaining the Harmon Rocket II he spent years assembling. Almost every day, the 62-year-old Rancho Palos Verdes resident beat Southern California’s freeway congestion by flying from Torrance Airport to his office in Chino, about 45 miles east.
Anderson’s friends remain mystified about why his plane plunged through the living room of a Seal Beach home.
Authorities have not determined whether he died during the crash or just before it.
On July 7, 2004, Sharon Loe had settled onto her living room couch to read the morning newspaper. Seconds later, Anderson’s plane crashed through her roof.
“The glass just came at me. It looked like a fireball,” she said.
She escaped with her husband and dog with only minor cuts and singed hair. The home was in ruins.
David Hallmark, an aircraft services shop manager who helped Anderson build the plane, believes his friend was somehow incapacitated.
“The way the accident happened, there was no way he was at the controls,” he said.
Health issues hidden
For Bob Loo, who regularly soared above Michigan’s rugged Upper Peninsula counting wolves for the state natural resources department, the cause is clearer. He suffered an apparent heart attack in mid-flight in June 2002 and died in the crash that followed.
“That’s the way he wanted to die, I guess,” said his longtime companion, Clarice Arnell of Iron River, Mich.
But the 78-year-old former World War II pilot concealed from the FAA a long history of ailments that included blocked arteries, gout and congestive heart failure so that he could keep flying his Cessna 182.
Every year from 1978 to 2002, Loo obtained a Class 2 medical certificate from the FAA.
In the medical history section of each application, he checked “no” when asked if he had been admitted to a hospital or suffered dizziness, fainting or heart trouble.
M.D. signed forms
He was lying, according to the report on his crash prepared by the National Transportation Safety Board.
The NTSB investigation found that Loo’s aviation medical examiner from 1988 to 1994 — such doctors are certified to determine whether pilots are fit to fly — treated Loo for his gout, heart disease and diabetes. The examiner then signed the FAA applications, the NTSB said in its report.
Anonymous tipsters twice told the FAA that Loo shouldn’t fly. An unsigned letter in July 1978 prompted an FAA review, but that was dropped in December of that year after Loo insisted that his health was “excellent,” according to the NTSB report.
Living alone in a small cottage, Loo was most comfortable in the solitude of the sky. “That was his love. As long as he could be in a plane, he was happy,” Arnell said.
 
It's a poor analysis, as it doesn't account for the amount of flying each age group does. Unfortunately many folks can't afford to fly GA much or own their own aircraft until they're older. The people I know who fly GA the most are retired and have their own aircraft. Older people spending more hours in the air = more accidents. It would be interesting to see what the chances of crashing per hour flown are for different age groups.
 
Anecdotal non-respresentatives evidence

AP study much more factual than your contradictional account of a biased view without supporting evidence of a respresentative sample concerning older pilots.

Older pilots owning aircraft and flying a typical <100 hour year verse younger pilots attaining private pilot through CFI ratings flying >250 hours per year is the same kind of anecdotal evidence you provided above which is not as yours is not as accurate as the AP study.

The anaylsis is good it just contradicts the older view point.
 
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I agree with the study. Get me to 60 and get out. Heck lower it to 55 and I will be seeing the finish line. Any number they use will be an arbitrary number. Changing it now to accomodate those that can not let go stinks
 
Hey I say raise the age to 100. I've seen those old duffers drive cars and I think my work entertainment would be increased 100 fold when some 89 year old in a 747 who can't hear the taxi instructions plows into the RJ in front of him that he didn't see.
 
Apples and oranges. This article has little bearing on the mandatory retirement for air carrier pilot debate. General aviation pilots only need a third class medical and may be more apt to engage in fraud for the purpose of obtaining a medical certificate. Incapacitation is a rare event and in the air carrier environment the only significant risk is subtle incapacitation which could go undetected by the other pilot at an inopportune moment. There have been cases of air carrier pilot incapacitaion however the presence of a second pilot provides an excellent margin of safety. The average age of the general aviation pilot is probably much higher than in air carrier ranks. General aviation is statistically far more hazardous than 121 operations. The lack of any reference to air carrier pilots in the article indicates that the author either didn't look or could not find any evidence to support his case.

I am not an advocate of raising the retirement age however I don't see the relevance of this article in the debate.
 
Crash Pad said:
Hey I say raise the age to 100. I've seen those old duffers drive cars and I think my work entertainment would be increased 100 fold when some 89 year old in a 747 who can't hear the taxi instructions plows into the RJ in front of him that he didn't see.


Ding . . Ding . . . Ding!!! We have a winner!



.
 
GA is not air carrier..apples and oranges, but if it helps get some of you out of aviation the better for the rest of us! I'll be as long as they let me. Not for money but because I love flying.
 
These statistics are apples and oranges. It's like saying the Toyota Camry and Honda Accord automobiles are the most stolen vehicles in the USA. Duh, they're also the most produced and purchased vehicles in the USA... GA pilots are more apt to be older and richer to afford flying aircraft today. They're also the Doctors and Lawyers who crash up the warbirds too.
 

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