Never underestimate the time / value of money and the point of diminishing returns.
You keep telling yourself that. Pilots are too smart for their own good. Most profitable airline in the industry = top pay throughout the life of the contract. It's that simple. If you don't have enough self-respect to demand that then I can't help you.
The problem with the whole tvm hypothesis is that it assumes you are considering all the variables. What is the TVM of the money we are going to lose because every other 737 operator that now negotiates a contract is going to be told to pack sand on any raise for their 737 drivers because the pilots of the most profitable airline aren't even going to make 5 years from now what pilots of bankrupt carriers are going to be making in 3.
When the Delta NC goes to RA next year and demands a raise for their 737 pilots he is going to laugh in their face. How can they expect a raise when in 2015 737 pilots at Delta are going to be making more than AS pilots are going to be making in 2018. Hell, in 2018, Delta, United, AA, and US Air pilots are all going to be making more than Alaska pilots without negotiating a single additional contract.
Meanwhile, Alaska Airlines is distributing millions to it's shareholders through increased dividends and share buy-backs. Meanwhile there is a large spike in insider selling of stocks. We got them right where we want them alright!
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2025731-alaska-air-7-different-insiders-have-sold-shares-this-month
Alaska Air: 7 Different Insiders Have Sold Shares This Month
Feb. 17, 2014 6:31 AM ET by: Markus Aarnio
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More...)
In this article, I will feature one regional airline stock that has seen intensive insider selling during the last 30 days. Intensive insider selling can be defined by the following three criteria:
- The stock was sold by three or more insiders within one month.
- The stock was not purchased by any insiders in the month of intensive selling.
- At least two sellers decreased their holdings by more than 10%.
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