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AirTran's Business is Deteriorating

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-9Capt

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Press Release Source: Midwest Air Group, Inc.


Midwest Air Group Sets Record Straight About AirTran's Offer
Wednesday February 28, 8:30 am ET

MILWAUKEE, Feb. 28 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Midwest Air Group, Inc. (Amex: MEH - News), parent company of Midwest Airlines, today mailed the following letter to shareholders from Timothy E. Hoeksema, chairman and chief executive officer, regarding the unsolicited exchange offer made by AirTran Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: AAI - News) for Midwest common stock.
February 28, 2007

Dear Fellow Shareholder:

During the past several weeks, the Midwest management team has met with numerous Midwest shareholders, customers, and business and civic leaders. We have received consistent, strong support for our strategic growth plan and for our long-standing commitment to providing travelers with an unparalleled travel experience. It is clear that our strategic plan is resonating with investors. We believe that investors recognize the value of our plan and believe in our management team.

However, we have also been confronted by many false and misleading claims made by AirTran about its offer and Midwest's business -- comments we believe are designed to divert attention from AirTran's deteriorating performance, lack of planning, and absence of a credible and profitable growth plan for its future. It is time to set the record straight.
AirTran's Business is Deteriorating

AirTran's low-cost carrier business model is in trouble. By virtually any metric, AirTran's business is deteriorating. AirTran is desperate to buy Midwest to stave off further erosion of its business.

-- AirTran's profits are deteriorating while Midwest's are improving. For
the last half of 2006, AirTran's earnings per share (EPS) dropped
$0.09, year over year, to a $0.09 per share loss. During that same
period, Midwest's EPS improved $2.58 to a positive $0.25 cents per
share.

-- AirTran's share price lags behind its peers and Midwest. Between
January 3, 2006 and February 27, 2007, the average share price of low-
cost carriers is down 7.7%, while the average share price of network
carriers is up 35.5%. Midwest's share price is up an impressive 156.1%
in the same period, compared to an unattractive 35.8% loss of value for
AirTran's shareholders.

-- AirTran's earnings continue to disappoint while Midwest's show strong
momentum. AirTran has failed to show a profit in three of the last four
quarters, while Midwest has been profitable in three of the last four
quarters. In an effort to obscure its own current poor performance,
AirTran's statements about Midwest focus on years-old data that is
heavily influenced by the after-effects of 9/11, which devastated the
airline industry.

-- AirTran's load factors are on a downward track. AirTran's load factor
declined 0.7 percentage points in 2006 and declined again in January
2007, down 1.6 percentage points. On the other hand, Midwest's load
factor increased 5.2 percentage points in 2006, with increases of 6.6
percentage points in December 2006 and 3.8 percentage points in January
2007, placing Midwest among industry leaders in load factor
improvement. AirTran's declining load factors reflect a pattern of
excessive capacity expansion leading directly to lower unit revenue,
lower profits and lower value for AirTran shareholders.

-- AirTran appears to be focused on adding capacity, not profits. In the
last half of 2006, Midwest's revenue per available seat mile (RASM) was
12.40 cents -- a 12.1% improvement from the last half of 2005.
AirTran's RASM was 9.54 cents in the last half of 2006 -- down 2.1%
from the same period of 2005. AirTran's deteriorating RASM performance
underscores its inability to efficiently utilize its existing capacity.
To further compound the problem, AirTran has committed to purchasing an
additional 60 planes with no clearly articulated strategic plan to
deploy and utilize these planes on a profitable basis.

AirTran Consistently Fails to Deliver on Its Promises

AirTran leaves a trail of broken promises in markets it enters with great fanfare. AirTran typically promises growth and enhanced service in new markets, only to quietly retreat when it can't keep its word. Since 2004, AirTran has exited 29 markets it had promised to serve, sometimes returning in a scaled-down version and sometimes not. Notably, at Dallas/Ft. Worth, AirTran promised a bustling mini-hub with 30 flights a day to seven destinations by the end of 2004. Regarding Dallas/Ft. Worth, AirTran famously boasted in 2004, "No matter how intense the competition gets ... We've never been driven out of a market before, and there have been plenty of attempts to push us out ... We're here for the long haul." The reality told a far less impressive story: AirTran never attained more than 17 flights a day at Dallas/Ft. Worth and now, two short years later, it has only eight flights a day to two destinations. Similarly, AirTran dropped service at Washington Dulles from 16 to seven daily departures and Pittsburgh from 13 to six.
Now AirTran wants everyone to believe that it will add and retain 74 daily departures and 29 new destinations out of Milwaukee alone. 23 of those markets are smaller than the smallest market AirTran currently serves. In fact, AirTran's speculative plan for Milwaukee would have more flights and many more destinations than its current operation in Atlanta -- a city much larger than Milwaukee. Why believe AirTran this time?

AirTran Offers an Inferior Product and Inferior Service
Midwest has been recognized as "the best" domestic airline more than 45 times in the past 17 years by a variety of renowned ratings surveys. AirTran ranks poorly, if at all, in many of the same surveys. Most recently, Midwest placed first among single class service in the 2006 Conde Nast Traveler Business Travel Awards poll; AirTran finished last of 10 in its business class category. In fact, Midwest far outranked AirTran on all five of the categories on which both airlines were rated. At Midwest, we know that customer service excellence requires committed, highly trained and loyal employees. AirTran has not demonstrated that it has the will or the infrastructure to maintain or build the marketplace differentiation that Midwest has mastered for more than 22 years.

Midwest's Plan Provides Shareholders With Greater Value Than the AirTran
Offer

The Midwest Air Group Board of Directors recently reiterated its belief that AirTran's offer is inadequate because it does not fully reflect the long- term value of Midwest's strategic plan, including our strong market position and future growth prospects. Midwest's superior performance and positive trends demonstrate that the Midwest business model and strategic plan provide attractive value creation. We believe that Midwest's business model has staying power and can thrive in the restructured aviation marketplace. With a capable management team delivering strong results, projected 21% capacity growth in 2007 and projected 10% compounded annual capacity growth over the next three years, we believe Midwest shareholders will enjoy superior results by owning shares of Midwest. Midwest understands its markets and how to grow them profitably.

Midwest Air Group's Board of Directors has unanimously recommended that you reject AirTran's offer and not tender your shares. All of us on the Midwest management team fully support this position. We believe it is far wiser for you to own and hold Midwest stock than to tender your shares to the AirTran offer -- a company of declining value and broken promises. We are working hard every day to make sure that Midwest lives up to its potential. Thank you for your continued support.

Sincerely,
/s/ Timothy E. Hoeksema
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

This letter contains forward-looking statements about the results expected under the company's strategic plan and that otherwise may state the company's or management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions for the future. Words such as "projecting," "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "goal," "plan," "objective" or similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. It is important to note that the company's actual results could differ materially from the projected results contained in these forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause such a difference to occur include, but are not limited to, fees and expenses incurred in connection with AirTran's unsolicited exchange offer and the risk factors described in "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in the company's "Annual Report on Form 10-K" for the year ended December 31, 2006.
Important Additional Information
Midwest has filed a Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 (the "Schedule 14D-9") and amendments thereto regarding AirTran's exchange offer, which sets forth the reasons for the board's recommendation and related information. If you have any questions concerning the Schedule 14D-9 or need additional copies of Midwest's publicly filed materials, please contact MacKenzie Partners, Inc. at 800-322-2885 or at 212-929-5500 (collect).
Midwest Airlines features jet service throughout the United States, including Milwaukee's most daily nonstop flights and best schedule to major destinations. Catering primarily to business travelers and discerning leisure travelers, the airline earned its reputation as "The best care in the air" by providing passengers with impeccable service and onboard amenities at competitive fares. Skyway Airlines, Inc. -- Midwest's wholly owned subsidiary -- operates as Midwest Connect and offers connections to Midwest Airlines as well as point-to-point service between select markets on regional jet and turboprop aircraft. Together, the airlines offer service to 49 cities. More information is available at http://www.midwestairlines.com.
 
All that really says is that you can make numbers tell any story that you can want to tell. Nice try Mr Hoeksema. The companies would be better off merged into one.
 
Press Release Source: Midwest Air Group, Inc.


-- AirTran's share price lags behind its peers and Midwest. Between
January 3, 2006 and February 27, 2007, the average share price of low-
cost carriers is down 7.7%, while the average share price of network
carriers is up 35.5%. Midwest's share price is up an impressive 156.1%
in the same period, compared to an unattractive 35.8% loss of value for
AirTran's shareholders.

and why is midwest's stock price so high?? because of the takeover bid dumb ass ! .. and once i read more of their meaningless statistics, i discounted most everything they had to say. i guess they are pleading to the general public -which meanings their audience is dumb as a box of rocks.. but to me still comes off as a misleading and desperate attempt to manipulate numbers. I for one don't want the merger to go thru anyway.. pull the offer and tank their price back down to where it belongs.
 
"Figures don't lie . . . . . but liars figure" . . . .

Looks like Timmy's decided to come out swinging . . . . he must not have Comb-over Joe's $20 million golden parachute written into his contract (yet) .


.
 
All that really says is that you can make numbers tell any story that you can want to tell. Nice try Mr Hoeksema. The companies would be better off merged into one.

Jeez, and your profile says B-717. I wonder who you fly for? Actually, numbers don't lie. I don't think it's the airlines fault however. Nothing good ever comes out of Atlanta. Nothing.
 
[ i guess they are pleading to the general public -which meanings their audience is dumb as a box of rocks..

Of course they are.

Why else would they send a private letter, addressed to their stock holders, to the general public in the form of a press release?
 
"To further compound the problem, AirTran has committed to purchasing an
additional 60 planes with no clearly articulated strategic plan to
deploy and utilize these planes on a profitable basis."


I am not a business major so maybe someone can explain this to me. How is having 60 airplanes bought in 2003 somewhere in the mid 30 millions range a bad thing when the airplanes are now going for 5 to 10 million more in the world market (and maybe more with Southwest driving the demand up). I believe we have already sold 2 to a Nigerian airline for a decent profit.

Having the ability to grow if the markets are there or having to the ability to sell planes for a profit seems like a good spot to be in to me.
 
Airtran is still trying to buy Midwest out? Why not just drop it? The "merger mania" frenzy the media portrayed is over, due largely to US Airways bid failing to merge with Delta. We probably won't see a merger mania until the next aviation downturn.

What the heck do I know? My crystal ball keeps telling me to "Get off Flightinfo now!"
 
This letter contains forward-looking statements about the results expected under the company's strategic plan and that otherwise may state the company's or management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions for the future. Words such as "projecting," "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "goal," "plan," "objective" or similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. It is important to note that the company's actual results could differ materially from the projected results contained in these forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause such a difference to occur include, but are not limited to, fees and expenses incurred in connection with AirTran's unsolicited exchange offer and the risk factors described in "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in the company's "Annual Report on Form 10-K" for the year ended December 31, 2006.

In other words......Tim and the BOD are blowing smoke out their collective @$$...........!

BTW, the MEH BOD is responding to an SEC Filing from Airtran. The penalty of which (to Airtran) for filing false information is nothing short of disasterous for the company's finances. So between the two documents who has the incentive to tell the truth.....or lie?!?
 
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Jeez, and your profile says B-717. I wonder who you fly for? Actually, numbers don't lie. I don't think it's the airlines fault however. Nothing good ever comes out of Atlanta. Nothing.
Then who are you trying to blame it on? The crews?

All that really says is that you can make numbers tell any story that you can want to tell. Nice try Mr Hoeksema. The companies would be better off merged into one.
I, for one, don't want them merged. I do, however, believe they'd be a better combined airline from a financial standpoint with AirTran's growth schedule combined with Midwest's Customer Service.

However, we have also been confronted by many false and misleading claims made by AirTran about its offer and Midwest's business -- comments we believe are designed to divert attention from AirTran's deteriorating performance, lack of planning, and absence of a credible and profitable growth plan for its future. It is time to set the record straight.
AirTran's Business is Deteriorating
That's partially true, partially untrue. Loads are down. RASM is down. That's not hugely surprising given our entrance into several markets that have no idea who we are. You have to develop a customer base; it doesn't just happen overnight.

To say our "Business is deteriorating" is a huge spin that borders on an outright falsehood. Our loads on our established routes are doing just fine and are NOT deteriorating.

-- AirTran's load factors are on a downward track. AirTran's load factor declined 0.7 percentage points in 2006 and declined again in January
2007, down 1.6 percentage points... AirTran's declining load factors reflect a pattern of excessive capacity expansion leading directly to lower unit revenue, lower profits and lower value for AirTran shareholders.
No sh*t, sherlock.

That's a fancy way of making people think it's a long-term problem when, in actuality, it's the short-term cost of doing business in a new market. Lower unit revenue is a direct result of flying with lots of empty seats in the back given that our CASM hasn't gone up. Marketing in new cities will bring the loads up which will bring RASM back up.

That is, however, one of our biggest problems. Our marketing sucks.

-- AirTran appears to be focused on adding capacity, not profits. In the last half of 2006, Midwest's revenue per available seat mile (RASM) was
12.40 cents -- a 12.1% improvement from the last half of 2005.
AirTran's RASM was 9.54 cents in the last half of 2006 -- down 2.1%
from the same period of 2005.
Again, thanks for the rocket science analysis, Mr. Mensa. Of course Midwest's RASM has gone up. They haven't appreciably grown. They haven't appreciably expanded. They have, however, put more "meat in the seats". Good for them, but much more easily done on an established route and/or higher ticket prices which, because of their market presence, they can get away with once the public knows what and who they are, especially with Midwest's excellent product.

AirTran's deteriorating RASM performance underscores its inability to efficiently utilize its existing capacity. To further compound the problem, AirTran has committed to purchasing an additional 60 planes with no clearly articulated strategic plan to deploy and utilize these planes on a profitable basis.
Again, a hugely misleading statement. "No clearly ARTICULATED strategic plan..." That means we're not telling you what, where, and how we plan to deploy our new aircraft so you can move to screw us.

That's called Business 101.

The article is a huge slander piece that accentuates EPS (most investors make money off the margin, not the EPS although that goes into how well a stock might increase in value over time), and maximizes AirTran's decreasing RASM without acknowledging that all growth comes at some cost.

Southwest has been doing this for decades; their initial cities often operate with low load factors until everyone finds out there's new service. They have the benefit of being a household name world-wide. THAT'S what AirTran needs to work on, as well as improved Customer Service.

Get the name out there with a good product and the RASM will come.
 
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I just finished a 4 day with every flight full...
Seems like loads might be beginning to pick up again.
I think the MEH management is pulling out all the stops to try and make AAI look bad. They want to keep their jobs.
 
I just finished a 4 day with every flight full...
Seems like loads might be beginning to pick up again.
I think the MEH management is pulling out all the stops to try and make AAI look bad. They want to keep their jobs.


I have the load factors emailed to me once a week from pax movement; they're right back where they need to be from now through mid-march(that's as far as it goes for now)...I agree 100%...Timmy and MEH KNOW it makes sense but they don't want to lose their jobs. Load factors system wide and in ATL are high 80's and low 90's

You can't GET tickets on us to BOS, LGA, MCO, FLL, MIA, MDW, LAS, LAX, SFO, CAK, FNT in the next several weeks...I went to list myself on PHX and LGA flights that are a month away and they're already oversold or right at capacity.

Florida is FULL..New York is FULL...Cali is FULL...Spring break is here
 
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Pretty weak public statement...some true... some false... I agree with my peers..our airline is doing just fine !!!!...a little help for the outstations that ADDED flights for spring break would probably be appreciated by the rampies !!

What are SWA's load factors?...always way less than a major network carrier... Our loads are always similar to SWA's...always... its an efficiency thang!

I don't doubt that Midwest has a great product...but only on certain days and certain times.....Airtran is much bigger and many more options.... Canton loves us !! Boston has grown ! Msp grown... added lots of cities... Growing MDW slowly... trying to stay out of American's hair in DFW...? Newport News..doing fine..... PHL...welll again..doing just fine...Pleeeeez ... Oh and DCA...just fine... funny they never talked about Kansas City...

Shouldn't be too hard to see through this crap... I understand MCO is planning a media blitz before the big shareholder meeting in April.... Game on....!!! AirTran would be good for MKE...just like its been good for a lot of cities !! I'm flaggin BS on Timmy and Carol's press war.... All I keep hearing is undervalued..raise the price Joe !
 
LOL.!!! Most likely a radio commercial ! And an add in the paper...most likely the wrong city..oops! Ahhh it should be fun to watch...I'm starting to think this thing is erroding away...screw it ..spend the time and effort improving our system and operation.....Plan B ! Less hassle....besides I don't have any MEH stock anyway...rumor is most of the pilots and fa's at Midwest sold their stuff....sell sell sell !! Better get your dough while you can !!
 
I say let the POS collapse under its own weight . . . . give Timmy and Scornin' Carol a few quarters to send the stock price back to the dumper . . . we come in at this time next year, and buy it for half the price . . . we'll be heroes, they'll be the goats, and Lear70 will have upgraded, due to the UAL and AMR recalls. . . . .

Ty "the Savant" Webb


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<<rumor is most of the pilots and fa's at Midwest sold their stuff....>>

Most of the Skyway pilots I know (including myself) sold our options as well. Regardless of what you think of the company/merger issue, the inflated stock price because of all that made it a perfect time to sell off and put some money in my submarine fund.
http://www.ussubs.com/submarines/phoenix_1000.php3
 
An Animal attacks when it feels threatened! AirTran's business model has made AirTran successful during one of the biggest downturns in this industry. AirTran has been profitable the last seven years. It doesn't matter what happens in between,(each quarter) as long as you make money at the end of the year. Bottom line, AirTran made 15.5 million dollars for all of 2006. They also acquired new airplanes, new routes, and updated the fleet and made many other costly improvements throughout their system. REMEMBER still showing a PROFIT! Tim is a SCARED ANIMAL that is trying his best to hold on to what he has. Lets see what the shareholders say on March 8th. If it doesn't work, AirTran will probable move on and search for other opportunities. Keep in mind AirTran's marketing alliance with Frontier is going very well according to Frontier's CEO.
 
I've got to hand it to you Airtran guys, after years of waiting for Tim and the boys to do something, you've finally made him take action. Now, he's finally putting his growth plan into action, could be too little to late. He's got to be scared to be issuing stuff like that letter. Heck they even announced Seattle after years of "planning". My question is where are we getting the additional MD80 for the SEA non stop if the "new" used ones aren't ready?
 
Again a lot of emotions are displayed here, please remember its all about the $$$$$, no one cares about you or me, it doesn't matter what color is your 717 or 737, it doesn't matter if you serve cookies or not, if a shareholder think they will make money they will sell in a heart beat, I don't think it will happen at the current price though.



So, relax and enjoy the ride
 

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