TBM and Butler are sister companies, pretty much under the same ownership. Might as well be two divisions of the same company.
I know they submitted their Douglas tankers for the contracts, but it really does not sound too positive for them. You can count on Aero Union getting some of those contracts for the P-3s but for anyone else, hard to say.
I have been pretty pessimistic about me getting back in a LAT in the near future, since I was the newest employee, and in the oldest plane (Tanker 65 is ex USAAF, Navy and Marines, 1943 model). USFS is still demanding an Operational Service Life limit, even though Boeing (holder of the type certificates) says there is not one as long as the planes are maintained and inspected properly. Maybe somebody has come up with one, but I dont know.
Its too bad too, because I think some of the captains at TBM/Butler were going to retire in the next couple years even if all the tankers were still on, and I could have gotten typed soon, and possibly tanker captain at some point.