pilotguy143
Well-known member
- Joined
- Feb 25, 2006
- Posts
- 103
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Ditto....I'll be an FO again and was/am against that joke of a proposal.I am one of those captains.... I was , and still am against that proposal even if I soon go back to fo. Has nothing to do with being shortsighted, actually quite the opposite. If that went through, there would be NOTHING the fo's would get when we go to section 6 next year. The key to fixing the pay problem is getting rid of the blended payscale. I can guarantee that wouldn't have happened if the pay proposal passed. Now that it didn't we have a shot (maybe a long one but still) at fixing the cause of the problem.
No one matters unless you are fitting the new mold of what Delta wants down the road. Turboprops=Bad....CRJ200's=Bad.They are just getting the Comair treatment. Delta is going to remind them how little they matter, take away A/C, cut overhead costs, do voluntary furloughs etc
So in theory 60 airplanes is about 600-700 pilots, we currently have around 1200 total with 200 already on furlough. So 1000 minus 600 is about 400 pilots fat over the next two years. Any predictions if attrition do to the flow through to Delta and other airlines hiring in the next two years will be enough to mitigate more furloughs?? I have heard that Delta might up Mesabas flow through numbers from the current 9 a month to 20 to offset parking the saabs. Anyone else hear that one or is it even possible to change that number??
I agree with one thing....the company will ask for a blended Capt. rate if we get 700's.Just thinking out loud...and this is in line with the BIG DAL picture.
Let's say they want to give us more planes. Our cost structure is good but not the best. Our safety and service is good but we are heavy Senior Captains.
It's easy to prune the bottom side of the list. But cutting the high end of the list gets pretty hard unless something awesome/devastating happens - like a flow agreement or a bankruptcy. I mean people on the low side are happy with having a job and the senior people are fed up with the BS.
Park 1/3 of the fleet and that takes care of the bottom side of the list that is unhappy with the blended rate (note: nobody is happy). Downgrades happen in droves. Fresh to medium Captains are getting pissed. High seniority Capts. don't care. As we saw during the shamruptcy those low to medium Captains left at 50 a month sometimes - making Mesaba more cost efficient.
Suddenly DAL starts hiring. Compass has said they are going to hold the flow because they need the pilots (rumor I have read and not sure they can do), possibly opening up Mesaba to more than 9 a month and 10% of pilot group (this wording IS in our Flow agreement). So here is someplace to prune the more senior Captains off of the payroll.
Now DAL has us by the sack (loss of fleet and furloughs) and comes to us with something like CRJ700's (could be anything - Dashes of some flavor - but I really think it will be a CRJ product). There will be promises of some huge number (25 to 50), then there will be a hook in the bait...say a blended CAPTAIN rate for a combined 700/900 rate. The second hook will be - we can't split the FO rates cause of the blended Capt rates. But we'll raise the FO rates. Third hook in the treble will be something that removes the 200's.
I don't see a Big Sky type stick cause we already have Compass and Comair as wholly owned sticks and the rest of the contracted carriers.
I see us being the Low end 900 drivers but high end 700 drivers.
Now where will the aircraft come from? Well DAL has a plan to refurbish 60+ of them with first class seats. They could easily put them here just like they gave ASA the 4. Also there are 35 new 700's that could be purchased. I've spent a lot of time in the scope clauses and while I am probably wrong, I know the 76's are beyond cap, but the 70's are below. Just search and read about the DAL/NWA scope on here...it's pretty clear.
Now I am sure my over active imagination is getting the best of me but after shamruptcy being beaten by NWA for so long, I believe this is a possibility.
I unfortunately disagree with you on your assertion of being able to use section 6 to correct FO pay rates. The only things that matter in a section 6 negotiation are where the union wants to put the money and the resolve and unity of the groups negotiating.
You will face the same headwinds as last time you negotiated. The company will want to stick you with the cost of a rebid and its training costs. Which means the union will have to balance that expense and benefit. You will still need to decide if the FOs get a bigger raise at the expense of the Captains. Nothing will be different.
Now if you do the math and forecast out a three to four year negotiation process, which way puts more money in the pilot work groups pocket? You might be shocked to see which way costs the company more money for years past amendable. A higher cost is what will drive the company to the table to stabilize the expenses.
What are the reasons you believe this would alter the economics of the company if the proposal had been agreed to?