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Northwest Bidding for Midwest

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CRJ_Driver

The Man
Joined
Nov 27, 2001
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224
Northwest Airlines may be angling to grab Midwest

By TOM DAYKIN
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
Published on: 08/09/07
Milwaukee — With a deadline looming, Northwest Airlines Corp. appears to be the most likely challenger to AirTran Holding Inc.'s bid to buy Midwest Air Group Inc.

But industry sources say Midwest Air is more valuable to AirTran, giving it an edge in outbidding Northwest and other prospective buyers.

A sale of Midwest Air could be imminent. AirTran's tender offer expires at midnight Friday night, and Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Joe Leonard has vowed not to renew it when trading resumes Monday morning. Leonard wants a sale agreement by then.

Midwest Air said last week a committee of its directors would discuss a possible sale with AirTran and other prospective bidders. The company said there were four "interested parties."

AirTran and Midwest Air operate similar fleets and have only a handful of overlapping routes. Industry analysts and consultants have cited those factors in arguing that Midwest Air is more valuable to expansion-minded AirTran than any other airline.

Aside from AirTran, some of the prospective bidders are thought to be equity investors whose purchase would allow Midwest Air to become a privately held company. Chairman and CEO Timothy Hoeksema would remain at the helm.

Because an equity buyout requires a high level of debt, and with equity financing sources drying up, Leonard has cast doubts on the likelihood of that scenario.

At least one of the interested parties is another airline, said sources familiar with the situation. And indications are that it's Northwest, said one source who asked not to be identified.

Airline industry consultant Michael Boyd said a Northwest bid against AirTran makes sense.

Northwest, the second-busiest carrier at Milwaukee's Mitchell International Airport, views that city as its turf, said Boyd, who operates Boyd Group Inc., an aviation consulting firm in Evergreen, Colo. He and others said Northwest, with hubs in Minneapolis and Detroit, would buy Midwest Air mainly to prevent AirTran from building a hub in Milwaukee.

Midwest Air, which operates Midwest Airlines and regional carrier Midwest Connect, is the dominant airline at Mitchell International.

"The only way this would make sense for (Northwest) would be to head off new competition from an aggressive, healthy airline like AirTran," said Scott Hamilton, who operates Leeham Co. of Issaquah, Wash.

Representatives from Midwest Air and Northwest declined to comment.

Midwest Air has said the bidding process might not result in the company's sale, but Boyd expects a sale.

Nearly 60 percent of Midwest Air's shares have been pledged by their owners to AirTran's tender offer, Boyd said, and spurning an offer would likely result in shareholder lawsuits. Midwest Air's nine-member board, which includes three members nominated by AirTran and elected in June, wants to avoid litigation, he said.

AirTran's cash and stock offer is valued at $15.44 a share, based on Thursday's closing stock price of $11.02 for AirTran. That's a 6.3 percent premium to Midwest Air's stock price of $14.52. Midwest Air's price was $9.08 a share on Dec. 12, the day before AirTran announced its interest in the company.

Leonard says AirTran would replace most of Midwest Airlines' wide, two-by-two seats with narrower seats, boosting the amount of revenue generated by each flight. AirTran also would slash fares to draw more passengers, including those from northern Illinois who now fly out of Chicago.

Milwaukee would function as a second hub for AirTran, which uses Atlanta for 68 percent of its departing flights. With the airlines merged, 46 percent of AirTran's departures would be from Atlanta, with 25 percent of departures from Milwaukee.

"For Northwest, with a dominant position in Minneapolis-St. Paul and Detroit, there is no strategic value in Milwaukee, just a defensive one," said Kevin Healy, AirTran vice president of planning. Northwest, he said, would "only need to maintain enough service to prevent other competition," and would likely reduce service out of Mitchell International.

Northwest offered 38 daily flights from Milwaukee to 13 cities in the summer of 2005 as it tried to take market share from Midwest Airlines. But that strategy failed, and Northwest began dropping flights as it entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the fall of 2005. It now offers 15 daily nonstop departures to the airline's hubs in Minneapolis, Detroit and Memphis.

Northwest, which emerged from Chapter 11 in May, has been troubled this summer with a spike in canceled flights because the airline didn't have enough pilots.

Northwest said it plans to hire 250 to 350 new pilots within the next year. Also, Northwest has recalled nearly 400 furloughed pilots.





Find this article at:
http://www.ajc.com/business/content...s/2007/08/09/MIDWEST_0809.html?cxntlid=inform
 
tick......tock.........tick...........tock.............
 
If this thing blows up in their faces, AAI Management's gonna have "some 'splaining to do", Rucy . . .

First, they get outplayed by SWA for ATA, then the TA results in a probable recall of the NPA, and now this. . . . . should make for an interesting Q3 Conference Call . . .!
 
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Didn't see that coming or anything.... :rolleyes:

If they structure it right and offer the same money as AirTran but leave the Midwest management in place and let them run with additional financing, this may very well die on the vine.

If they don't, we're still in the running.

At least it's not boring. :D
 
Word will not be out until Monday on the outcome, according to the training center folks. Conference call w/ JL 3 days ago and he was (I believe he said) 90% sure it's a done deal. SWA did pop into the conversation as a possible bidder, so who knows, could be another ATA debacle. Also from JL, if it goes through, 22 aircraft in MKE (ours) right away. MKE as a pilot base, possibly MCI, no word of any others.
 
Word will not be out until Monday on the outcome, according to the training center folks. Conference call w/ JL 3 days ago and he was (I believe he said) 90% sure it's a done deal. SWA did pop into the conversation as a possible bidder, so who knows, could be another ATA debacle. Also from JL, if it goes through, 22 aircraft in MKE (ours) right away. MKE as a pilot base, possibly MCI, no word of any others.
BSkin, how long have you been in this industry? There is no such thing as a DONE DEAL until it is done and made public! They said the same thing about ATA and we all no that outcome. In this industry I can't tell you how many times I've heard pilots say, "It's a done deal" and it wasn't. This is coming down to the wire. AirTran has to make a decision on rather to extend or walk away by 9am Monday. Who knows what is going to happen, but I don't think it is a done deal at this point. Monday may shed more light.
 
I think this is funny, in a peculiarly tragic way, that FL is offering $315M for YX and only offered $100 (barely) for ATA. While I think YX is a fine airline and popular with the locals, FL is paying too much for it considering what it offers to them.

If FL had offered that kind of money for ATA, then they'd be going to Europe and HI and have a dominent presence in the Carib. vis-a-vis SJU.

Then again, integration would have been uglier than US/HP.
 
BSkin, how long have you been in this industry? There is no such thing as a DONE DEAL until it is done and made public! They said the same thing about ATA and we all no that outcome. In this industry I can't tell you how many times I've heard pilots say, "It's a done deal" and it wasn't. This is coming down to the wire. AirTran has to make a decision on rather to extend or walk away by 9am Monday. Who knows what is going to happen, but I don't think it is a done deal at this point. Monday may shed more light.


Eagle, RTFP post before you go spouting, where did "I" say it's a done deal!
 
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Also from JL, if it goes through, 22 aircraft in MKE (ours) right away. MKE as a pilot base, possibly MCI

What exactly do you mean when you say "Ours". You mean AirTran or MidTrans? Because if the deal goes through there is no longer yours or ours it is only ours. Even if its a done deal it won't be overnight so "Right away" will probably be down the road.

To make enough gate space for 22 new a/c the MD-80s would have to go away. If that were to happen there would be a lot of YX pilots displaced. I would think that those displaced pilots would get priority over New Hire Tranny FOs.
 
What exactly do you mean when you say "Ours". You mean AirTran or MidTrans? Because if the deal goes through there is no longer yours or ours it is only ours. Even if its a done deal it won't be overnight so "Right away" will probably be down the road.

To make enough gate space for 22 new a/c the MD-80s would have to go away. If that were to happen there would be a lot of YX pilots displaced. I would think that those displaced pilots would get priority over New Hire Tranny FOs.

"Right away" may not be the way he put it, but that was the way I, and everyone else that heard the call, interpreted it. "IF" it goes through, the MD's will be "quickly" replaced by the 73. Plan on keeping the Skywest service, don't know about the Dornier and 1900 guys. I'm just passing on what I heard. He did say 22 planes will be up there, above what Midwest already has there -- whether that means mostly 73s replacing the MDs -- I don't know - again, just passing on what was said!
 
Airtran and Midwest continue to meet through the weekend.

Weekend pivotal for Midwest

Airline negotiating with AirTran over possible sale, weighing other offers

By TOM DAYKIN
[email protected]

Posted: Aug. 10, 2007

Representatives of Midwest Air Group Inc. and AirTran Holdings Inc. are continuing to negotiate this weekend over a possible sale agreement.


"The weekend is going to be key," said one source, who asked not to be identified.

That source, who is familiar with the talks, said Friday he believes there's a "75 percent chance" that an agreement will be reached by Monday.
Another source, however, said a new twist involving Northwest Airlines Corp. could complicate the chances of an agreement being reached between AirTran and Midwest.

Northwest has discussed buying an equity stake in Midwest Air, instead of bidding to buy the entire company, that source said. That would accomplish Northwest's goal of preventing AirTran from creating a hub in Milwaukee without having to commit the roughly $400 million needed to buy all of Midwest Air.

AirTran's tender offer was set to expire at midnight Friday. AirTran Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Joe Leonard has said the offer will not be renewed when trading resumes Monday morning, raising speculation that a sale agreement might be reached by then.

Neither Midwest Air, which operates Midwest Airlines and Midwest Connect, nor AirTran issued any public updates Friday. A Northwest spokesman declined to comment.

Midwest Air said last week it would have discussions with four "interested parties" that had surfaced as possible bidders.

Aside from AirTran, the other parties are believed to be Northwest, the No. 2 airline at Mitchell International Airport, and two separate groups of equity investors.

Airline industry analysts and consultants believe Midwest Air is most valuable to AirTran, which operates a similar fleet, has few overlapping routes, and harbors ambitious expansion plans. Northwest, with hubs in Minneapolis and Detroit, would acquire Midwest Air as a defensive move to keep AirTran from building a major hub in Milwaukee, analysts said.
AirTran's cash and stock offer was valued Friday at $15.25 a share, based on AirTran's closing stock price of $10.70. That was a 7.2% premium to Midwest Air's closing price of $14.23 a share. Midwest Air's price was $9.08 a share on Dec. 12, the day before AirTran announced its interest in the company.

Midwest Air agreed to hold discussions with AirTran and other prospective bidders after nearly 60% of the company's shares were tendered to AirTran in June, and after three AirTran nominees were elected to Midwest Air's nine-member board by a 2-to-1 ratio.

As of Friday evening, the number of tendered shares had increased to 62.7%, AirTran said.
Also Friday, Midwest Air reported that the number of passenger miles flown by Midwest Airlines and Midwest Connect increased 25.9% in July compared with the year-earlier period.
But the company's revenue per available seat mile, a key indicator, dropped 3.5%. That indicator is up 0.3% for the first seven months of 2007, despite a 15% increase in passenger miles in that period.
 
Eagle, RTFP post before you go spouting, where did "I" say it's a done deal!
Go back and read your own post and see where you posted (and I know you were quoting JL) 90% done deal, and you can take your cursing and save it for someone who cares or just grow up. Don't take this crap so personal. Everyone on this board is free to express their opinions.............remember that. YOU WROTE 90% done deal!
 
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Word will not be out until Monday on the outcome, according to the training center folks. Conference call w/ JL 3 days ago and he was (I believe he said) 90% sure it's a done deal. SWA did pop into the conversation as a possible bidder, so who knows, could be another ATA debacle. Also from JL, if it goes through, 22 aircraft in MKE (ours) right away. MKE as a pilot base, possibly MCI, no word of any others.
Let's reread what you wrote above please! My comment was regarding the popular "It is a Done Deal" so often used in this industry...not personally attacking you...so chill!
 
Let's reread what you wrote above please! My comment was regarding the popular "It is a Done Deal" so often used in this industry...not personally attacking you...so chill!


Only reason I took it that way is that you addressed me, first thing you wrote. I was just passing what I heard. RTFQ just easily turned into RTFP, no worries, all in the same game!
 
I would hazard a *guess* that the 20+ aircraft to go to MKE immediately would likely be existing 717/737 which are ATL-based.

It would ease the gate congestion in ATL and likely give us a nice flow-through city for the flying.

As far as displaced MD-80 crews, I would *guess* the F/O's would go to whatever aircraft they wanted (717 or 737) as both would be available. The CA's are the big question mark. Would they go automatically to the 717 wherever their seniority would hold and just allow for a surplus of MKE 717 CA's or would they be allowed to mix into the system?

Seniority integration will take too long to work out to solve that issue by the time displacements take place,,, Tricky, IF we get it done and IF they move as fast as they claim.
 
New rumor around training house is buying aligent and using their MD and the Midwest MD for charters.

I hadn't heard about Allegiant, but I did hear a rumor that Joe might be interested in keeping the -80s for charter work.
 
Don't count out the Cudahy interests...

The Cudahys are as old and big money in southeast Wisconsin as it gets. They could write a check, unlike Air Tran which is reducing their capital outlay in real dollars using the cash and stock avenue.

Then again, a family isn't able to sock away that kind of cash over a 100 years by being stupid with the dough.

Do not discount the emotional importance of Midwest to the region and the state as a whole. We are a bit jealous of the companies we like - that's why the state has never repealed the "poison pill" law for companies incorporated here to use as a defense against hostile takeovers (and that card might yet be played in an effort to goose the price a bit more).

We shall see.
 
2 of our 80's are dedicated charter birds. Nicely decked out.

if this happens it is gonna get nasty if immediately 20 airplanes come up here and the md80 guys are displaced. those 50+ crews are used to daily schedules and being home every night.

moving a/c without a unified list is a bad thing, imho. it causes nothing but distrust and hostility. USAirways did this with the 757's on the AWA side, but hey they get along great right? ;)
 
The Cudahys are as old and big money in southeast Wisconsin as it gets. They could write a check, unlike Air Tran which is reducing their capital outlay in real dollars using the cash and stock avenue.

Then again, a family isn't able to sock away that kind of cash over a 100 years by being stupid with the dough.

Do not discount the emotional importance of Midwest to the region and the state as a whole. We are a bit jealous of the companies we like - that's why the state has never repealed the "poison pill" law for companies incorporated here to use as a defense against hostile takeovers (and that card might yet be played in an effort to goose the price a bit more).

We shall see.
Heard a crazy rumor that the Cudahy's (and other parties combined) offered $200m MORE than AirTran... sounds like too much BS to be even remotely true though....
 
Do not discount the emotional importance of Midwest to the region and the state as a whole.

Heyas,

MSN has a point here. I'm from the not-the-south south (IE Florida), but I've spent lots of time in the midwest.

Midwesterners have a quirky penchant for their region, states, towns and institutions. They will go to great lengths to defend what they consider to be "local folk" and they hold a grudge for a long time, and are probably the only people that would refuse a low fair because of it.

I can certainly tell you that AirTran, being from Georgia and all, is a MOST unwelcome suitor in MKE and most midwesterns have an unsaid contempt for all things Southern. If fact, I haven't seen such disdain for an outfit since USAir said "we'll replace Southern hospitaltiy with Northern efficiency" when they bought Piedmont.

While NWA may be the arch enemy, it IS a Minnesota company, and believe or not, that counts with a lot of folks in Wisconsin.

Be that as it may, everyone has a price, even if they won't admit to it, so we'll have to wait to see if someone names it.

Nu
 
"I would hazard a *guess* that the 20+ aircraft to go to MKE immediately would likely be existing 717/737 which are ATL-based.
It would ease the gate congestion in ATL and likely give us a nice flow-through city for the flying."


A big ease to our congestion! Everytime I get an updated "plot" from routing for each month, there's always something new to the puzzle. Hoping things move a little this weekend.

"Early nights" start Aug 21st...all 2200/2300 departures cut out on Tuesdays/Wednesdays...last flight will leave @ 2130...pretty early this year...last couple of years it started in Early to mid Sept.
 

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