Trends, long and short
Articles published in such sources as ATW, AW&ST, long-range trends observed over the past 50 years, short-range trends observed over the past 24 months, regular participation in the hiring and recruiting process, combined with a heuristic assumption to be the test proof of the of theory. Old timers will tell you I have been posting this for maybe the last 4-5 years. I just added the time today though
Posted in Sept 04 Here is the picture; patterns tend to repeat themselves. Any year ending in an 8 is a great year to get a job. In 1968, 1978, 1988, and 1998, there was lots of movements, guys leave jobs at AirTran and SWA for the "Dream Jobs" at UAL, DAL and USAirways. Years ending in 3 are terrible years for hiring 1973, 1983, 1993, 2003. Therefore, the next hiring boom will be in full swing by 2008. Never take a new job in a year ending in 9 Six months before 2008 is 2007 June and that is how you pick that date. Majors may not be hiring alot, but there will be plenty of jobs. Would you care to make a public wager that is hiring in 2008 is at least 200% better than it is this year.