UAL poised to emerge from bankruptcy “obscenely strong”
Bill Warlick, an analyst at Fitch Ratings added that United is set to emerge only with the aid of $3 billion in exit financing, which represents a big claim on the company's cash flow. "Obviously, there's a requirement that United will have to sustain strong operating performance for an extended period to service those obligations," Warlick said.
Some analysts see good things ahead for United, which used its time in bankruptcy to cut costs by $7 billion, restructure contracts with its United Express unit and dump its underfunded pensions.
"Fundamentally, the airline is obscenely strong. The future belongs to legacy carriers like United," airline consultant Michael Boyd said.
But he tempered his optimism for the airline, noting that United's plan assumes an average cost of $50 per barrel of oil over the course of the plan -- 2006 to 2010. Some analysts believe that forecast is unrealistically low, considering that NYMEX oil futures currently are trading above $62 a barrel. "They have a track record of putting out happy numbers," Boyd said.
Robert P. Mark
1/6/2006
Analysts say United Airlines' parent, UAL Corp., is perhaps just weeks from ending a three-year stay in bankruptcy and should emerge strong. But they also warn the hurdles are far from over for the carrier, including high fuel costs and a high debt load. 1/6/2006
Bill Warlick, an analyst at Fitch Ratings added that United is set to emerge only with the aid of $3 billion in exit financing, which represents a big claim on the company's cash flow. "Obviously, there's a requirement that United will have to sustain strong operating performance for an extended period to service those obligations," Warlick said.
Some analysts see good things ahead for United, which used its time in bankruptcy to cut costs by $7 billion, restructure contracts with its United Express unit and dump its underfunded pensions.
"Fundamentally, the airline is obscenely strong. The future belongs to legacy carriers like United," airline consultant Michael Boyd said.
But he tempered his optimism for the airline, noting that United's plan assumes an average cost of $50 per barrel of oil over the course of the plan -- 2006 to 2010. Some analysts believe that forecast is unrealistically low, considering that NYMEX oil futures currently are trading above $62 a barrel. "They have a track record of putting out happy numbers," Boyd said.