Ex737Driver
Contract 2020????
- Joined
- Aug 14, 2004
- Posts
- 1,240
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I know CAL gives everyone a PIC Type in all aircraft I don't know about UAL.Thanks, AA, UNICAL?
US Airways is expecting to hire in '11. Supposedly there are 800+ pilots over 60 as of now.
I'm assuming most, if not all, majors will be hiring off the street in 2011. If one had a choice, which major would be best to get hired at in 2011 and why? (I know 'best' is relative, but let's assume pay, seniority/advancement, and retirement are the criteria)
I'm particularly interested in which is better between DAL and AMR (assuming AMR starts hiring) but would be interested in what's going on at other airlines too.
US Airways is expecting to hire in '11. Supposedly there are 800+ pilots over 60 as of now.
get hired at Delta next year and you'll be 50% in the company in less than 10 years assuming -0- growth. Any growth (projecting a minimum of 3%) just moves that number sooner. Big time retirements coming at Delta fwiw
Jetblue
then AA does a pre packaged bankruptcy in the next two years, dumps eagle, buys jetblue and gets over 200 new planes overnight and over 40% of the market in JFK, dumps 5 billion in long term debt, walks out of the filing with over 10billion in the bank, all the guys over 63 take their packages and sail off at the rate of 1000 a year with depends and ensure to look forward to
Within 5 years you are sitting 777 international fo making 200k a year undder their new cba
Huh? 6000 pilots in 10 yrs retiring = Not even remotely close. Check your math.
get hired at Delta next year and you'll be 50% in the company in less than 10 years assuming -0- growth. Any growth (projecting a minimum of 3%) just moves that number sooner. Big time retirements coming at Delta fwiw
Here are the retirement numbers. Delta's list is about 12,300 now.
2011 8
2012 19
2013 102
2014 162
2015 224
2016 301
2017 360
2018 456
2019 538
2020 624
2021 807 =3601 total in eleven years.
2022 860
2023 812
2024 810
2025 714 =6797 total in fifteen years.
This assumes they all make it to 65. But the 50% in 10 years is wishful thinking. So is the "1700 over 60" quoted earlier.
Delta 10-15 percent bigger in 10 years is a realistic bet. New hire upgrade will be more than a decade away, and that is if everything goes well for the American economy, and legacy airlines.
Terrorism, rising oil prices, and mergers will also be major factors looking ahead.