UPT Info
The number who wash out of UPT seems to be directly proportional to the number of pilots the Air Force needs. If there is a perceived "shortage", they tend to lean towards the "Santa Claus" side and let some weak students slide. If they are cutting pilots, then they turn into Harda$$es.
When I went through in 2000, it was leaning slightly Santa Clausish. Our class didn't do too bad, but some other classes lost a few more people. Our class specifically had 1 student SIE in Tweets. She went off and got married one weekend -to an already rated pilot- and decided to be a wife and not a pilot...bad choice in my view since 20 years from now she'll be kicking herself in the arse once her husband leaves her for a 20-something flight attendant.
We had six wash back a couple of classes. Two were washed back at the very get-go for being overweight. One was washed back because he had so many 89 rides (elimination rides) that he got behind the curiculmn in Tweets and couldn't track-select with us.
Another also washed back in Tweets because she had bad luck with weather and broken airplanes. Another washed back in T-1s due to weather, and one guy washed back many classes after a serious knee injury playing basketball (required surgery).
But aside from the one SIE, everyone made it at some point.
But other classes were more typical. From what I knew of them, most classes experienced 1-2 SIEs, a couple of eliminations from poor flying, and maybe one or two eliminated for being airsick or some other problem (ie officership, "manifestation of apprehension" -ie afraid to fly-, etc).
So a normal class will start with 25-30 students, and graduate about 80-90% of the bunch.
Don't be worried about washing out of UPT. To be completely honest, I doubt it will turn into a "Harda$$" attitude for some time, since there is still a strong need for pilots. The people I knew of that were eliminated for flying problems really did suck...bad. They were often about 10 miles behind the jet, couldn't land it without putting the wheel struts through the top of the wings, or froze with drool coming from their mouths when they had to make a decision. IMHO, they would probably make pretty marginal Cessna pilots, so no surprise they couldn't handle a Tweet, Talon or Jayhawk.
In this day and age, the instructors will often go to great lengths to get you through a tough patch in your UPT career...IF you demonstrate you're giving 100%. Suck at flying AND act lazy...that's a ticket for your IPs and Flight Commander to decide not to have any sympathy for you. Be the "eager student", and they'll bend over backwards to help you as much as they can.
As for track select, an "average class" will generally have 5-6 active duty T-38 slots, 9-11 T-1 slots, 1-2 T-44 slots, and 1 UH-1 slot. Some classes have more, some have less of each. I saw one class where they had 2 UH-1 slots and no T-44 slots, and other variations. But they typically don't vary much either way on those numbers I gave above.
Hint: If you want a T-38, but think you're not good enough to get one, DO NOT put something else down as your #1 choice. There will always be a few students that will turn down the T-38 and go do something else, thus maybe creating the opportunity for you to get the coveted slot. In my class, there were two of us that didn't want T-38s, and we decided to go fly T-1s. A couple of guys who were worried to death about getting a T-38, because they knew there were on the fence, got their dream choice because we didn't want it. And one of those guys ALMOST put T-1 down as his #1 choice because he was sure he wouldn't get Talons.
Good luck in UPT.