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UPS stock is tanking, can concessions and furloughs be far behind?

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FreightNazi

not an ACMI
Joined
Nov 13, 2004
Posts
460
UPS 2Q Profit Misses Expectations
Tuesday July 25, 10:45 am ET
By Harry R. Weber, AP Business Writer UPS 2Q Profit Misses Expectations, Stock Falls More Than 14 Percent
ATLANTA (AP) -- UPS Inc., the world's largest shipping carrier, reported Tuesday a 7.6 percent increase in second-quarter profit on strong sales gains, but it missed Wall Street expectations as it was hurt by high fuel, rail, health care and pension costs.
The company also warned that its full-year earnings growth will be at the low end of its original forecast, and UPS shares fell more than 14 percent in morning trading.
The Atlanta-based company said it earned $1.06 billion, or 97 cents a share, for the three months ended June 30, compared with a profit of $986 million, or 88 cents a share, for the same period a year ago.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial were expecting earnings of $1 a share.
Revenue in the quarter rose 15.2 percent to $11.74 billion, up from $10.19 billion a year earlier. Analysts expected UPS to post quarterly revenue of $11.6 billion.
In a conference call with investors, Chief Financial Officer Scott Davis said UPS reported solid earnings despite "unexpectedly higher fuel costs."
Davis said fuel surcharges the company imposed lagged real costs by six weeks, and UPS had capped fuel surcharges in April and May but removed the cap in June.
He also said the company was affected by increased rail, health care and pension costs. Davis said a slowing economy had only a "slight impact" on UPS' results.
"It is a factor," Davis said of the economy. "We expect it to moderate." But, he added, "We still expect small package growth to be growing faster than the economy."
UPS said second-quarter daily ground volume increased 4.6 percent, while average daily volume for next-day air rose 4.2 percent. Total international package volume grew 16.5 percent, UPS said, even though there were three fewer operating days in Europe than in the same quarter last year.
For the first six months of the year, UPS, also known as United Parcel Service, earned $2.04 billion, or $1.86 a share, compared to a profit of $1.87 billion, or $1.66 a share, for the same period a year ago. Six-month revenue rose 15.8 percent to $23.26 billion from $20.08 billion a year earlier.
UPS said it now expects earnings per share to be in a range of 87 cents to 91 cents in the third quarter compared to 86 cents a share reported for the prior-year period. The third quarter will have fewer operating days than a year earlier, negatively impacting earnings per share comparison roughly 4 cents a share to 5 cents a share, UPS said.
The company also said that it expects full-year earnings growth to be at the low end of the company's original estimate of 11 percent to 16 percent growth for 2006. Shares of UPS fell $11.35, or 14.2 percent, to $68.65 in morning trading on the New York Stock Exchange, toward the low end of its 52-week range of $66.75 to $83.99.
 
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Kinda amazing how a growing company like UPS can make a BILLION dollars in profit per quarter, more profit each year than the last, and missing an analyst's earnings projection by three cents per share causes the stock to drop.
 
We better vote in this new contract to lock in our $300K a year pay or UPS will surely pull everything off the table and ask for concessions.
 
BoilerUP said:
Kinda amazing how a growing company like UPS can make a BILLION dollars in profit per quarter, more profit each year than the last, and missing an analyst's earnings projection by three cents per share causes the stock to drop.

Stock price is often based on expectations. Basic company performance is already priced in the stock price so if a company doesn't meet expectations, it falls even though it might make terrific profits. Happens all the time to Southwest.
 
The sky is falling, the sky is falling! We only made 1.06 Billion dollars! UPS is going out of business! Furloughs next week.

Gimme a break. All it is, is a fantastic opportunitly to buy the stock at 69 bucks!
 
BoilerUP said:
Kinda amazing how a growing company like UPS can make a BILLION dollars in profit per quarter, more profit each year than the last, and missing an analyst's earnings projection by three cents per share causes the stock to drop.


This sentence is the damage inducer, IMO.

>>The company also said that it expects full-year earnings growth to be at the low end of the company's original estimate of 11 percent to 16 percent growth for 2006.<<

Investing is more about the FUTURE and how much each purchased share will return in profits ... which then guides demand for the stock.

BBB
 
you people kill me...... this is funny funny stuff.....

Here is the blurb off of airupsers website.......just horrible horrible news......


UPS 2nd QUARTER PRODUCES
SOLID EARNINGS ON 15% REVENUE GAIN

ATLANTA, July 25, 2006 -- UPS (NYSE:UPS) today reported a strong gain in consolidated revenue and a 10.2% improvement in earnings per diluted share to $0.97. Global small package volume rose 6% or 841,000 additional packages each day.

Consolidated Results Second quarter Year-ago Revenue
$11.74 B $10.19 B
Operating profit $1.70 B $1.55 B
Operating margin 14.4% 15.2%
Average volume per day 15.0 M 14.1 M
Diluted earnings per share $0.97 $0.88

“Our global small package volume growth in the second quarter was robust, resulting in a solid earnings gain,” said Mike Eskew, UPS chairman and CEO. “The global small package market continues to expand and we are seeing significant opportunities for UPS.”

During the second quarter, UPS announced a $1+ billion expansion of its mega-hub at the heart of its global transportation network, Worldport, located in Louisville, Ky. The 1.1 million square-foot expansion will increase sorting capacity by 60% to 487,000 packages per hour. This five-year expansion plan reflects excellent growth projections in UPS’s air package volume around the world.


Man oh man.... what in the he11 are we gonna do now??? Furlough..... furlough......LOL:laugh:
 
Kinda amazing how a growing company like UPS can make a BILLION dollars in profit per quarter, more profit each year than the last, and missing an analyst's earnings projection by three cents per share causes the stock to drop.

Same thing happens with SWA...we post a profit and the stock goes down. Some post a loss and their stock goes up!?
 
legalized gambling, that is all wall street is. full of greedy profiteers who think looking to "the future" is what happens in a day or 2
 
the only way we can be more profitable and bring stock prices up is to hire more ACP's and managers because we are not top hvy enough as it is, this kills me how they say the health care and fuel cost is eating thier profits, WTFO? what about all those wasted over heads sitting around sdf and collecting 300000$ a yr, that's what is eating profits. U don't bring any rev in when u pay mgmt 300000 a yr to manage a pilot group that's on auto pilot and the back bone of this company. GET RID OF ALL OF THEM, LOOK AT FEDX 4800 pilots and 21 managers, UPS 2700 PILOTS AND 200 OVER HEADS AND GROWING. AGAIN WWWWTTTTTFFFFFOOOOO?
 
UPS: Upgrading to Strong Buy on Correction [UPS072506cup_1344] Analyst(s): William H. Fisher

* We are upgrading UPS to a Strong Buy from an Outperform following today's sharp 13% correction on its effective lower guidance (targeting the lower end of 11-16% EPS growth in 2006).
* UPS grew EPS 10% in 2Q06, with volumes and pricing generally in-line with our expectations, though International Export volume growth of 6.5% was light apparently due to three fewer days in Europe in the quarter, unbeknownst to us. Fuel surcharges, which lag fuel costs by six weeks, were the other culprit. More importantly, UPS provided anemic 3Q06 midpoint EPS guidance of $0.89 (again impacted by adverse day count) in targeting the aforementioned low double-digit EPS growth for 2006. The estimates incorporate several factors including: 1) the "slight impact" of more moderate economic growth assumptions, with GDP 3% or slightly lower; 2) lower synergies from the Menlo integration ($50 million vs. $100 million); 3) an aforementioned fuel surcharge lag; and 4) higher purchased transport costs, particularly rail. However, UPS indicated that high margin International Export volumes would rebound to 10%+ volume gains in 2H06.
* Putting all this together, we have adjusted our 2006 and 2007 EPS estimates by $0.10 and $0.20, respectively, to $3.85 and $4.30. We think the moves take into account even softer Domestic volume assumptions than UPS forecast and moderate synergies in the supply chain, but an even more pronounced buyback than the $4 billion of the last 18 months.
* We continue to believe International will be the key profit growth driver, with new flight frequencies and UPS "balanced" global network driving the business, representing over 25% of total profits. Additionally, given its free cash flow, which we estimate at over $4 billion (~6.3% yield) before dividends, and a heady 1H buyback program at higher prices, we surmise that UPS will be far more aggressive on the buyback.
* Our new target price of $79 is based on 18.5x our 2007 EPS estimate for a premier franchise generating double-digit growth, substantive free cash, and sporting a 24% ROE, with a lower-than-historical multiple vs. the market. In terms of catalysts, a November analyst meeting should highlight 2007 prospects - a year representing UPS' 100th anniversary and one where the company will likely "pull all the stops." We stress pension costs will likely reverse and acquisition integration costs will be history.
 
Freightnazi, 400aDude and Brownie: Good job stirring up the shiiite yet again. I will get my bags packed and resumes out because I am in the bottom 400 of the pilot group and would expect my furlough notice soon. ;)

Funny stuff!
GB
 
Just wait until the LCC cargo airlines come onto the scene!!

How about ValuPackage? FedTier? ABTran? TruckBlue??
 

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