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Travel Columnist take on Siegel Video

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canyonblue

Everyone loves Southwest
Joined
Nov 26, 2001
Posts
2,314
BY JOE BRANCATELLI

March 25, 2004 -- Especially when I chronicle the folly of the Big Six airlines, this column sounds like a one-man radio play-by-play broadcast. It spits out a nonstop stream of facts, figures and blow-by-blow accounts and then, during breaks in the action, it squeezes in some analysis and opinion.

But this week is different. Because the hollow men who run US Airways have been calculating enough (and clueless enough) to post the video feed of yesterday's death-be-not-proud meeting between chief executive David Siegel and an in-studio group of stone-faced employees, I can concentrate on being your color man. The play-by-play is posted on the Web for you to see, so consider this column color commentary packed with pithy observations, timely context and some much-needed doses of truth and reality.

Fire up your computer's media player, set aside an hour (that's the length of the video presentation) and let's you and I watch US Airways chief Siegel walk his carrier down the aisle to oblivion.

Now remember: This presentation, while purportedly aimed at employees, is actually management's attempt to bamboozle everyone: lenders, creditors, suppliers, the media and, of course, frequent travelers. That's why it's up on the airline's public Web site. And remember that employees are being asked to take a third round of pay cuts while the airline continues to hemorrhage cash and passengers. Southwest Airlines arrives at US Airways' Philadelphia hub in May and the carrier has already been told by its auditors that it is not a going concern. Lastly, since this has been released to the public, you must assume that this is apparently the absolute best that the self-obsessed and delusional top management at US Airways can do.

What do we see as the video opens? Well, we can immediately tell that this is going to be another one of those rally-the-troops presentations that we endure in our own businesses. But look at how cheesy everything is: Siegel's creepy ear-to-ear grin in the opening shot; his garish yellow tie; the cardboard-cutout, blue-sky background. And check out the audience of employees: no smiles and no hope. They don't trust this guy. They look disgusted, distracted, bored and numb. They don't believe a word he's saying.

Siegel does a remarkably good job of explaining why airlines like JetBlue, Southwest and AirTran are making money and winning passengers. He admits it: They give the customers more, charge them less and have better ideas. Later, however, he claims that US Airways offers better service than "those guys." I dunno, Davey...

As the video rolls on, however, you'll be thinking: My god, this speech should have been delivered four years ago. This is all so old news. If Siegel and his acolytes have just realized all this now, it's already too late to save US Airways.

Watch as Siegel keeps getting off-message. It's clear that his braintrust (such as it must be) has told him to repeatedly brand carriers like Southwest as "low-cost airlines." That way he can tell employees how much of a financial hit they must take. But he keeps slipping and calling them "low-fare airlines" at regular intervals. That's substantially different, as we'll see in a moment.

Here's something to watch for as the video drones on: the vision thing. Where is it? There not only isn't a single original thought here, there isn't a glimmer of an idea of the kind of airline that Siegel wants US Airways to be. As Siegel talks, think about how the parents talk in all those Peanuts television specials. You know: Wah-h-h, Wah-h-h, Wah-h-h. All mawkish sound. No substance. No ideas at all. "We can't beat them [Southwest] at their own game," Siegel says at one point. But he never, ever explains what the US Airways game is.

And you know what's astonishing? The more the video rolls, the more Siegel admits that he has no idea at all about what US Airways can or will be doing. Listen: US Airways management hasn't decided about the future of the Pittsburgh hub. US Airways management hasn't decided about its fleet. US Airways management hasn't decided whether to drop first-class cabins. The US Airways "board continues to consider asset sales."

When Siegel finally gets to the core of what he sees as US Airways' problem, he comes to cost. US Airways costs 10 cents a mile to operate, he complains. Carriers like Southwest are operating at 6 cents a mile. "We're a 10-cent carrier and they are 6-cent carriers," he says at one point. Sounds pretty daunting. No business likes to be competing when it operates with a 40 percent higher cost structure.

But here's where the off-message low-fare/low-cost point becomes relevant. Let's take Siegel at his word and say that US Airways runs at 10 cents per mile and Southwest runs at 6 cents per mile. Then why are US Airways' fares so offensively high? When it launches in May, Southwest will charge $140 for a refundable, one-way, walk-up ticket between Philadelphia and Chicago's Midway Airport. Fly between Philadelphia and Chicago/O'Hare tomorrow on US Airways and you'll pay $419.10 for a nonrefundable walk-up ticket. That's three times more. A flight between Philadelphia and Chicago is 677 miles. Siegel claims that US Airways operates at a 4-cent-per-mile disadvantage against Southwest, so that's $27.08 of added cost between Philadelphia and Chicago. Yet Southwest is charging $140 and US Airways expects flyers to pay $280 more!

As Siegel blathers on, let's try one more fare/cost comparison. Operating at 6 cents per mile, Southwest will charge $168 for a refundable walk-up ticket between Philadelphia and Tampa. Fly Philadelphia-Tampa tomorrow on US Airways and you'll pay a refundable fare of $475.11. At 922 miles of flying on that route, US Airways' 4-cent-per-mile operating disadvantage works out to $36.88. Yet it charges $307 more than Southwest will be asking. That's a markup of more than 800 percent on its higher operating costs.

Now pay careful attention when Siegel turns apocalyptic. Southwest and its chairman, Herb Kelleher, are trying to kill US Airways, he claims. "They're the enemy," he says repeatedly. "They're coming to kill us. Herb Kelleher...wants our customers...wants your jobs." C'mon, folks, does anyone in business respond to this jingoist crap anymore? Besides, all last year Siegel claimed that it was Delta Air Lines that was trying to kill US Airways. Even in the last 30 days Siegel told a Washington business group that Delta's goal was to "drive us out of business." Is Siegel a fool? In denial? A really bad snake-oil salesman? Or an honest-to-goodness paranoid?

And watch for Siegel's pitch for concessions. He says he's "willing" to forgo a huge golden parachute that he can deploy in April. He's says he's "willing" to give up salary, too, and be paid more reasonably. So why hasn't he done it? If I were about to go before my entire unhappy workforce and ask for a third round of concessions, I'd have made sure that I could stand up in front of them and say, "Look, here's what I've already done personally to sacrifice." Watch the video and you can only come to one conclusion: Siegel hasn't renounced his golden parachute because he's still thinking about getting out while the getting is good for him.

Don't miss Siegel saying that "we're starting today" to fight Southwest Airlines. How come he waited until the end of March? Southwest announced it was launching Philadelphia service last October. What the hell has US Airways management been doing for the last six months?

And watch as Siegel moves on to his let's-be-like-Rocky-in-Philadelphia spiel. Obviously, the same handlers who thought Siegel could sell Herb Kelleher as a job-stealing, company-destroying madman thought Siegel could sell US Airways as Rocky. But they forgot one thing: The cinematic truth behind the hackneyed Rocky comparison.

Check out the sad and earnest Philadelphia employee who gets up during the question-and-answer section and delivers a knockout haymaker to Siegel's gut: "I really appreciate Rocky," she says ruefully. "But he lost the fight."

You can turn off your media player when you reach that point. The rest of the show is just Siegel turning out the lights at US Airways.

A postscript: Southwest Airlines announced today that it was stepping up its incursion in Philadelphia. Besides the service to six cities (Chicago/Midway, Tampa, Orlando, Las Vegas, Phoenix and Providence, RI) that launches on May 9, Southwest said it will add seven more destinations beginning July 6: Fort Lauderdale; Houston/Hobby; Los Angeles; New Orleans; West Palm Beach; Raleigh/Durham; and Manchester, NH. Advance-purchase fares begin at $29 each way. Walk-up fares start at $49.
 
Those poor bastards. With genious like that at the helm, they're screwed. No offense to USAir people, I feel genuinely bad that a moron like Seagull was allowed to destroy your airline.
 
IMHO, SW has done two things right, and it has nothing to do with costs and everything to do with revenue. First, WN's FF program rocks. For quite awhile, it was possible to get a free roundtrip ticket system wide after FOUR (4) round trips period. If there was ANY open seat, the customer was able to book it. No capacity controls. Now, it's up to five or six rt's for a freebie.

Second, their fare structure is simplified. I betcha the guarantee of a walkup fare being capped at $300 each way has done wonders for their biz travel markets.

If U were smart, they'd restructure their fares so the biz/first cabin is filled 100% with revenue F fares. I would pay a significant premium to ride U F to LA from Philly if it meant getting a good hot meal and avoiding a middle seat for five hours.

The FF programs would have to be restructured to compensate for the prediction that U is trying to fill the premium cabins. Something like 6 rt's could give a free coach ticket, and maybe, I donno, 10 for an F ticket for domestic and add a 50% premium for int'l travel for both cabins. Get rid of unlimited elite upgrades. OTOH, a paid F ticket might be a 50% trip premium.

SWA can be beaten at their own game. However, the name of the game is NOT cost, it's revenue. The minute U figures that out, they can at least show up to the battle field.
 
He was only able to look successful at CALX because he really didn't have to run anything. It all flowed downhill from mainline as to what he did or did not do, while there. Plus at the time CAL and CALX were on autopilot meaning just about anyone could have led CAL or CALX between 97-2001.

I feel for the employees of USAirways as they have a CEO who really has no experience running an airline. Much less one that really needed a leader prior to his hiring. DS will ultimately move on in the airline community but his employees will not. Sad.
 
Six months down the line, SW will be charging the same walk up fares that Airways is charging today.
 
Hmmm...

Albie,

I think that is the most succinct statement I have ever seen you post. Who are you and what have you done with the real Albie?!?

chperplt,

What in SWA's history (especially recent history) has suggested they will do something like you suggested? Considering their business model is based on the vacation traveler and not the last minute business meeting traveler, I haven't seen anything that would indicate what you suggest would happen.

Fly Safe,

FastCargo
 
FastCargo

Go on Southwest's website and price out some fares. Take your pick of to/from and 7/14/21/walk up fare.

Unless you're one of the lucky few that get the discounted seats, you're going to pay a nice chunk of change.

SW is going into PHL the same way they, or any airline goes into any new city. They are going to start with low fares to get the customer base, and in this case, when Airways goes bye-bye, those fares are going to jump up to where they should be.

I don't have a problem with what they are doing, but let's at least admit what is going on. There is no difference between this and what Walmart does to Kmart and Target.
 
Tried it...

chperplt,

I did what you suggested, because I was curious. I found that SWA walk up fares, while expensive compared to their reserved prices, were still cheaper than other mainline (USAir, United, Delta, Northwest) fares...on the average. And none of them exceeded 3 figures, unlike some of the mainlines.

Some caveats...some cities I tried SWA didn't have service that day in particular or was fairly limited. Also, some SWA flights had significantly more legs than other major airlines.

So, overall I'm still not seeing what you suggest. I can tell you when I use different flights for deviation on deadheads, that I almost (note I say ALMOST) always can fly on SWA for cheaper than the contract rates FedEx gets. Disadvantage is that SWA doesn't fly into Memphis...but since I don't live there...

Anyway, good discussion so far...still wondering where Albie REALLY is...:).

Fly Safe,
FastCargo
 
chperplt said:
Six months down the line, SW will be charging the same walk up fares that Airways is charging today.

Southwest, like ATA, caps all one way fares at $299. So, you would never pay more than $600 for any round trip flight. U has no cap and will gleefully rape anyone desperate enough to try and book something like this. I just tried to book the miserable city pair of MDW to AUS on both SWA and U for tomorrow, returning the next day. SWA quoted one stops and single connections each way for $594, while U quoted nonstops out of ORD (on a United CRJ) for $846. SWA is not going to change their fare structure, regardless of what happens to U, just to gouge a few more bucks out of their passengers. They don't need to. The one way cap is a part of their strategy to make their product more attractive to business and desperation passengers. OK, so the cabins are dirty, the cattle car boarding process is miserable unless you are in the first boarding group, and it's tough to get any serious work done while the blue-haired old lady crammed in the seat next to you is singing happy birthday at the top of her lungs to some kid in the front of the plane. You still are going to save serious bucks on a walkup fare.

Actually, I just made a good case for ATA. We have the $299 one way cap, new aircraft with assigned seating, video entertainment to keep spontaneous singing to a minimum, and will have a business class section later this year so people can get some work done on the plane. Southwest is still going to kick our asses in PHL, though.
 
I visited PHL recently and every USAirways employee I saw looked downtrodden and melancholy... You could tell they were almost ready to turn the lights out. You can only squeeze so much juice out of a peach.

So, given the rising fuel costs, when would you predict USAirways officially shuts its doors? I mean no disrespect to all of the USAirways employees who have had to endure this ridiculous blood-letting...

How much time does USAirways realistically have? Although I would hope for the best, my guess with the rising fuel prices and the difficult-to-maintain loan covenants would be August...

How about your best guess?
 
I overnighted in CLT a couple of weeks ago and happened to go by the US counters. Noticed approximately half of them were empty (computers and all equipment removed). Didn't even have E Ticket kiosks in front of them. Just abandoned. It was kinda shocking.........

Looks like a grand old lady may be taking her last breaths......when US goes it will be a sad day indeed. Best of luck to all of the folks at US (formerly Piedmont/Allegheny/Mohawk) Airways.......
 
??????

Did anyone watch the video? I looked all over their website...nada, zip, zilch. Did they pull it off following this article, or did I miss it somewhere?
 
him

David Seigel did not bring this airline to its knees. How about Steve Wolf or any others that have been there before. They ahd a heavy commitment to the east coast, went into all the airports that were effected by traffic flow problems and weather problems.

How many of oyu remember when Piedmont was this happy little nice carrier. The trouble is that USAir bought them and made them part of their culture. It should have worked the other way.
They should have adopted Piedmont's way of doing business, culture, and cost structure.

Their aborted merger with United, now there was another Wolf inspired way for him to cash more stock options.

Maybe this guy has failed to save the airline and is everything you say. We cannot however lay the failure of the airline on his back. It took time and others.
 
Not sure who said, "SWA business plan is based on vacation travellers", the fact is WN's business model is based on BUSINESS travellers.

From day one SWA operated flights between SAT-DAL-HOU for the purposes of business travellers.

For the other person who said,"WN will raise prices as soon as USAir is out of the game". Not so, SWA is not competing(fare-wise) with other carriers. SWA is competing with the automobile.

Just thought I'd clear that up.
 
SWA GUY said:
Not sure who said, "SWA business plan is based on vacation travellers", the fact is WN's business model is based on BUSINESS travellers.

From day one SWA operated flights between SAT-DAL-HOU for the purposes of business travellers.

For the other person who said,"WN will raise prices as soon as USAir is out of the game". Not so, SWA is not competing(fare-wise) with other carriers. SWA is competing with the automobile.

Just thought I'd clear that up.

Excellent post.
 
smellthejeta said:
First, WN's FF program rocks. For quite awhile, it was possible to get a free roundtrip ticket system wide after FOUR (4) round trips period. If there was ANY open seat, the customer was able to book it. No capacity controls. Now, it's up to five or six rt's for a freebie.

I'm a Rapid Rewards member and while the program is decent, I wouldn't say it rocks. It does cater to folks like me - on business travel. It takes 8 round trips to get the freebie...but you can cut down on that by getting the bonus credit by booking online (to 6 round trips).....but the real catch is you have to do that travel in a 12 month period. And once you get the freebie you have to use it within a year as well. But that kind of program doesn't cater to the leisure traveler who doesn't fly that much in a year. But the marketing sure makes it sound good.

I much prefer my Continental Onepass program where the miles don't expire like the SWA trips do. Using the miles system it's also much easier to get a freebie... I got enough miles on 3 roundtips on CAL to get a freebie (and with fares the way they are it wasn't that big of a price differance). That and programs like hilton honors that let you double dip, you get more miles vs a 1/2 trip credit with rapid rewards.


(For those wondering I'm not a Skymiles member...why, since I don't pay for those tickets and where I live CAL and SWA are much more convienient with non-stops)
 

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