Full of LUV
Well-known member
- Joined
- Feb 4, 2002
- Posts
- 1,021
Quote....You guys are both correct in stating that Mesa is a wet leasing company.
Will the gravy train soon be over? Not in the near future, in my opinion.
I think the future will look something like this: The legacies will continue to outsource their flying to lowest bidder companies, like Mesa. The majors' drawdown in domestic capacity will be replaced by international expansion, where applicable. Mesa will continue to grow at a record pace with planes like the 900, and others. So, it will be a moot point whether companies like LCC fly the 190: they won't be doing as much domestic flying as legacies anyway. And if LCC has the aircraft, their pilots will of course make a couple of bucks more than the Mesa pilots, but with less job security and at the bottom of an ever-shrinking seniority list.
At some point the market will get saturated with 900s, just like it did with the 50 seaters (maybe another 7-10 years?) JO and JO-types will then take their 900s, or bigger equipment, independent to continue their company's growth. Another cannibalistic cycle completes itself, but now JO has 100+ 90 seaters, a hot "right sized plane" for point to point flying, and starts flying under his own colors. By then these JO-types and JBLU will be all over the place with this size aircraft and put serious downward cost presssure on SWA and whoever else is left.
OK flame away.........
How's that MESA career panning out, good thing you didn't jump to a major back in '05.
Will the gravy train soon be over? Not in the near future, in my opinion.
I think the future will look something like this: The legacies will continue to outsource their flying to lowest bidder companies, like Mesa. The majors' drawdown in domestic capacity will be replaced by international expansion, where applicable. Mesa will continue to grow at a record pace with planes like the 900, and others. So, it will be a moot point whether companies like LCC fly the 190: they won't be doing as much domestic flying as legacies anyway. And if LCC has the aircraft, their pilots will of course make a couple of bucks more than the Mesa pilots, but with less job security and at the bottom of an ever-shrinking seniority list.
At some point the market will get saturated with 900s, just like it did with the 50 seaters (maybe another 7-10 years?) JO and JO-types will then take their 900s, or bigger equipment, independent to continue their company's growth. Another cannibalistic cycle completes itself, but now JO has 100+ 90 seaters, a hot "right sized plane" for point to point flying, and starts flying under his own colors. By then these JO-types and JBLU will be all over the place with this size aircraft and put serious downward cost presssure on SWA and whoever else is left.
OK flame away.........
How's that MESA career panning out, good thing you didn't jump to a major back in '05.