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Some Regional Predictions from Michael Boyd and the Boyd Group

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All of those things happened in 2008. It probably wasn't tough to predict that, but it did happen. When oil was near $130 a barrel, RJs were starting to be parked, and have been parked ever since. (look at Comair) LCCs stopped their expansion, and the Legacies did get new management---RA took over at Delta and found a merger partner with NWA, Larry Kelhner left CAL, etc. A lot of what he says is obvious, and a lot of it also becomes reality. If you want to read all of his predictions, you can go to his website. Interesting reading.


Bye Bye---General Lee

Reality is RJ's are being parked now...Mesa and Comair...and more are being parked than bought. These airframes that haul 50 Pax..cost as much to maintain as a 90 seater..problem is a 90 seater is overcapacity for some of the rural markets...I wouldn't be surprised to see more turboprops to out of the way places with gas prices climbing.
 
Reality is RJ's are being parked now...Mesa and Comair...and more are being parked than bought. These airframes that haul 50 Pax..cost as much to maintain as a 90 seater..problem is a 90 seater is overcapacity for some of the rural markets...I wouldn't be surprised to see more turboprops to out of the way places with gas prices climbing.

Of course, I agree. The Dash-8-400 is a great aircraft that burns less than a 50 seat RJ, but carries more passengers. But, they also encroach on mainline territory sometimes. Take a look at Colgan and their Dash-8-400s in EWR and soon IAH. They have replaced older 737-500s that used to do a lot of NE corridor flying. They hold less seats than a 735, but still have the wingspan to take up a full gate area. That has to be watched by the UAL/CAL MECs too. It's great when they fly to smaller cities that need the service (Horizon does a great job from Eugene to LAX, Santa Rosa to LAX, Sun Valley to SEA, etc), but when you throw them up against SWA 737s, it may not work as well. Throwing RJs and large props against the new SWA/AT combo just won't work profit wise. Scope clauses need to be tightened, for EVERYONES' OWN GOOD. AMEN. ;)


Bye Bye---General Lee
 
geeshhhh another brillant post by Jenny Lee's admirer and stalker, wanna-be a big boy pilot & fly w/ jennylee, PUTZ! :laugh:
 

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