Seems to be a bangwagon going on here so ill jump off. Just because Dave says there is not correlation between low time/experience and accident rates doesnt doesnt make it so. Just think about this one logically for a second folks. Why for example are teenage driver insurance rates so much higher than say thirty year olds? Yes there is some maturity that plays in but the lack of experience is the most signigicant factor. This is also true of aircraft accidents. So there are high time pilots with poor judgement, this is true, but from my own experience (and i am no ace pilot) watching the fledgling new hires I fly with there is not question in my mind inexperience statistically leads to more accidents. Ive seen plenty of the new guys/girls Ive flown with try to land me on the wrong runway, descend early over mountainous terrain, forget things that an experience pilot from making the same stupid mistake finally ingrained into his routine so as not to make the same mistake. Low time pilots also dont have the exposure to varied situations that would afford them to pick the best decision for the particular objective to be met....how can someone use their superior judgment skills without having accumulated enough real world knowledge to know what is best?
Sited below are some statisical and objective examples of inexperience leading to higher error rates. Sure there are in some of these other factors involved (fatigue) but there is not question in my mind that inexperience leads to higher accident rates. Also, though i still make my share of mistakes today I can say looking back its amazing i survived due to lack of experience types of mistakes.
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/asma/asem/2005/00000076/00000001/art00009;jsessionid=82qp9glrmsqc3.alice
http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:aqTvDq5VYe8J:medind.nic.in/iab/t03/i1/iabt03i1p30.pdf+inexperience+higher+aircraft+accident&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=6
Please see Material and Methods A and B to see that age and number of flight hours were the two biggest determiners of accident rates.
http://aviation-safety.net/database/record.php?id=19540430-0&lang=en
PROBABLE CAUSE: "a) Delay in feathering after failure of the port engine (due to inexperience of the pilot in emergency procedures), which resulted in a loss of height; b) the subsequent attempt to establish a climb with a nose-high attitude (to get over the obstructions), below the recommended single-engine rate of climb speed, with both gear and flaps up, and c) the progressive loss of airspeed which finally resulted in a stall on a coconut tree.
http://www.aviationtoday.com/cgi/rw/show_mag.cgi?pub=rw&mon=0604&file=fromtheinstructors.htm
Variables that lead to the domino effect and cause a pilot to crash can be avoided, as we can see in analyzing the actions of the accident pilot.
These variables include:
Knowledge of the weather—The pilot should have request a weather and outlook briefing at the departing airport. He should have analyzed weather conditions. Weather obviously played an important role in this accident. Statistics show 17 percent of all accidents are weather-related.
Experience level—This pilot was not familiar with mountain flying or with recognizing turbulence and downdraft. He was ill-prepared to cope with strong winds or to avoid the leeward side of big mountains. These are critical in avoiding accidents. Even very experienced pilots have respect for high mountains.
Decision-making—The pilot did not react immediately when the RPM fell. With proper training and better awareness he could have recovered his lost RPM and safely turned away from this ravine. The R22 and R44 both have a governor. But the governor will not help the pilot control the RPM when the pilot is exceeding his maximum manifold pressure.
Lets not forget another well known inexperienced pilot getting in over his head
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0UBT/is_28_14/ai_63302388
"Other inexperienced pilots, who have become disoriented, almost invariably regret a lack of prudence and a failure to appreciate their limitations."
Heres an antedotal blog
http://flightlevel390.blogspot.com/2005/06/i-had-no-idea.html
http://avstop.com/Stories/mystic.html
PS- Go easy on the spelling