As those who fly for Alaska know, the Dec bid month is an anomoly. At least a dozen to twenty, or even more, FOs who could have held a decent line (while flying on Christmas) elected to bid for open flying lines or reserve lines to get Christmas off. In addition, there are some FOs who are not bidding for this month as they are LOSA observers. Makes lots of room for less senior pilots to get a line with flying during the holidays. Jan through May will be a different story.
For those here who do not fly for Alaska, there are roughly 250-260 bid lines in SEA for FOs during the winter (in addition to 31 open flying lines in Dec). Next summer that might go up to as high as 280-290 (in addition to 30 to 35 open flying lines). A guy who has been here in SEA roughly a year right now is biddng at right about the 300 position in the FO SEA base. Lots of FOs have to pass up lines in favor of open flying or reserve in order for the #300 position to get a line. We have quite a few all nighter lines and there are many who simply refuse to fly those for QOL reasons. These all nighter lines do tend to go more junior. So, it is possible to hold a line of all nighters intermittently right now in SEA at about the year to two year point. This summer we won't have enough pilots to fill the schedule ... especially if we don't have a contract (and we won't).