It isn't that simple!
rigger said:
I have flown in just about everything, with all kinds of pilots in all parts of the world -- British, French, Pakistani, Iranian, Japanese, Chinese -- and there wasn't a dime's worth of difference between any of them except for one unchanging, certain fact: the best, most skillful pilot has the most experience.
— Chuck Yeage
Nough said....The more you listen, the more you fly, the more you know the better you'll be!
Rigger,
There is absolutely no question that ALL OTHER THINGS BEING EQUAL that the more experienced pilot will be the best pilot. Unfortunately, in the real world that is not necessarily the way it works out.
A friend of mine once flew an L-1011 into the swamp west of Miami. (Actually, he allowed the autopilot to do it.) Between them, the three guys in that cockpit had over 50,000 hours and more than 60 years of experience; yet, they committed one of the most simple, basic errors that a pilot can commit. There were, of course, a lot of individual enabling events, but the root event was one stupid oversight that none of them ever thought they would be guilty of.
If you study human factor accidents, you will find that once they reach an operationally competent level of experience that low time pilots and high time pilots make the same mistakes, with about the same frequency. With due respect to Chuck Yeager, I stand by my absolute certainty that experience alone is not the factor that determines how good or safe a pilot is.
To make myself absolutely clear, I'm not talking about comparing an eight-hour student pilot's errors to a 25,000 hour airline captain's errors. What I am saying is that a 1,500 or 3,000 hour captain CAN BE just as safe, and just as good a pilot, as a 25,000 hour veteran captain.
Making sure that it works out that way is the job of an airline's flight operations management. If they hire the right people (primarily people with the right attitude); If they train them properly, and give them sound, error-mitigating procedures; If they give them the right kind of operational support; and if they give them good, well maintained aircraft to fly, then a lower time pilot group can be every bit as good as a higher time pilot group. On occasion, a particular lower time group can be much better than a particular higher group, if that higher time group does not receive the support I referred to above.
Operating in the real world, many factors determine how safe a pilot is. Experience is certainly one of those factors, but, in the airline environment, experience is not THE determining factor.