Rita Radar analysis....realtime..

[rvsm410]

2330 Z......looks like the SE sector of the eye is breaking down....winds should be dropping below 120Kts..

 

[rvsm410]

I know I am a Weather Geek....

0015Z looks like a sincere move more northward, continuied degrade of eye wall on south and SE....maybe landfall east of BPT...directly at LCH....

 

[FN FAL]

the're saying it's going to continue north east and stall...becoming more of flood problem.

 

[rvsm410]

0300Z....look out Lake Charles and Port Author....

TAF
KBPT 232349Z 240024 03040G55KT 1SM TSRA BKN012CB OVC020
FM0300 07055G70KT 1/2SM TSRA BKN002CB OVC010
FM0700 08070G90KT 1/4SM TSRA OVC001CB
FM1000 07090G110KT 1/4SM TSRA OVC001CB
FM1500 09060G75KT 1/2SM TSRA BKN005CB OVC008
FM1900 13045G55KT 2SM TSRA BKN010CB OVC020

METAR:
KBPT 240245Z AUTO 01037G54KT 1 1/2SM BR SCT018 BKN026 OVC032 24/ A2920 RMK AO2 PK WND 02054/0238 P0031 TSNO $

TAF
KLCH 232349Z 240024 07040G55KT 1SM +RA BKN010 OVC020
FM0300 07055G70KT 1/2SM TSRA BKN002CB OVC010
FM0600 09065G80KT 1/4SM TSRA OVC001CB
FM1000 12075G95KT 1/4SM TSRA OVC001CB
FM1500 12050G65KT 1SM TSRA BKN005CB OVC008
FM1900 16035G45KT 2SM TSRA BKN010CB OVC020

METAR
KLCH 240210Z AUTO 04046G64KT 1SM BR FEW009 BKN019 OVC023 24/23 A2917

pressure dropping big time as the eye apchs...

Bouys are OTS for most part LAst reported waves in the 27' range...