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Regulate 'em, Crandall says

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Regulate it?

Answer: Amtrak. Now there's a well run state-sponsored, highly efficient, fast mode of transportation.

How 'bout Greyhound? Anyone remember Trailways? Didn't think so.

This is sarcasm, right? I think PCL didn't pick up on it.

$1.7 billion in government subsidizes last year alone, and they still lose money. It's the most heavily subsidized form of transport in the US.

The usual problems apply. The worst performing routes aren't cut . . . they're used as examples for why more government money is needed. For example, the LAX-Orlando route generated $6.5 million revenue, but lost $27.2 million. Roughly $433 per passenger stuck to the taxpayer for a non-needed service. Hell, for that price the government could just buy train riders a cheap airline ticket instead.

In theory, Amtrak could work. Concentrate on high-density areas with fast trains and ticket prices on par with airline fees. In practice, every Congressman wants a piece of it, the taxpayer gets raped, and nobody uses the thing.
 
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This is sarcasm, right? I think PCL didn't pick up on it.

No, I picked up on his anti-Amtrak sarcasm. I simply disagree with his (and your) opinion of Amtrak.

The problem is that you want Amtrak to be a normal business. That's not the intent. The intent is to continue to provide nation-wide intercity rail transportation to the citizens. Profitability isn't he primary concern, nor should it be. Cities shouldn't stop receiving transportation services simply because a route isn't profitable. We need to stop thinking of transportation as just another business, and realize that it's actually a public utility necessary to the functioning of our economy.
 
I agree. Operating at a strictly cash-basis loss isn't a deal-breaker if value is added in other ways. Intra-city public transportation is an example of this. A real high-speed rail in the NE corridor would be another.

The reality of Amtrak, however, is that numerous routes, especially long-haul passenger routes, add absolutely no value. If no one uses it (or very few), it is nothing more than a drain on the US taxpayer. And no congressman ever cuts service to his district. Oh, they'll say things like "fuel efficient", "more green", and so forth, but the reality is it's a huge waste.

Yet despite decades long track records of failure, irresponsibility, and political opportunism, you nevertheless celebrate it as a glowing example of government efficiency.

I don't even worry about this happening to the airlines, because it would utterly bankrupt the country.
 
I'm neither Democrat nor Republican, but I don't think Mr Bush has done too bad. When was the last administration that had to deal with:
1. Worst attack in US history
2. Rebuild a military (decimated by Clinton) so we could:
3. Launch two war fronts to kick some much justified a$$, while keeping a close eye on North Korea and Iran.
4. Worst Natural disaster in US history
5. Major mortgage crisis
6. Major oil crisis

Granted, he has made some mistakes. What president hasn't. But I certainly don't think Gore or Kerry would have done any better. Had GW not brought our economy back and picked this country up so strong and quickly after 9/11, we would be in much worse shape today.

To criticize in hindsight is cowardly. Especially when all it is is complaining and whining about what your gov't hasn't done for you lately.

Clinton had a cake walk for 8 years thanks to technology. Booming computer industry, booming cell phone industry, booming ecomerce industry. And with all that, he only balanced the budget one year. And that was by raping businesses and the working class with taxes.

I'll agree with that last sentence. I hate paying taxes and really hate paying higher taxes. In the grand scheme of things though, I'd rather pay higher taxes and have a job than pay no taxes and have no job.
 
2. Rebuild a military (decimated by Clinton) so we could:

since you're stating "facts" do you care to back this statement up? if you will look it up you will see that Bush I and his SecDef Cheney are the ones who started the demobilization of the military (at a MUCH higher rate than Clinton).

this has been beaten to death in other threads. Clinton simply CONTINUED Bush I's policy of demobilization.
 
since you're stating "facts" do you care to back this statement up? if you will look it up you will see that Bush I and his SecDef Cheney are the ones who started the demobilization of the military (at a MUCH higher rate than Clinton).

this has been beaten to death in other threads. Clinton simply CONTINUED Bush I's policy of demobilization.

I think that's a fair assessment.

Whether it was wise to continue full speed ahead after numerous attacks on US personnel and interests worldwide is another question.
 
Good example. Amtrak charges a reasonable amount of money for their fares (a lot more than a comparable airline ticket) and provides much better service. Sounds good to me.

Really? When was the last time you travelled coast to coast on Amtrak? When was the last time you travelled on Amtrak period?

The fare on Amtrak is $600 R/Tfor a coach seat, just remember that coach seat is the one you will be spending 62hours in, each way. Enjoy!
 
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Crandall might believe regulation is good for airlines (and pilots), but it is definitely not good for consumers. Let the market determine how much it should cost for a ticket from A to B. The market has proven itself time and again to eliminate waste and reward efficiency. Clogging it up with some artificial pricing scheme run by the government is crazy.
 
So this IS your first rodeo... :rolleyes:

Crandall might believe regulation is good for airlines (and pilots), but it is definitely not good for consumers.
Here's a news flash: ticket prices are going to go up and consumers are going to pay more either way and, with re-regulation, comes improved service again since regulation would equalize fares (set a minimum) and force airlines to compete on service alone which, arguably, would actually IMPROVE a consumer's experience.

You need a better argument against re-regulation, as consumers are screwed either way.

Let the market determine how much it should cost for a ticket from A to B. The market has proven itself time and again to eliminate waste and reward efficiency.
I know you're not talking about aviation, because that hasn't EVER happened. Reward efficiency? Yes. Eliminate waste? Absolutely not. In a few rare cases DECADES ago, airlines were allowed to go T.U. when they couldn't succeed. That no longer happens with the repeated bankruptcy cycles, so your argument is invalid as applied to the airline industry.

Clogging it up with some artificial pricing scheme run by the government is crazy.
You obviously weren't around for regulation, were you?

You know not about that which you speak of.

P.S. Crandall didn't say ANYTHING about it being better for pilots. Here's another news flash (in cased you missed PCL and others talking about it earlier), Crandall HATED organized labor. He didn't give a RAT'S about whether employees got paid what they thought was fair or not. He DID, however, know how to run an airline and how the industry functions.

Turns out he was right. This industry has changed from what it was into the clusterfu*k that it is today... But you probably aren't old enough to remember what riding around in the back of an airliner was like back then. Even coach was a pleasant experience compared to the roach coach experience it is now.
 
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Crandall's full of crap. Before dergulation, hardly anyone flew compared to now. Let the fittest survive. If the ************************* democrats lets us drill for oil in our own backyard we can get the fuel situation under control and then nobody will be talking about regulating the airlines.
 
Lear, you ask if I was around during regulation. That doesn't really matter does it? I wasn't around during the Revolutionary war, but I'm entitled to analyze it with others without getting wrapped around the axle about age. You make observations, I make observations, but nothing is personal. At least not from my side.

You say ticket prices are going to go up regardless. Well with regulation, how much are they going to go up? Who determines when it is enough? Why not let the guy with the cash who wants a round trip to LBB determine when enough is enough?

You say airlines competing only for service would improve consumer's experience. Who is to say what kind of service the consumer needs to improve their "experience"? Maybe they will be happy with less service but cheaper airfare. If first class were in such high demand, Maxjet would be the business model everybody was copying instead of SWA or Airtran. I know some pilots yearn for the days when their customers had to have a suit or dress on to travel. I think those days are gone though.

You say the aviation market (since deregulation) hasn't rewarded efficiency and eliminated waste? They are really one in the same aren't they? You can't waste energy, fuel, etc and be efficient.

Again, I'm not saying I like deregulation. As a pilot I'd love this industry to be re-regulated. I'm saying for the consumer, deregulation of aviation is a good thing. Supply and Demand have proven themselves to be better than artificial systems countless times. This is yet another time.
 
Crandall's full of crap. Before dergulation, hardly anyone flew compared to now. Let the fittest survive. If the ************************* democrats lets us drill for oil in our own backyard we can get the fuel situation under control and then nobody will be talking about regulating the airlines.

Hey Im a Dem. and I have no problem drilling for oil. Problem is that its going to take 10 years to come to market and it isnt going to be just for sale here. It will also be sold to China, India etc. If they promise to sell it all in the U.S. then thats a diffrent story. We need something now! Reregulate!!!
 
Amtrak is the perfect example of a very poorly run government regulated industry that sticks it to the taxpayer.

The problems of Amtrak are legion, so I won't go into all of them. The most glaring one is this: every congressman wants a piece of it. Instead of concentrating on something truly useful, like a high speed train running regular service between BOS-IAD-NYC, taxpayer money is wasted on routes that nobody rides on all over the country.

Regulated air service will be no different. The most powerful congressman would get the most air service. The fact is, if it's federally regulated like Amtrak, markets would be artificially limited, and the markets would be chosen by political pull, not customer need.

I think your assesment of Amtraks route structure is wrong. First of all, the major routes that Amtrak operates were chosen in 1971 when Amtrak was created. Not by present day elected officials. Those routes were actually based on the passenger trains formerly operated by Amtrak's "member" railroads. Prior to 1971, the country's passenger service was provided by the dozen's of privately owned railroads. Mergers, aquisitions, and bankrutpcies have cut that number down to five mega railroads today. Anyway, passenger service had not been consistantly profitable since just after WWII so the private railroads (at the time heavily regulated by the FRA and the ICC) were dying to cut as much service as possible. Some railroads were losing hundreds of millions of dollars a year by operating unprofitable routes mandated by the government. (that also gave rise to another government subsidized railroad, Conrail) Obviously, when the government gave these railroads an "out" by creating Amtrak, most of them jumped at the chance to ditch passenger rail service. There was just one catch. To become a member of Amtrak, you had to pay the equivalent of your operating loses for the previous 3 years, turn over whatever passenger equipment (cars, locomotives, shop facilities, etc...) to Amtrak, and allow Amtrak to operate over your rails indefinitely (amtrak would pay a small fee). Most of the freight railroads joined but only a fraction of those passenger trains were ever operated by Amtrak. Hundreds of intercity passenger trains operated in the late '60s, less than one hundred after 1971.
Also, Amtrak owns only a small percentage of the track it operates on. Some trackage in California and the "high speed" line between DC and Boston. Everything else is owned by one of the private freight railroads.
Amtrak will NEVER be profitable. Not because they don't try. It was attempted for years by private railroads and they failed. Back in those days they didn't have interstates and low fare airlines to compete with. How can the government ever hope to do better in today's environment?

Sorry, to much High Life.
 
Again, I'm not saying I like deregulation. As a pilot I'd love this industry to be re-regulated. I'm saying for the consumer, deregulation of aviation is a good thing. Supply and Demand have proven themselves to be better than artificial systems countless times. This is yet another time.
How does deregulation help the consumer? Just because someone is paying a lower price for something doesn't mean they are getting a better product. Everyday people spend millions of dollars avoiding the airlines by using private jets. These were once our best customers.

Re-regulation is about bringing a quality product back to the industry. Also it will eliminate the imbalance that exists in the competitive market vs the monopoly market.
 
Lear, you ask if I was around during regulation. That doesn't really matter does it?
Yes, it does, because you don't understand the economics of how routes were doled out, how prices were set, etc. If you DID understand it, you wouldn't have made the last comment about the government arbitrarily coming up with an "artificial pricing scheme".

Without that understanding, you're not really analyzing, you're editorializing. Big difference.

You say ticket prices are going to go up regardless. Well with regulation, how much are they going to go up? Who determines when it is enough?
Depends on the type of regulation. Personally, I believe it should be ILLEGAL for an airline to price ANY ticket below it's cost of production. That type of "artificial pricing" would at least force airlines to either break even on a route or stop flying the route. Period.

No more of this crap of "let's cut the cost on this leg below its production level so we can run XYZ out of this pairing, but make it up over here" when, half the time, the passenger is smart enough to buy a multi-leg ticket and run an end-move around the airline's pricing scheme, getting off after only one leg.

SOMETHING has to be done to FORCE airlines to stop using the "profit/bankruptcy" ploy like they have 2, 3, and possibly even 4 times for some carriers as we move into yet another era of losses, after barely ANY period of gains.

Why not let the guy with the cash who wants a round trip to LBB determine when enough is enough?
Because that doesn't happen in the airline business. They've been trying to go that route for decades and, guess what? It's not working. As soon as the airline raises fares to where it runs business off, they just lower them back into the red and keep going. After a period of this on enough routes, they file bankruptcy, shed their unwanted debt, and go do it all again.

THAT is why deregulation has failed. Airlines are not self-policing enough to quit flying an unprofitable route, just for the sake of "market share".

You say airlines competing only for service would improve consumer's experience. Who is to say what kind of service the consumer needs to improve their "experience"? Maybe they will be happy with less service but cheaper airfare.
Ummm... have you SEEN the latest airline quality reports, including customer satisfaction at an ALL-TIME LOW for the ENTIRE industry?

I'm not the only one saying that service needs to improve for the consumers; THEY are saying it.

If first class were in such high demand, Maxjet would be the business model everybody was copying instead of SWA or Airtran.
I never said airlines needed to be all first-class. That's you reading into what I said.

What I DID say was that "Coach used to be a very pleasant flying experience". It needs to be so again.

I know some pilots yearn for the days when their customers had to have a suit or dress on to travel. I think those days are gone though.
I agree completely; they're gone, and I'm not yearning for them back. I AM, however, looking for the return of customer service, the kind that only comes when you pay your customer service personnel a livable wage, stop raping their benefits and retirement, and provide them a livable quality of life. Treat your front-line employees well, and they will treat your passengers well. I believe that comes from the book Nuts, from the airline that still manages to get it right with both pax and employees.

However, the Legacies will NEVER be Southwest. They aren't set up for it and cannot change to become it. Just as Southwest will never be Delta, flying to 27 countries on 5 continents with separate business and first class sections. Each has their niche.

You say the aviation market (since deregulation) hasn't rewarded efficiency and eliminated waste? They are really one in the same aren't they?
NO. No, they're not. That's the problem we have. The airline system obviously rewards efficiency, but the waste isn't getting eliminated. If it was, arguably, UAL (with the worst bankruptcy reorganization in aviation history) would be gone and, quite possibly, UAir as well.

You can't waste energy, fuel, etc and be efficient.
True, that's the point. There's plenty of airlines out there wasting fuel and other items, bleeding red on the balance sheets, yet they're not being eliminated.

Again, I'm not saying I like deregulation. As a pilot I'd love this industry to be re-regulated. I'm saying for the consumer, deregulation of aviation is a good thing. Supply and Demand have proven themselves to be better than artificial systems countless times. This is yet another time.
*sigh* You're ignoring the obvious fact that supply and demand aren't working with the relatively inelastic product of ASM's.

Supply and Demand is SUPPOSED to dictate that, if the demand does not exist for a product, then the product will be eliminated. Airlines STILL PRODUCE ASM'S on a route that doesn't have the demand. Whether they do it for "market share" or for "frequency" or for "schedule alignment", they still do it.

Therefore, Supply and Demand does NOT work with a commodity such as an airline seat; there is NO argument that counters this basic FACT of aviation. Period. End of story.

Supply and Demand WON'T EVER WORK until the airlines are FORCED to operate EVERY flight at a price point where it at least breaks even or until bankruptcy is removed as a tool of profitability/survival for airlines, thereby demanding profitability or business closure with no safety net in place.

Whether it's extended regulation to require break-even pricing, bankruptcy elimination, or full regulation where the government goes back to determining routes, slots, and prices as well, something is going to have to change, or the airlines will NEVER become self-sufficient.
 
I'm afraid I have to agree with my boys Lear and Crandall on this one.

Back in the 30's, we had a very fair, efficient, and economical system in Germany. Before all those ruthless capitalists decided to "deregulate" us.

Basic economics and the laws of supply and demand obviously don't work.

The consumer doesn't know what is good for them. We will decide what is in their best interest.

We will be regulated. We will be as efficient as the military, social security, medicare, DMV, the IRS, and the ma bells.....
 
Hey Im a Dem. and I have no problem drilling for oil. Problem is that its going to take 10 years to come to market and it isnt going to be just for sale here. It will also be sold to China, India etc. If they promise to sell it all in the U.S. then thats a diffrent story. We need something now! Reregulate!!!

I'm so sick of this excuse, er, reason it makes me want to vomit.

Remember, it was GW the First who signed an executive order that blocked most of the US coastlines to oil exploration (and subsequent annual reaffirmations and regulating by Congress).

That was what, 20 years ago? This is CRAZY. And no, you can't just "sell it to America", unless you want to completely withdraw from the world economy. Oil doesn't work that way.

But any increase in world supply will impact price. The more, the better. Drill like crazy everywhere now, and in the intervening 10 years all the greens should be happy because people will adapt with smaller cars and shorter commutes on their own (oh wait, the greens are never happy)
 
SOMETHING has to be done to FORCE airlines to stop using the "profit/bankruptcy" ploy like they have 2, 3, and possibly even 4 times for some carriers as we move into yet another era of losses, after barely ANY period of gains.

.

My understanding is that the bankruptcy laws have been changed significantly, and was part of the reason that Delta (or was it United?) went BK when they did.

The "free lunch" of airline BK is over. Aloha didn't last long in BK, it's awfully quiet at Frontier. While this sucks for pilots, it will be good for the consumer and the airlines as a whole in the long term. Especially when one of the big one fails . . .
 
My understanding is that the bankruptcy laws have been changed significantly, and was part of the reason that Delta (or was it United?) went BK when they did.

The "free lunch" of airline BK is over. Aloha didn't last long in BK, it's awfully quiet at Frontier. While this sucks for pilots, it will be good for the consumer and the airlines as a whole in the long term. Especially when one of the big one fails . . .
The only real change has been the timelines to work your airline's bankruptcy and putting constraints on the DIP and exit financing. In other words, if there's still money to lend under the new stipulations, you can still do the bankruptcy shill dance...

I would like to see the complete end of ALL bankruptcy options for a carrier, except liquidation, to force responsible business practices out of the airlines.

Like I said, it's going to be bad for everyone either way. Bad customer service and increasing prices under our current system, then eventual bankruptcies again, costing millions from the government and other airline contractors, or higher ticket prices under a regulated (or partially-regulated) system.

p.s. Cobra, that's actually kinda funny. Got a smile out of me anyway... :)

If it wasn't for the fact that simple Supply and Demand has been proven not to work in this industry, it would be a good point made. If you hadn't noticed, our utilities and several other industries are already regulated...

or maybe we should deregulate EVERYTHING and let the little startup utility companies start providing us with crappy electrical service that doesn't work 20% of the time or overloads your system and breaks your appliances, water that fails to meet government cleanliness guidelines, etc? Then, you switch back to your old provider, just to find out they've had to price drop to match the competition to keep "market share", so they now have the same problems the other guy does and it all sucks?

Sound familiar?
 
Lear your point about age is still irrelevant. You don't have to be "around" to understand how something worked. The CAB set the fares airlines could charge based on certain variables. You are right though, they weren't arbitrary. The only thing airlines could use to differentiate themselves was service. That is not using market forces to determine price, that is artificial. In a free market, that is not good for the consumer.

If a company chooses to sell something for cheaper than it cost them to make it, why should the government care? Why stop at the airlines? Why not include every other industry and tell them how much to charge for shoes, or pots? The bankruptcy issue needs to be fixed to allow airlines to die when they can't operate successfully. In a free market, someone will fill the niche and make a profit if there is any to be made.

Service might be at an all-time low, but so are air fares. I guess maybe we could poll people and ask "given a choice, would you prefer better coach service or cheaper fares". Personally, when I sort rental cars on Expedia, I sort by lowest price first. If the rental car company can't pay its bills with that stated price, that's none of my concern. Since they aren't saved by bankruptcy laws, they might just go under.

I agree with you on the SWA and Delta comparison. I think SWA will grow ever more dominant in the US and push the legacies out to the international routes. They run an efficient airline not brought up in a regulated world.

You said Airlines STILL PRODUCE ASM'S on a route that doesn't have the demand, either for "market share" or for "frequency" or for "schedule alignment". If they can't get RPM to equal ASM, they aren't even breaking even and are losing money. Subsidizing these inefficient routes with highly profitable ones had been the norm, but there aren't many profitable ones anymore. Regardless though, constantly losing money should lead them out of business.

Most industries don't fall under any type of regulation. As far as the utilities, I shopped for a utility company online and pay a lot less than the BIG one. I haven't had a problem in 4 years with it.

We really should improve the bankruptcy laws that don't work instead of trying fix deregulation, which for consumers does work.
 
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