THe only thing that is going to affect pilot pay is supply and demand. If people quit learning to fly because the pay is ******************** then wages will increase to attract those out there with the quals.
AGAIN,
Two summers ago, Pinnacle was cancelling flights in huge numbers, paying millions of dollars in performance fines to NW because they could not get enough pilots to staff the company. It was a time when pilots were in demand and our contract was 3 years expired. Pilots were choosing to go to better paying airlines.
It was the PERFECT STORM for a supply and demand pay increase for Pinnacle pilots. The money paid in fines alone was enough to close the gap at the negotiating table for our new contract. In the end, the company paid the fines, lost the revenue for the CX block hours and refused to raise the pay enough to attract the needed pilots.
Supply in demand will not raise pilot wages. Lack of pilots will not push wages up.