HalinTexas
昇る太陽の土&#
- Joined
- Feb 14, 2004
- Posts
- 1,536
Consolidation requires investment capital. USAirways got a $1.5 Billion capital infusion when they merged.
The traditional investment capital came from investment bankers. They're no longer putting up investment capital.
Golman Sachs just sold their Chrysler debt (from the Cerberus takeover) for 63 cents on the dollar. http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...x?guid={2DC4D0DC-3355-4F13-9A88-54B8F062E5E4}
I don't know where Delta and Northwest are planning on getting money - they should need at least 3 billion in new capital - to merge. Some talk about Air France; I haven't been able to find a good website to review their financials, but in today's environment, I can't see where they're getting that kind of money.
Bingo! We have a winner. My feeling is that they will only support large airline mergers, not reorganizing small ones. Hence, Aloha, ATA, Champion and Skybus. Hate to say it, but if Frontier isn't bought outright, it may follow the same path.