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The point: there will be turnover here, at corporate flight departments, and at the regionals. Rather high turnover for the foreseeable future.
Not that I believe 2 years is accurate, but upgrade at Delta is not a simple thing to analyze. Whatever the junior captain slot is, it is very unwanted by the vast majority of the seniority list. Reserve at a crappy base on an airplane with miserable trips. There are tons of 15+ year FOs who could easily hold captain who choose not to. They prefer to be senior FOs on the best planes at the most desirable bases. Their QOL is pretty good and they make close to junior captain pay or, as some claim, more. Along the same lines, before I retired, new hires were getting 767ER FO slots in JFK. The reason, no one was bidding them.
Helm
I betting on the Morale Declining. you can't get a competitive CBA with no solidarity. and 51% is a far cry from that.