Welcome to Flightinfo.com

  • Register now and join the discussion
  • Friendliest aviation Ccmmunity on the web
  • Modern site for PC's, Phones, Tablets - no 3rd party apps required
  • Ask questions, help others, promote aviation
  • Share the passion for aviation
  • Invite everyone to Flightinfo.com and let's have fun

Delta trims growth plans as fuel prices rise

Welcome to Flightinfo.com

  • Register now and join the discussion
  • Modern secure site, no 3rd party apps required
  • Invite your friends
  • Share the passion of aviation
  • Friendliest aviation community on the web

DieselDragRacer

Well-known member
Joined
Apr 30, 2006
Posts
11,056
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Delta Air Lines dialed back its growth plans for the year after a litany of unexpected events, from political unrest to natural disasters, slammed the industry.

But despite the difficult environment, the country’s No. 2 airline said it was able to grow first-quarter unit revenue, an industry metric that reflects ticket prices.

“We’ve seen an unprecedented level of price discipline in the industry,” said Delta President Ed Bastian, speaking during an analyst meeting in New York. “We’ve had eight fare increases since the beginning of the year and we added another one on Monday afternoon.”

Shares of Delta added about 1% in early trading Tuesday, but the stock is down about 17% in the last three months as investors have reacted to the higher fuel prices.

Fare hikes are helping to offset a recent spike in fuel prices, spurred on by the political turmoil in several oil-producing countries in North Africa and Middle East. Delta said its estimated fuel bill for 2011 is up by 35%, or $3 billion, from a year ago.

That’s cutting into earnings, Bastian said, reducing the company’s first-quarter profit as the carrier’s found itself saddled with about $600 million in higher expenses.

So to keep those ticket prices high and climbing, airlines have been reducing their growth plans to keep the available supply of passenger seats tight, even as an expanding global economy stimulates more demand.

For Delta, this means capacity would be reduced by 2% in the second half of the year, versus a prior plan to raise capacity by 2%, with a particular focus on routes where revenue growth hasn’t kept pace with rising fuel costs.

For the first quarter, unit revenue is expected to climb 7% to 8%, while unit costs, excluding fuel, should rise between 2% to 3%.

Unit costs with fuel included is expected to increase by 10% to 11%.

Delta raised its first-quarter capacity by an estimated 4% to 5%, driven by growth on its international routes. Domestic capacity is expected to come down 1% to 2% for the March period, in contrast to a 12% to 13% jump on the international side.

The U.S. airline industry was ravaged by winter storms in the first quarter, forcing thousands of cancellations and chipping away at industry profits. That was followed by the devastating March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan — a market where Delta has significant exposure.

Delta said it would reduce seat capacity to Japan by 15% to 20% through May to reflect an expected short-term decline in demand for travel to the country, and it’s already suspended service to Tokyo’s Haneda Airport.

Delta will also pull back capacity for Narita International Airport.

All told, the airline predicted the crisis in Japan would have a net impact of $250 million to $400 million on the company’s results.
 
And then there's this
Delta, the world’s second-largest carrier, said it would reduce overall seating capacity by 4 percentage points in the second half of the year, especially in markets where “revenue has not kept pace with fuel” such as the trans-Atlantic. The Atlanta-based airline is cutting departures at its Memphis hub by 25 percent.
The company is retiring 120 of its least-efficient planes over the next 18 months, including DC9-50s and Saab turbo-props and 60 of its 50-seat regional jets, according to the filing.
 
And then there's this
Delta, the world’s second-largest carrier, said it would reduce overall seating capacity by 4 percentage points in the second half of the year, especially in markets where “revenue has not kept pace with fuel” such as the trans-Atlantic. The Atlanta-based airline is cutting departures at its Memphis hub by 25 percent.
The company is retiring 120 of its least-efficient planes over the next 18 months, including DC9-50s and Saab turbo-props and 60 of its 50-seat regional jets, according to the filing.


Saab turbo-props least fuel efficient, huh? Good work mass media.
 
My airline career just wouldn't be complete without a furlough. ********************!!!

400 million in lost revenue to Japan alone!
 
Last edited:
Guys, they are talking seats, and this is only a 2% adjustment from the previous guidance. Of those that actually listened in, did any of you hear that most of this will occur after the Labor Day. For the trans Atlantic, most of this has already been accounted for in frequency adjustments that were in the March 5th schedule load.

Point is, that except for the pull down of RJ's in MEM this is all about the same news. The real news in the call was:

That CAPEX was cut by 15 million for the first quarter, to 325 million,

We have secured a financing revolver of 1.2 billion for the 2.5 billion that will come due next year,
All eight of our price increases have stuck.

We will take a 250-400 million dollar hit for Japan,

Japan is 8% of our Revenue, the Tokyo pull down is for now planned until May.

8% increase in prices this year,

Readjusted the hedges to for the disparity in NSB, from LSC (North Sea Brent versus Light Sweat Crude)

Still looking at a target of 10 billion in debt by late 2012 to 2013

RFP for narrow body jets is not a finance issue but a timing one. (take note of ed's words there)

Point is, not much has changed.
 
My airline career just wouldn't be complete without a furlough. ********************!!!

400 million in lost revenue to Japan alone!

That doesn't mean the year end results will show a loss of $400 million, rather the total revenue pool will be hit by $250-400 million. Loads everywhere else are good, and fare hikes have remained in place. It's good they are canceling that Tokyo Haneda flight for a couple months if it is empty. And, RJs on unprofitable routes need to be parked, sadly along with DC9s if high oil makes them that way. At least the US economy still appears to be getting stronger, slowly.


OYS
 
I am willing to bet that united is willing to fly the la-hadena route and delta will lose it.
 

Latest resources

Back
Top