Otto said:
If Delta can't unload Comair, they have nobody to blame but themselves since they have consistently lowered the value of their own investment by inviting every other regional in creation to join the Delta Connection portfolio. The primary person responsible for implementing the portfolio frenzy was none other that the current Comair president Fred Buttrel. Oh the irony!
You and Fins have the right idea.
Especially with CHQ getting the "sexy" new 170s, and Mesa coming in to trash the rates of 50-seat flying at DCI, why would anybody buy Comair? Sure, the employees are working cheaply (or will soon), but that doesn't really help the viability of a business after a while. An airline needs to have a growth plan for the future to continue lowering costs, and CMR has none.
On top of that, Delta shrunk the CVG hub and deployed ASA and CHQ to fight for table scraps. Mesa got an additional chunk of Dash 8 flying out of JFK as well. Notice how none of this is good for CMR as a company? It's not helping for CMR the investment either.
Since ASA was sold, there's a list of covenants that must be met for future growth. I'm sure that the Mesa has a similar list. CHQ probably does too, and I wouldn't rule out an "investment" into bankrupt Delta to further solidify the growth plan for their 170s. With options for every other DCI carrier, there can't be too much left. Especially since everybody knows that there are too many RJs.
My opinion is that Delta tried to sell ASA and CMR as a package, and SkyWest was only willing to bite off on one. After getting turned down by Mesa and Republic, I think Delta is just about out of options.
Good luck to you Comair guys, but I think Delta has a 'Plan B' in case they can't sell you off. And I really don't think it's good.