I don't think management will give up the bargaining leverage they have gained by being able to play us against one another. My ideas on how to do it don't account for that part of the problem.
Well, Surplus, thank you, . . . . . . at last. A small problem, though, huh.
Result, you are now fighting both management and your fellow pilots at the regionals.
Funny, I'm not fighting anyone, and certainly not AE ALPA. In point of fact, our two unions have a pretty good relationship. I think the vast majority of AE pilots recognize the importance of scope, as witnessed by the outsourcing grievance they are currently in.
You will wind up with the wide body and transcontinental flying. We will get the rest.
Why limit yourself to domestic flying? Why not take it all? If compensation at mailine is too high and scope is "illegal" (haven't seen anybody arrested for it yet), then why would international and wide-body flying be immune from transfer? If scope is struck down, then why not all code-share including domestic code share? That would give management the necessary flexibility to shift resources around to better meet customer demand. Why should AMR not have the flexibility to contract out to UAL or AWA, or even allow cabotage with off-shore carriers like Ryanair, for that matter?
Let's take a poll. How many of you F/Os at the regionals would be willing to give up your Saab and fly a wide-body internationally out of New York for $60 an hour and a 401k? Of course, you'll have to do it for that for the rest of your career, or until someone else is willing to do it for less.
As is usual in today's America, what happens in the future depends upon the unpredictability of a caprious court system. If the courts delcare that scope provisions, rightfully negotiated in good faith between a labor group and management, are invalid, then the unions will be emasculated into pointlessness. If that happens it won't matter if you're mainline, COMAIR, or any other carrier. If the companies can outsource your jobs at will, there are always pilots that would be glad to work for less and the profession will adjust to a compensation rate based upon the lowest common demoninator. The damage to the prestigue and lucrativeness of the profession would be substancial.
I have more faith in the system than to anticipate the above scenario, however. Fortunately, those in the profession who would relish in bringing down the bar, are few. They, however, have strong allies in the ATA and airline managements, who see a chink in the armour of unionism and surely will pursue it with enthusiam.
We shall see. For those in the early and mid points in their careers, the stakes are very high indeed.
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