http://www.cnbc.com/id/31388273
Airline stocks have been having a rough month. Earlier in June the International Air Transport Association estimated that global carriers could lose $9 billion this year due to rising fuel prices and weak demand.
That one little tidbit sent shares tumbling as you can see from the chart below.
"Investors in the airline industry are so sensitive to any new data point that may change the outlook or prospects for recovery," explains Majestic Research analyst Matt Jacob, referring to the IATA data.
However, not all airline stocks may be created equal, at least according to Stifel Nicolaus airline analyst Hunter Keay.
Although he has a hold on American [AMR 4.49 0.06 (+1.35%) ], United [UAUA 3.82 0.09 (+2.41%) ] and Southwest [LUV 6.43 -0.05 (-0.77%) ] he also thinks two airlines are buys.
You read that right -- buys!
Keay has buy ratings on Continental [CAL 9.34 0.43 (+4.83%) ] and Delta [DAL 6.16 0.06 (+0.98%) ]. "Those two are the blue chip of the large carriers in the United States," he says.
We were so intrigued we invited him to join us on Fast Money. We learned Keay's bullishness on these two airlines is kind of a "Last of the Mohicans" trade.
"If the economic downturn stays this bad over the next 6-9 months I think we could see a liquidity crisis in the space," explains Keay. "Continental and Delta have the best cash positions on the balance sheet right now."
In other words, if the economy foces some airlines to go out of business Continental and Delta should be survivors and the beneficiaires.
We thought you'd want to know. To see our entire interview with Hunter Keay please watch the video.
Airline stocks have been having a rough month. Earlier in June the International Air Transport Association estimated that global carriers could lose $9 billion this year due to rising fuel prices and weak demand.
That one little tidbit sent shares tumbling as you can see from the chart below.
"Investors in the airline industry are so sensitive to any new data point that may change the outlook or prospects for recovery," explains Majestic Research analyst Matt Jacob, referring to the IATA data.
However, not all airline stocks may be created equal, at least according to Stifel Nicolaus airline analyst Hunter Keay.
Although he has a hold on American [AMR 4.49 0.06 (+1.35%) ], United [UAUA 3.82 0.09 (+2.41%) ] and Southwest [LUV 6.43 -0.05 (-0.77%) ] he also thinks two airlines are buys.
You read that right -- buys!
Keay has buy ratings on Continental [CAL 9.34 0.43 (+4.83%) ] and Delta [DAL 6.16 0.06 (+0.98%) ]. "Those two are the blue chip of the large carriers in the United States," he says.
We were so intrigued we invited him to join us on Fast Money. We learned Keay's bullishness on these two airlines is kind of a "Last of the Mohicans" trade.
"If the economic downturn stays this bad over the next 6-9 months I think we could see a liquidity crisis in the space," explains Keay. "Continental and Delta have the best cash positions on the balance sheet right now."
In other words, if the economy foces some airlines to go out of business Continental and Delta should be survivors and the beneficiaires.
We thought you'd want to know. To see our entire interview with Hunter Keay please watch the video.