One thing that the geezometer doesn't factor in is sick leave. I just went to a UAL message board and found these exchanges:
"Talking to some guys I know on the 400, I don't think United is going to have a "too many pilots" problem in the near future."
"If you had 700-900 hrs of SL, only a year left, and needed a new knee, hip, whatever, what would you do?"
It souds like the airlines had better prepare for sick leave/retirements to pick up starting next spring.
Agreed. Having had their pensions trashed there is little incentive to leave anything behind, such as unused sick leave. Leaving medical issues until after retirement and using Medicare means your choice of medical professionals is restricted. I would agree that senior pilots retirements - or, more accurately, at least absence from the flight line - will rise throughout 2012 as the first year beneficiaries of the rule change turn 64.
Last edited: