lowecur
Well-known member
- Joined
- Sep 14, 2003
- Posts
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Oh I see how a loss can be reported as a gain....
Spinproof:
Special items and one time charges are part of the profit and loss reporting, but not part of the profit and loss picture for the ongoing business.
For instance, lets say every month you make $10,000 and your bills are $2,500 giving you a $7,500 "profit" that you save & invest. But, your wife wants to go live with a 25 year old cabana boy because you are working all the time.
When your divorce settles, you give your wife a $90,000 check.
If you evaluated that month, you have a $7,500 "profit" excluding the $90,000 divorce settlement. With the payment to the ex, you report a loss of $82,500.
In Delta's case, they separated several thousands of employees, which will helpfuture profitability and prepare for the integration of NWA.
What some pilots are overlooking is that around half od Delta's fuel is hedged at $90 a barrell and those hedges start to run out in the next couple of quarters. Like SWA, DAL is still selling tickets for less than they cost. Also like SWA, DAL would be losing big money without the hedges.
While the performance at the top of its peer group is great, with nearly 100% load factors (EVERY seat has been taken on my flights lately) this business should be raking in the money if the market would bear the appropriate price level.
Most of the fix will require airlines like AirTran, Spirit, SWA and the others to either go the heck out of business, or price their product at a realistic level. A family friend got a round trip ticket on Spirit for $1 and was bragging about it and AirTran is still running $49 sales. The regulators need to realize that suicide is not competition.
In our business environment, Delta's JPWA is a good deal for labor. Most folks don't appreciate it for what it is in these times.
Spinproof:
Special items and one time charges are part of the profit and loss reporting, but not part of the profit and loss picture for the ongoing business.
For instance, lets say every month you make $10,000 and your bills are $2,500 giving you a $7,500 "profit" that you save & invest. In this same month, your daughter is getting married and she watches lots of the "E" channel. She decides to throw a bash of a reception and pay Brad & Angelina to attend. The bill for the wedding comes to $90,000.
If you evaluated that month, you have a $7,500 "profit" excluding the $90,000 bill for the reception. With the wedding, you report a loss of $82,500.
But hey, the kid is out of the house and your basic finances are sound.
In Delta's case, they separated several thousands of employees, which will help future profitability and prepare for the integration of NWA.
What some pilots are overlooking is that around half of Delta's fuel is hedged at $90 a barrell and those hedges start to run out in the next couple of quarters. Like SWA, DAL is still selling tickets for less than they cost. Also like SWA, DAL would be losing big money without the hedges.
While the performance at the top of its peer group is great, with nearly 100% load factors (EVERY seat has been taken on my flights lately) this business should be raking in the money if the market would bear the appropriate price level.
Most of the fix will require airlines like AirTran, Spirit, SWA and the others to either go the heck out of business, or price their product at a realistic level. A family friend got a round trip ticket on Spirit for $1 and was bragging about it and AirTran is still running $49 sales. The regulators need to realize that suicide is not competition.
In our business environment, Delta's JPWA is a good deal for labor. Most folks don't appreciate it for what it is in these times.
What some pilots are overlooking is that around half of Delta's fuel is hedged at $90 a barrell and those hedges start to run out in the next couple of quarters. Like SWA, DAL is still selling tickets for less than they cost. Also like SWA, DAL would be losing big money without the hedges.
While the performance at the top of its peer group is great, with nearly 100% load factors (EVERY seat has been taken on my flights lately) this business should be raking in the money if the market would bear the appropriate price level.
Most of the fix will require airlines like AirTran, Spirit, SWA and the others to either go the heck out of business, or price their product at a realistic level. A family friend got a round trip ticket on Spirit for $1 and was bragging about it and AirTran is still running $49 sales. The regulators need to realize that suicide is not competition.
Pilots will be much better off as a group if we can get the entire industry turned around.
If oil swings to $100 bbl after Oct 15th (my cutoff date for major hurricane damage in Gulf), then some of the hedges may be under water or a wash. In either case, oil at $100 bbl will help the industry at the end of 08 and all through 09. The key will be each airlines ability to coordinate a steep reduction in capacity and still keep their head above water.Spinproof:
What some pilots are overlooking is that around half of Delta's fuel is hedged at $90 a barrell and those hedges start to run out in the next couple of quarters. Like SWA, DAL is still selling tickets for less than they cost. Also like SWA, DAL would be losing big money without the hedges.
It's a paper loss, like depreciation and goodwill. It's all accounting and used on their tax returns. They'd be stupid not to take advantage of the rules. All the airline's will do the same thing as they need it.Good for Delta in being able to minimize the damage incurred by today's environment. But, a loss is a loss, cash related or value related. If my house loses 200,00 in value then sure, I agree my bank account is unchanged, but I am still out of luck when I go to buy a more expensive house. The gist of it is Delta is worth 1 billion less than it was last quarter. Call it what it is.
If oil swings to $100 bbl after Oct 15th (my cutoff date for major hurricane damage in Gulf), then some of the hedges may be under water or a wash. In either case, oil at $100 bbl will help the industry at the end of 08 and all through 09. The key will be each airlines ability to coordinate a steep reduction in capacity and still keep their head above water.
It's amazing that a billionaire like Wilbur Ross invests $80M in India LCC - SpiceJet, but turns his nose up at airlines in this country. I think he wants to invest where labor is cheap. His reasoning is that oil is way overpriced and he sees little oil upside in this world financial environment.
If you want to invest in this industry here in the US, just wait until after 10/15/08, and place your bets on the probable survivors.....the ones that won't need a bailout.....as the Fed may just may not be able to help the airline industry and instead let foreigner's in the hen house.
imp:
Pilots will be better off as a group if the weak airlines go out of business allowing better pricing power by the survivors. Then management can go after the passengers for revenue instead of employees for concessions.
I did not wish a shutdown on anyone. Can't you read? I have good friends at AirTran and seriously considered going there myself.Good luck to all of us. Karma's a bitch and I wouldn't wish a layoff or shutdown on anyone.