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Wall Street predictions

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flyipilot

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 1, 2006
Posts
157
Wall Street names the top companies that will most likely be bankrupt this year. Airlines all toped the list..1) AA, 2) UA, 3) NW, 6) DL It is amazing AA and UA are even able to open their doors each morning due to the insane costs. My bet is UA will not even be here in 2 years. Any takers?
 
I do not see the US Government allowing UA, American, or the "New Delta" to go away. As far as betting on this industry, I'll go to Vegas and play black jack, instead. Much better chance of success.
P Dude
 
Correct me if I'm wrong, but US Air is a low cost airline minus the fuel hedging... Their operating costs, not including fuel, are lower to than South West.

Not to mention KCLT does hedging for US Air...
 
Last edited:
Flybywire44

I am not sure of the US Air cost, but believe it or not US Air does have some fuel hedges this year. I believe its around 50%, but this % is not as low as SWA are.

The other problem with US Air is they have to pay their regional partners fuel bill. Paying for inefficient 50 seat RJs is going to kill alot of airlines.
 
I'm sorry for being vague. What I was insinuating is that while not taking into account fuel... US Air 's mainline operation costs less due to lower AC leases, employee compensation, etc.

I was only speaking in terms of US Air Mainline, but yeah they're screwed. :bomb:
 
Flybywire44

The other problem with US Air is they have to pay their regional partners fuel bill. Paying for inefficient 50 seat RJs is going to kill alot of airlines.
This is only true as long as there are more than 50 pax, 49 pax and they are saving money. Anyone have the 1st 2nd and 3rd hour fuel flows for the Diesel 9?.
PBR
 
April 25th, 2008

LCC CASM grew 16.7% to 12.56 cents. CASM ex-fuel rose 8.8% to 8.57 cents.

April 18th, 2008
SWA CASM was up 8.5% to 9.69 cents but just 2.4% to 6.7 cents excluding fuel.
 

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