Never said that; we may see $80/bbl but thats where I see the absolute bottom being.
Oil will, inevitably, go upward of $200/bbl.
That said, I do not think it will go that high in the near future without a major terrorist attack on our nation's oil and/or financial infrastructure, or full-fledged shooting war with Iran.
Oil is high not because of a lack of immediate supply, its because of speculators betting on geopolitical unrest and the weakness of the currency that oil is traded in. Of course demand in China and India and Russia has driven up price, but supply-and-demand fundamentals DO NOT support anywhere near the current price per barrel.
And Smarta$$ I can't give you dates but all you have to do is look at, oh, the last 50 years or so of history. Things will never be the way they were but this, as everything else has, will pass.
I may not know anything, and I only have a degree in aviation, but I can watch Bloomberg and read the WSJ and figure out what is really going on. If this schumck can do that, anybody can...