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Doug Parker digs in ---article

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General Lee

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 24, 2002
Posts
20,442
US Airways chief digs in for Delta fight

By RUSSELL GRANTHAM
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 01/07/07

Don't mistake the relative quiet of the past two weeks for a sign that US Airways' resolve to buy Delta Air Lines is weakening, says Doug Parker, CEO of US Airways.

"We believe our offer is more than fair, and as a result, don't intend on ... backing off," Parker said in a telephone interview last week. "We certainly don't intend on pulling the offer."

Parker made his carrier's $8 billion-plus offer public on Nov. 15, and Delta — which had already rebuffed his private approaches — fired back with a volley of objections, employee anti-merger rallies and a formal plan to emerge from Chapter 11 on its own. The dust settled during the holidays.

Parker says he expects things to soon heat up again, pointing out that Delta's creditors recently hired retired Continental Airlines Chief Executive Gordon Bethune to evaluate the rivals' proposals or other potential alternatives for Delta.

"Gordon is a decisive, extremely knowledgeable individual who ... they clearly didn't bring in just to look at the stand-alone plan. They brought him in to look at strategic alternatives," said Parker.

Another potential flash point: Delta has asked for a bankruptcy court hearing Feb. 7 to begin pitching its stand-alone plan to creditors. They will ultimately vote on whatever reorganization plan Delta uses. Delta's plan values the company at $12 billion when it comes out of bankruptcy and would pay creditors with stock. US Airways argues its cash-stock offer is better for creditors and that a merger will create a stronger airline.

"I think you'll start seeing more urgency this month," said Parker during the interview from US Airways' headquarters in Tempe, Ariz. The conversation has been edited for clarity and length.

Q: Have you gotten any indication as to how the unsecured creditors committee views the US Airways offer?

A: We've met with the committee a couple of times. Their advisers have come back and asked us a number of questions. My own personal view is I think they appreciate the value of the synergies, and I believe they're doing their work now. They've just hired Gordon Bethune, which we think is a positive development — not because we have any idea what Gordon's views are, but just because I know Gordon is a decisive, independent person who knows the airline business very, very well.

Q: What has the committee asked the most questions about?

A: It doesn't seem to be one area of focus. They've spent a lot of time going through the synergy analysis, the $1.65 billion a year [in estimated annual savings from a merger], with our team. I know they've hired their own antitrust counsel to come up with their own views of the antitrust issues, which you know we feel very sanguine about and Delta feels very differently about. They obviously need to get their own views on that. ... So most of the time with us has been on our proposal and synergies.

Q: How soon do you expect the unsecured creditors committee to take some sort of position?

A: I don't know. It's really up to them. ... The process only becomes urgent to the extent that the Delta stand-alone plan is moving in a way that is inconsistent with our merger proposal. ... So long as Delta remains in bankruptcy and there aren't things being approved or disapproved by the bankruptcy court that are inconsistent with our plan, there's no urgency.

Q: There's the Feb. 7 hearing about the disclosure statement on Delta's reorganization plan. [If the statement is approved by the bankruptcy judge, Delta would be allowed to start seeking creditors' votes backing its proposal.] What does that hearing mean to the US Airways deal?

A: Right now there's a request for a hearing. If indeed that hearing took place on that date, yeah, that would drive some urgency around this process, and I think it will. ... My guess is if the creditor committee wants to support that date, they have a lot of work to get done before that date.

Q: Does that mean it might force you guys to bump up your offer? Does it mean you might have to somehow figure out how to intervene in that hearing?

A: ... It doesn't drive any additional action at this point from US Airways, but I think what it does drive is action from the committee to get themselves ready. The ball's in their court. ... The dialog will continue with the committee, and we're following their lead. ... But as we stand here today, our offer, we think, is well in excess of [Delta's] stand-alone plan in terms of value, and we don't feel any need to amend the offer.

Q: If the committee does finally come out and say we're not interested in your offer, does that kill it?

A: We'd have to reassess at that point. I don't know the answer to that and don't want to speculate.

Q: Does the hostility of Delta employees toward this deal give you or the creditors any pause?

A: It certainly doesn't give us any. I understand it. As we went through the US Airways-America West merger [in which Parker's America West bought the larger carrier and took its name, as it now proposes to do with Delta], there clearly was reluctance on the US Airways side. ... Indeed, even on the America West side, there was some concern about why we were hitching ourselves to that boat. So we had to spend a lot of time communicating with our employees about where the company is going. ... But the fact is, change creates anxiety, and anxiety can turn into fear.

In a situation where we don't have the ability to communicate [with Delta employees] ... it's not surprising at all. I expect over time as this develops for us to have those opportunities. What the employees at Delta will see is that all we're trying to do is build a better Delta Air Lines, and that's only better for the employees. ... I think the culture of Delta is one of its strongest assets and one of the things we want to build on.

Q: There seems to be a widepread belief around here that the merged carrier would be based in Tempe (America West's headquarters before it merged with US Airways, which had been based near Washington) ...Would you consider putting the headquarters in Atlanta to save the deal?

A: I won't speculate on negotiating tactics and really don't want to speculate on where the headquarters might be. The answer is we just don't know right now. ... We don't even know what the management team's going to look like, so to decide where it's headquartered is just premature at this point. What we do know is that both Phoenix and Atlanta are going to be extremely important to this new airline, and there are going to be a lot on management people in both cities.

Q: Why is it so hard to figure out where the headquarters will be?

A: Well, you need to know what the management structure looks like when you're done. ... I think there's a view that ... it will be a US Airways management team that prevailed, and that's certainly not my view. What I know is that we put together US Airways and America West, and most people see me and [a few other high-ranking executives] are all America West, [but] the fact is a third of our officers came from US Airways, and that percentage gets higher as you move on down the ranks.

But you don't know what that management team looks like until you start figuring out who wants to be part of the team and who doesn't, and how it all fits best. In the case of US Airways-America West, it was a good bit easier because their headquarters in Crystal City, Va., consisted of like two or three floors of people. ... That's not the case in Atlanta. It's a much harder decision to make.

Q: What odds do you give yourself of getting this deal through?

A: I feel very good about our chances. The market has clearly spoken in favor of our transaction. The bonds of Delta are at 70 percent [of face value]. The day we announced this transaction they got all that [gain] in the first day, and they stayed there. So I feel extremely good about the market reaction, and I feel very good as a result about where it's going to end up. [The value of Delta's bonds jumped more than 50 percent when US Airways announced its proposal on Nov. 15 and about 10 percent more shortly before Delta disclosed its stand-alone plan.]

If I go back to Nov. 15, is there any disappointment? The only thing I would say is six weeks later, we still haven't begun due diligence [on the proposed merger with Delta] despite that market reaction.

Q: We noticed that Julius Maldutis [a longtime airline securities analyst and consultant] this week was quoted as saying he doesn't think US Airways will go forward with the deal ... because of Delta employees' hostility. When you talk to creditors, is that a concern?

A: They haven't mentioned it to us. ... That has not come up as an issue.

Q: As time goes on, does that help or hurt your proposal?

A: There's nothing that gets worse with time with our proposal. The only thing that gets worse is if Delta emerges stand-alone.

Q: At least from the outside, it looks like Delta has done pretty well at lining up potential support on the unsecured creditors committee. (Delta has settled with its pilots union, Boeing and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., all committee members.) Isn't that making your job harder?

A: If you accept the premise, yeah — which I don't. The committee has a fiduciary obligation to the creditors. They recognize as much as we do what's happened to the bond prices since our proposal came out, and they need to do what's best for the creditors of Delta, which is who they represent. I don't know what it means to be making progress with individual members of the committee, because the committee in itself represents all creditors.


cont......
 
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Q: Does the possibility that the creditors committee is using US Airways to get a richer reorganization plan from Delta or a higher bid from another buyer keep you awake at night?

A: Look, we've assumed from the start that the bankruptcy process is essentially an auction process. ... We welcome any competition and any other offers, and we believe we will prevail against any of them.

Staff writer Dave Hirschman contributed to this article.



I like Parker's backpedaling on the headquarters location issue (doesn't want to lose any supporters.....), and his belief that the unsecurred creditor committee will vote for "what is best for the whole creditor group." Yeah, right. Many of the creditors on that committee have their own plans, and that is the way it goes. They want DL to give a great offer (high claim sale), and come out independent. But Doug sure is determined...And, the creditor committee, all of them including Dalpa and Boeing, wants the bonds valued at 70 percent or 70 cents on the dollar. That is good for us as creditors. It may hurt DL a bit, but they will likely come out as an independent airline anyway. DL would be hurt more with a combined $23 billion in debt if USAir took over.


And this is the best response from Parker:


A: There's nothing that gets worse with time with our proposal. The only thing that gets worse is if Delta emerges stand-alone.

BECAUSE PARKER IS WORRIED ABOUT A STAND ALONE DL AFTER WE GET OUT OF BK. IT WILL GET WORSE FOR HIM......


Bye Bye--General Lee
 
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Posted yesterday.

I never saw it? Are you still on a 17 day trip at Southern Air? Why didn't you post that article? How is Incheon? Thank Gawd you have that computer or you would go nuts. Take care.


Bye Bye--General Lee


And oops, I just saw it 4 pages back. Well, it is great to get my spin on it, and highlight important points. I love that.
 
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Kinda like Parker's USAtoday interview. Oh wait, he retracted all of his statements from that...... Back pedal, back pedal.....


Bye Bye---General Lee
 
...

GL
What will you say if this deal goes through? I know you believe it will not but I am asking to see if you have an unbiased bone in your body. What will you say if you are bought out of BK by US?
 
GL
What will you say if this deal goes through? I know you believe it will not but I am asking to see if you have an unbiased bone in your body. What will you say if you are bought out of BK by US?

I never said it absolutely won't happen. Most of the time I state it is unlikely, or very unlikely. I am just repeating what I hear from our management, who obviously don't want this to happen, and I repeat some analysts remarks I read in articles.

What would I say if the buyout actually occurs? How about "Well Gawd Darn!!" I still don't understand what Parker really intends to do, and most people probably don't. It is apparent that he wants to get rid of his main competition on the East Coast. We both have European flights from a NE hub (JFK for us, PHL for USAir), and we both have a large SE hub (CLT and ATL).
We both have West Coast hubs (PHX, LAS, SLC). I think there are a lot of people in all of those cities who are concerned. (Congressmen listen to their constituents about job losses, and this one could cause a lot).

You know I am opposed to it, primarily because I don't really understand the plan, except taking out the competition. It would trigger more mergers (Neeleman just stated that), and that is another thing Oberstar does not want. I think it is unlikely, again.


Bye Bye--General Lee
 
Ding! Ding! Ding! Ladies and Gentlemen we have a winner...:D


I am glad you left out the part I also included about analyst remarks, which I put on here and you can't refute. Post some articles and post your case. You can't, and instead attack me, and even say I may not be a DL pilot. Come on now.

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
Sharks...do not forget the sharks...

Please keep in mind that this isn't about all the fluffy stuff - there's blood in the water and the sharks are beginning to swarm. No one's taken a big bite yet but they will soon. No one will care much about contracts, labor issues, etc.

Unfortunately, in the short term that might matter, but ultimately the unsecured creditors, especially, don't give a rat's a** whether employees are going to be impossible, or not. All that matters is how much on the dollar they're going to get paid.

I'm sorry to sound pretty negative, but that's the skinny.

FLY SAFE!
 
Please keep in mind that this isn't about all the fluffy stuff - there's blood in the water and the sharks are beginning to swarm. No one's taken a big bite yet but they will soon. No one will care much about contracts, labor issues, etc.

Unfortunately, in the short term that might matter, but ultimately the unsecured creditors, especially, don't give a rat's a** whether employees are going to be impossible, or not. All that matters is how much on the dollar they're going to get paid.

I'm sorry to sound pretty negative, but that's the skinny.

FLY SAFE!

Well, the BK judge approved the DL pilot contract, and even USAir admits that they would have to fly under it IF they somehow gained control. No 1113c's allowed, and that was backed by the BK judge. The only way to get one is if DL cannot get DIP financing, and someone who wants to buy someone probably could get it. It guarantees minimum block hours, RJ limits, etc.

As far as the unsecured creditors go, most are pro-Delta on the only committee that really counts---the unsecured creditor committee, making the calls. Dalpa, the pilot union, is one of the largest on that committee. Others for Delta are Boeing (we just made a nice order with them and rumor has it a larger order when we exit BK), Pratt (GE)---the engine maker that will supply engines for those planes, the PBGC--with whom we just settled for our pensions, and Coca Cola---based in ATL. Right now the claims or bonds are going for almost 70 cents on the dollar (United got 24 cents to the dollar), and the creditors want to keep that going until we exit so they get as much as they can. Delta knows this, and will do it to fend off USAir. Regardless, Dalpa, Boeing, and Pratt want an independent DL (not an Airbus operator with current ties to Airbus (A350s) and A321s just ordered)---so they can have a long term relationship. And, to top it off, it is very unlikely the DOJ would approve any merger like this due to immense overlap of routes and hubs. Job losses are not good for Congressmen either, and they will press hard.

Thanks for your concern.


Bye Bye--General Lee
 
I still don't understand what Parker really intends to do, and most people probably don't. Bye Bye--General Lee
He wants to remove capacity. But surely you knew
that, and wanted somebody to say it so you could
make your point.
 
He wants to remove capacity. But surely you knew
that, and wanted somebody to say it so you could
make your point.


Oberstar doesn't want that at all, and he can make or break this merger. He doesn't want small communities to lose service or competition, and Southwest and JB will not go to every small town that loses competition. Here is a quote from Oberstar from the US/UA merger---which really only had one area that overlapped (IAD/DCA):


“Fewer choices, higher fares and a deterioration in service is not what Congress contemplated in 1978 when it deregulated the airline industry. Yet, that is the likely result if a United-US Airways merger is approved by the Department of Justice,” Oberstar said. “I strongly urge the DOJ to take heed of the GAO’s analysis of the merger’s impact on competition and consumers, and reject this proposed merger.”



You need to Ponder that. (Thanks for allowing me to make my point)

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
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blah blah blah blah DOJ blah blah blah blah Oberstar blah blah blah blah blah blah Congress blah blah blah fewer choices blah blah blah blah Fayette blah blah blah hamburger blah blah blah blah blah blah Southwest and JB blah blah blah blah analysis blah blah competition

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
blah blah blah blah DOJ blah blah blah blah Oberstar blah blah blah blah blah blah Congress blah blah blah fewer choices blah blah blah blah Fayette blah blah blah hamburger blah blah blah blah blah blah Southwest and JB blah blah blah blah analysis blah blah competition

Bye Bye--General Lee


Read this:




Q: At least from the outside, it looks like Delta has done pretty well at lining up potential support on the unsecured creditors committee. (Delta has settled with its pilots union, Boeing and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., all committee members.) Isn't that making your job harder?

A: If you accept the premise, yeah — which I don't. The committee has a fiduciary obligation to the creditors. They recognize as much as we do what's happened to the bond prices since our proposal came out, and they need to do what's best for the creditors of Delta, which is who they represent. I don't know what it means to be making progress with individual members of the committee, because the committee in itself represents all creditors.




Why would Dalpa, Boeing, and GE care what smaller creditors think? They won't, and they hold the majority of claims on the committee. Then add Coke and the PBGC.



BLAH BLAH BLAH--is your response.....


Bye Bye--General Lee
 
Time to go visit the Doc and get the meds adjusted again,General.


PHXFLYR
 
Yes, BLAH BLAH BLAH is my response because you have the same arguement every time. You talk a lot but you never say anything.

Er... I take that back...you talk a lot and all you do is say the same thing over and over.
 
Yes, BLAH BLAH BLAH is my response because you have the same arguement every time. You talk a lot but you never say anything.

Er... I take that back...you talk a lot and all you do is say the same thing over and over.

What I continually point out to you and others is what actually is going on out there. If you and others chose not to observe that, sobeit. If you want to point something out AND actually back it up with quotes or articles (like I do), then go for it. I haven't seen you do that yet. Prove it.

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
Don't forget the sharks...

Respectfully, there is much more going on in the background than you can imagine. Parker is not a dumb guy - maybe not the most successful, but he's not dumb. There is a reason US Air made their move when they did - it may not be apparent just yet. DALPA, by itself, cannot run the creditors committee, neither can Boeing or Pratt or PBGC or whomever else. They all must agree or have the judge decide. Think about the stakes going into that hearing, if it's necessary. There will be a deal and it may not be what you think. We shall see.

I respect the opinion of General Lee and others on this board, but you must consider these scenarios from the outside in rather than inside out. Ultimately, it's about these creditors getting paid, not whether the airline survives in its current form with current management in place. Delta's junk bonds went up in value after US Air announced its bid - that indicates speculation and a favorable view of the proposal. I think you may find that if US Air withdrew its offer the bonds would plummet in value.

I am also cognizant of the political ramifications. Be mindful of the old adage: Politics makes strange bedfellows. Ultimately, Oberstar, Mr. Smith who went to Washington, etc., aren't the ones who make these decisions. They can hold hearings and scream bloody murder all they want but they all need cash for their campaign committees so don't delude yourself into thinking that Oberstar is real worried about jobs in Atlanta. Nope, he's staking a position so the dollars will flow to him or his proxies.

I am a shark. I know my brothers and sisters. We are patient. Think what you will of us, we do not care. We are obligated to zealously represent our clients' best interest, nothing more, nothing less.

FLY SAFE.
 
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Respectfully, there is much more going on in the background than you can imagine. Parker is not a dumb guy - maybe not the most successful, but he's not dumb. There is a reason US Air made their move when they did - it may not be apparent just yet. DALPA, by itself, cannot run the creditors committee, neither can Boeing or Pratt or PBGC or whomever else. They all must agree or have the judge decide. Think about the stakes going into that hearing, if it's necessary. There will be a deal and it may not be what you think. We shall see.

I respect the opinion of General Lee and others on this board, but you must consider these scenarios from the outside in rather than inside out. Ultimately, it's about these creditors getting paid, not whether the airline survives in its current form with current management in place. Delta's junk bonds went up in value after US Air announced its bid - that indicates speculation and a favorable view of the proposal. I think you may find that if US Air withdrew its offer the bonds would plummet in value.

I am also cognizant of the political ramifications. Be mindful of the old adage: Politics makes strange bedfellows. Ultimately, Oberstar, Mr. Smith who went to Washington, etc., aren't the ones who make these decisions. They can hold hearings and scream bloody murder all they want but they all need cash for their campaign committees so don't delude yourself into thinking that Oberstar is real worried about jobs in Atlanta. Nope, he's staking a position so the dollars will flow to him or his proxies.

I am a shark. I know my brothers and sisters. We are patient. Think what you will of us, we do not care. We are obligated to zealously represent our clients' best interest, nothing more, nothing less. If you need us when there is blood in the water, like now, we are the best friend you'll ever have.

FLY SAFE.

Respectfully, Dalpa, Boeing, and GE (Pratt) can run the committee, since they have the majority of votes and are owed the most. Plus, add Coke and the PBGC (with whom we just settled on the pensions), and that would give us 5 of the 9 votes. Dalpa, Boeing, GE, Coke, and the PBGC are looking for a long term relationship with a healthy carrier, not one that would get crushed by a combined UA/CAL and NW/AA (which would get the green light by the DOJ if DL/US got one). The Delta pilots are the only ones who lost the pensions at DL, and the PBGC does NOT want to take on the other 30,000 member work force who still has a chance at their own. A combined US/DL would be shark bait and probably back in BK court in short order. Coke wants to keep ATL a Delta headquarters, and Parker flip flops on that issue, since the city of Tempe seems to be buttering their muffin on terms for their own headquarters. Can you see my point yet? Sure, there are plenty of things going on in the backround, including political talk to make sure this does NOT happen. Here is an example:

By John Crawley
WASHINGTON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - U.S. Senate lawmakers said on Tuesday they would more closely examine potential airline mergers, including the hostile bid for Delta Air Lines Inc.(DALRQ.PK: Quote, Profile , Research) by US Airways Group Inc. (LCC.N: Quote, Profile , Research)
The Commerce Committee said it would hold a hearing on airline consolidation on Jan. 24. The panel did not release a witness list and a spokeswoman would not say if airline chief executives would be called to testify. Lawmakers in both houses have expressed concern about the potential impact of new consolidation on consumers, especially the potential for higher fares and more erosion of service to small communities.

"I think we want to understand from the airlines what's happening here," Sen. Byron Dorgan, a North Dakota Democrat and member of the commerce panel, said in an interview.
"I'm concerned about any additional proposals by large carriers. I don't think we need less competition. I think we need more. From the standpoint of consumers I don't think it's beneficial to see some of the largest carriers marry up," Dorgan said.

Dorgan said he wants to hear from the airlines themselves as well as Justice and Transportation Department regulators who would review any formal proposals. Sources have said United Airlines, a unit of UAL Corp. (UAUA.O: Quote, Profile , Research) and Continental Airlines (CAL.N: Quote, Profile , Research) are in preliminary talks about a merger. In November, US Airways made an unsolicited offer for larger Delta, which is bankrupt. Delta management rejected the $8.7 billion bid.


Separately, Northwest Airlines Corp. (NWACQ.PK: Quote, Profile , Research) wants to evaluate strategic alternatives, including a merger. Continental is seen as a potential partner.
The House of Representatives is also likely to hold hearings, according to congressional aides.

Rep. James Oberstar, a Minnesota Democrat and chairman of the Transportation Committee, has "very strong concerns" about possible negative impacts airline mergers, especially the potential for higher fares, a spokesman said. To ally concerns, the aide said Oberstar would have to be convinced that airline consolidation would generate a general economic upside and not hurt consumers.


Congressional concerns over service and competition, which led to hearings, contributed to the failed merger between United and US Airways in 2001.
The new proposals for consolidation come as the industry is on a financial upswing after slowly emerging from its worst economic downturn.
The leading trade group for big U.S. airlines projected on Tuesday that passenger and cargo carriers will net an estimated $4 billion next year.
The group estimates the major carriers will report 2006 earnings of between $2 billion and $3 billion. The last year the industry made money was 2000, which was also the last year for consecutive annual profits. Big airlines are running much leaner than they were five years ago as industry restructuring, most of it in bankruptcy since 2002, has led to major cost savings and capacity cuts. But the industry acknowledges it must improve its weak credit ratings so it can weather normal economic turbulence -- like fuel price spikes.
© Reuters 2007. All Rights Reserved


Bye Bye--General Lee
 
I respect the opinion of General Lee and others on this board, but you must consider these scenarios from the outside in rather than inside out. Ultimately, it's about these creditors getting paid, not whether the airline survives in its current form with current management in place.
I am a shark. I know my brothers and sisters. We are patient. Think what you will of us, we do not care. We are obligated to zealously represent our clients' best interest, nothing more, nothing less.

FLY SAFE.

Yes, it is about the creditors getting paid. They will be paid much, much sooner from a standalone DL. And they will get their stock in the spring during the historically best time for airline stocks. Under the US plan their compensation will be locked up until regulatory approval which will be a very long time. If you keep my money that long it better be a sure thing and a much better deal. It is neither.

Your clients should also be thinking about the affect a potential work stoppage would have on their investment. Airplanes don't move without pilots.
 
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What I continually point out to you and others is what actually is going on out there. If you and others chose not to observe that, sobeit. If you want to point something out AND actually back it up with quotes or articles (like I do), then go for it. I haven't seen you do that yet. Prove it.

Bye Bye--General Lee

But the reality is no one here knows what is REALLY going on. If all you do is regurgitate the news articles, you might as well be reporting on what is said in the crew lounge.

This deal will be made or broken in the office on the top floor in Tempe or NYC or on a golf course somewhere or in a skybox at the OSU/UF game last night.

None of us here will find out about the deal until it is presented in bankruptcy court.

To pretend that any of us has the slightest bit of knowlege about the REAL process is both arrogant and ignorant. TC
 

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