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United Continental to Cut Seats on U.S. Flights After Merger, Analyst Says

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densoo

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By Mary Jane Credeur - Dec 21, 2010
United Continental Holdings Inc. will cut capacity in cities such as Chicago and Denver in its first network adjustments after the merger that formed the world’s largest airline, a Hudson Securities analyst said.

The combined carrier’s available seats in the U.S. will decline 1.9 percent in the first quarter while the rest of the nation’s airlines collectively boost capacity about 2 percent, Hudson’s Daniel McKenzie wrote today in a note to clients. He cited APGDat scheduling data and his firm’s estimates.

For Chicago-based United, the cuts will contribute to a quarterly profit, McKenzie said. The reductions will benefit Southwest Airlines Co., the second-largest carrier in Denver behind United, as well as Alaska Air Group Inc., whose main hub is in Seattle, and US Airways Group Inc., which has a hub in Phoenix, he said.

“United Continental management appears serious about continuing to cut unprofitable, domestic flying,” McKenzie said. The moves will help the company post first-quarter earnings of 20 cents a share, its first profit in that period since 2000, according to the analyst. He recommends buying United Continental shares.

The carrier will trim first-quarter capacity 1.8 percent at Chicago O’Hare, the second-busiest U.S. airport, 5.6 percent at Denver, 9.9 percent at Phoenix, 6.9 percent at Seattle and 2.8 percent at Los Angeles, said McKenzie, who is based in Chicago.

United hasn’t announced capacity plans for the quarter, said Mike Trevino, a spokesman. The airline plans to increase available seats by as much as 2 percent for all of next year, according to an Oct. 21 forecast, he said.

During the first quarter, the airline plans to boost capacity by about 3 percent at Houston, a Continental hub, and by 12 percent at New York’s LaGuardia, where it’s competing with Delta Air Lines Inc. and AMR Corp.’s American Airlines, according to McKenzie.

United Continental was formed in October by the merger of United Airlines parent UAL Corp. and Continental Airlines Inc. in a stock transaction valued at $3.47 billion. The combined airline passed Delta as the world’s biggest carrier.
 
Seems that UAL may be positioning itself to be in large part a feeder to DAL's growing network and aircraft size.
 
In five years we'll be number 3 or 4 in size. Our UAL furloughs should go get hired anywhere they can. Heck, maybe you can catch on with one of our feeders, and fly the same colors at half the price?
 
In five years we'll be number 3 or 4 in size. Our UAL furloughs should go get hired anywhere they can. Heck, maybe you can catch on with one of our feeders, and fly the same colors at half the price?



so many do that now it's pathetic---
 
All current furloughees have just lost the glimmer of hope of being recalled and those bottom 500 or so at CO/UAL, your next, furloughs will happen after the summer schedule and the expiration of the TA, just like it did in '08. Maybe up to a 1000 if they lose in court. Hopefully this will signal, "no more mergers to *************************ing idiot executives, with out a background check to determine the true intensions". Mission accomplished, executives got their millions and employees get *************************ed. MERRY CHRISTMAS!!
 
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Merger = less capacity duh. That is a portion of the point! Increased efficiency. Higher yield on what remains.

The above is a comment on the business aspects, and unrelated to how much it would suck (more than before) to work at UAL or CAL.
 
The big picture certainly looks like DAL is (successfully) positioning itself to be THE world's global giant. They're acquiring equipment and hiring. UAL looks like it will fill in leftover international gaps with their big planes and feed DAL with their ex-CAL's fleet.
 
Merger = less capacity duh. That is a portion of the point! Increased efficiency. Higher yield on what remains.

The above is a comment on the business aspects, and unrelated to how much it would suck (more than before) to work at UAL or CAL.

I don't agree at all. More efficient doesn't mean smaller. The purpose of a merger is to lower overhead and bureacracy costs, yes, but not necessarily to provide less product.

They could very well have planned to grow capacity while cutting middle management costs, get synergies from common functions like scheduling, HR, etc. and growing capacity.

They are choosing not to do this.
 
Chill guys, Notice a couple of things. First is that they are saying this is only for the first quarter, no info after that. Also and probably more importantly is that in the 3rd to last paragraph it is stated that the airline plans to GROW by 2% next year.

Seems to me they are going to be trimming flying from some routes and putting it on others. One more thing, the TPA has a furlough protection clause in it until 2012.
 

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