Likely to happen?

[labbats]

I own my own airplane so I don't have to rent. Then of course I fly warbirds for free. 11 jobs since I left the Navy in 1977, never made over 100K, coming out the other end in come shape. Industry has been good to me.

I admire your positivity and respect your career. You and I have different goals and ideas of what to expect from flying.

 

[pilotyip]

just a tip

I admire your positivity and respect your career. You and I have different goals and ideas of what to expect from flying.

If you expect nothing you will never be disappointed

 

[DOVPILOT]

Some will come to terms with that but others will become emotional basket cases around their 40th birthday. (and F/O's !)

It does happen Mr. Rusty Trombone, you should thank God you are where you are!!!! I am over 35 and could care less where I am at in my career progress!!!!

 

[time builder]

The odds must be better than reported---cause, YOU MADE IT!

I normally don't like the petty arguing on FI, but this just made my last 60 seconds.

Seriously though, the snapshot figuring browntothebone used to make these odds are about as faulty as those who went to Skywest in 2008 banking on a 2 year upgrade. You can't just look at a recent snapshot, it's short sighted.

Here's some counterfiguring for the bigger picture, you do the math.

If you're in your 20's or even low 30's, what percentage of major airline pilots are older than you? By how much?

How much money are major airlines going to save on labor by outsourcing to regionals vs. how much of a hit are they going to take on fuel costs while prices go up?

How many student pilots do you know today vs. 5 or 10 years ago?

Do you buy into that your shot at a major airline job at some point down the line in your career is really 1 in 10?

 

[ultrarunner]

...Do a google search on mainline retirements from 2012-2018. There WILL be a shortage...

Age-70 will take care of that!

 

[Captain Morgan]

Age-70 will take care of that!

I dunno about that. Did you see news today about the CAL pilot that died inflight of natural causes? That coupled with all that is going on in the publics eyes with regard to crashes at the regionals, I wouldn't expect the age rule to change again.

 

[ultrarunner]

I dunno about that. Did you see news today about the CAL pilot that died inflight of natural causes? That coupled with all that is going on in the publics eyes with regard to crashes at the regionals, I wouldn't expect the age rule to change again.

Yes Morgan, I saw the news today...thank you.

Firstly, events like this are very few and far between, and in several instances have involved pilots some 20 years younger that that of the pilot today.

Secondly, in the cases of crashes and deaths that have occurred at the hands of Regional Pilots, as you pointed out, of the last few years the combined ages of BOTH pilots have barely been 60!

So, what's your point!?

Lets see, because two "thirty something" RJ pilots in Buffalo had both their heads up the butt holes, lets not entertain an increase in the retirement age...

Yeah...that will work...good thinking there Morgan!

Geez!!!!