NEDude
yada yada yada
- Joined
- Dec 12, 2001
- Posts
- 1,611
I doubt you'll see the 117 rules remain for more than a week in their present form once the industry sees how unworkable they will be in practice.
Delaying a flight because of a phone call? What about the CA who is a commuter trying to get back to catch his flight home, but the FO can't get to sleep because of construction and delays the flight? Guys will be at each other's throats. The number of flights returning to the gate due to relatively minor mechanicals and then cancelling due to projected flight time exceedances will make schedules massively unreliable.
We should have fixed the fatigue issue with something that worked case-by-case and protected the individual pilot rather than slapping together something that causes more problems than it fixes.
I agree that the rules will cause a lot of headaches in the first 5-6 months of implementation - perhaps significantly longer. However I do not think there will be quick or easy change coming to the new regs. The FAA has staunchly stood its ground on this reg despite massive industry lobbying. I think the FAA's response to the headaches will be along the lines of 'deal with it because it is now part of the cost of doing business'.
I also think all of the airlines are greatly underestimating the staffing requirements this reg will require. The computer models can look at the flight and duty time requirements and come up with a staffing model to meet the planned schedule. What they cannot predict are the increased variables that come with the new legal requirement that flight crews self certify their fitness for flight prior to each leg. We have all been stuck in those hotels that have had the wild late night wedding parties, or the large groups of teenagers who run around the hotels at all hours of the night, or been stuck next to the elevator, or had to wait an hour or longer for the hotel shuttle, etc. How many crews who have just sucked it up in the past will now report fatigued because of the new self certification requirement (yes I know in theory we have had to do that all along, but now there is a hard paper trail with a signature involved). Those are the variables the computer programs cannot predict.