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ATSB will add Endorsement on ATA deal

  • Thread starter Thread starter lowecur
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lowecur

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Well here we go again. Looks like the ATSB will be handing out an endorsement on this deal. Seems Joe, Gary, Doug, and probably Dave have been lobbying them for a vote. The first three want all or part of the deal, and Dave probably voiced his opinion that those gates cannot be sold. Of course the ATSB is supposed to do what's best for the taxpayers, and it doesn't look like the $90M will cover the ATSB loan. A new wrinkle has appeared with the addition of investment firms that are supposed to bid. They may just get the endorsement if they have a plan to keep ATA flying, and guarantee the loan.

December 9, 2004

U.S. Board Close to Backing a Bidder for ATA Airlines

[size=-1]By MICHELINE MAYNARD [/size]


The federal board that was created to oversee loan guarantees to airlines after the Sept. 11 attacks is about to play a crucial role in determining the next phase of industry competition.

The Air Transportation Stabilization Board is preparing to endorse its choice to purchase some or all of the assets of ATA Airlines, the nation's 10th-largest airline and a unit of ATA Holdings, which sought bankruptcy protection this fall.

As such, the board's staff members and its advisers have been in a position that brings to mind Don Corleone at his daughter's wedding in "The Godfather."

Over the last few weeks, executives of various airlines have visited them, placed numerous phone calls and sent detailed proposals in hopes of winning the board's favor.

The board's sway over ATA, a low-fare airline, is certainly not what Congress envisioned when it created the three-member loan board to oversee $10 billion in money for the struggling industry. And it is a situation that neither the airlines nor the government finds comfortable.

"I think it's a bit awkward for everybody," said Joseph "Ty" Leonard, the chief executive at AirTran Airways. It struck a tentative $90 million deal for some of ATA's operations this fall, but the bankruptcy court said it would consider other bids.

Gary C. Kelly, the chief executive at Southwest Airlines, said, "It's definitely unwieldy." Southwest also expects to place a bid.

Mark Dayton, the board's executive director, insisted that no matter what the board recommended, ATA and a federal bankruptcy court should decide what was best for the airline.

"Though it looks on the surface like we have a lot of control, we are trying to stay in the background and let the private parties determine the outcome," Mr. Dayton said yesterday.

The initial courting concludes tomorrow when bids for the assets of ATA must be filed in Indianapolis. The offers will be opened next week, setting off an auction during which the bids can be modified. A decision is due next Friday.

In addition to Southwest and AirTran, another low-fare airline, America West, is expected to bid, as are several investment firms. None of the nation's traditional airlines have expressed an interest, however.

The outcome will change the shape of competition among low-fare airlines, whose share of the airline market has risen to nearly 25 percent this year from 6 percent in 1990. "It's a significant moment for our industry," Mr. Leonard said.

The board is involved because ATA owes $140 million on a package of federally backed loans, secured by the airline's cash and collateral like airplanes, gates, routes and other assets. Given that, the board's endorsement will be a significant factor in deciding who gets control of the airline's assets.

Mr. Dayton's comments aside, a hands-off approach is impossible, said Jan K. Brueckner, a professor of economics at the University of Illinois.

"Once the government starts down the path of guaranteeing large sums to the airlines, it's inextricably wrapped up in these issues," Professor Brueckner said.

The matter is complicated by the different bids. AirTran is vying to buy ATA's 14 gates at Chicago Midway airport, plus operations at La Guardia and Ronald Reagan National Airport in Washington. That would leave ATA with its Indianapolis home base, as well as flights on the West Coast, and its military charter business.

Southwest, meanwhile, is interested in half a dozen of ATA's Chicago gates, to go with the 19 it already has there. America West has said it wants to bid for all of ATA, although a spokeswoman said yesterday that the airline had not made a final decision.

"It's not apples to apples, it's apples to oranges to grapes to pears," Mr. Dayton said. "Everyone is coming in with different valuations and priorities."

From a financial point of view, the most attractive bidder would clearly be Southwest, which is expected to be the only profitable company this year among the nation's airlines.

Rather than send lawyers or finance experts to plead the airline's case, Mr. Kelly, the chief executive, walked the loan board's staff through the company's bid at a recent meeting.

"It's important for us to understand what their needs are and for them to understand how we're thinking about a potential bid," he said.

Southwest's plan would give it 25 out of 43 gates at Midway, making it by far the airport's dominant player. But that could give pause to the Justice Department, which will be involved in the matter because of antitrust concerns.

AirTran officials, meanwhile, have been talking to the board's staff for weeks, said Mr. Leonard, trying to "show them the benefit to ATA and the industry with our plan."

But AirTran's offer is not enough to cover the outstanding balance on ATA's federally backed loans. Assuming that ATA used some of the proceeds to run its operations, ATA would still owe the government the difference, only it would have to pay it from a smaller operation.

An America West bid would create a big low-fare player, but it could raise government eyebrows, too. America West owes $123 million on its loan guarantee package, and the government also holds warrants that it can exchange for America West stock. Further, America West needs the loan board's permission to bid for ATA, which had not yet been granted as of yesterday.

For his part, Mr. Dayton envisioned that several of the airlines ultimately could team up to make joint bids, dividing up the assets and presumably the burden of the outstanding loans. Once the offers have fallen into place, the board will make its pick, he said.

Mr. Leonard said he knew the board's endorsement would be based on more than just routine business concerns.

"At the end of the day, they've got to look out for the taxpayer first, and the airline second," he said of the board.
 
This seems to be a big poker match. Who trumps whom? Unfortunately more than just $ is at stake.
 
In addition to Southwest and AirTran, another low-fare airline, America West, is expected to bid, as are several investment firms.
This in no surprise. A couple of entities came out of the woodwork for the TWA auction, including Carl Icahn. They were laughed out of the courtroom. The judge will only consider a comprehensive, detailed, and realistic plan. I guess that's why AWA originally said it would submit it's bid on the 6th but obviously now it going to wait until the Friday deadline.
 
I'll be surprosed if SWA doesn't walk out with 5-7 gates

"It's important for us to understand what their needs are and for them to understand how we're thinking about a potential bid,"

The decision will be a compromise and Southwest will come out with their "desire". They may team up with someone else and make their last bid during the auction but is anyone doubting they'll get those gates? Lowercur? To be honest, I'll be surpised if they don't.
 
Swerpipe said:
"It's important for us to understand what their needs are and for them to understand how we're thinking about a potential bid,"

The decision will be a compromise and Southwest will come out with their "desire". They may team up with someone else and make their last bid during the auction but is anyone doubting they'll get those gates? Lowercur? To be honest, I'll be surpised if they don't.
Like I said, LUV may just get a few token gates as a compromise unless the justice department gives them their blessing for 5-7. There is a supposed bidding process once the bids are opened next week. AirTran is prepared to take less than 14 gates in my estimation. It is anyone's guess as to how many, but lets suppose LUV offers $50M for 4 gates, and Airtran offers the $90M for 10. This will sure look good to the ATSB, and they may offer their blessing. Of course the wildcard is Daley. He luv's the headlines, and unless someone is twisting his arm real hard, you will see him try to throw a monkey wrench in the whole deal.

Interesting month ahead.:)
 
mt2 said:
I wonder where that Branson guy and his financiers are this week ??
Still no operating certificate and planes are many moons away. I don't see him being a player.
 

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